LNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.8% median,
64% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.02 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$77M/day volume
34% volatility
+3% 1-year
-52% from ATH
52-week range · 59% of the way up · -13% from the high
$32.18$47.67
Congressional trades in LNC Full tracker →
9 members · 5 buys / 8 sells · $104K–$385K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 8 days) · EPS est. 1.95.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+16.2%
Biggest drop
-33.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.96 | 2.24 | +14.5% | +6.1% | +11.1% | +12.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 1.60 | 1.66 | +4.0% | +1.3% | +0.2% | -9.2% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 1.90 | 2.21 | +16.5% | +7.4% | +5.6% | +3.6% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.87 | 2.04 | +9.3% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +2.0% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.88 | 2.36 | +25.7% | +4.5% | +11.4% | +11.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 1.52 | 1.60 | +5.0% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 1.74 | 1.91 | +9.9% | +2.5% | +5.9% | +16.2% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.63 | 2.06 | +26.6% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.77 | 1.84 | +3.9% | +5.2% | +2.3% | -12.5% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | 1.11 | 0.41 | -62.9% | -0.4% | -2.7% | +5.6% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 1.31 | 1.45 | +10.5% | -0.3% | -2.5% | +3.2% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 1.76 | 0.23 | -86.9% | +4.0% | +7.8% | +2.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.85 | 2.02 | +9.3% | +3.4% | +0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 1.53 | 1.52 | -1.0% | +1.8% | -3.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | 1.78 | 0.97 | -45.4% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -2.4% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 1.79 | -10.23 | -672.1% | -24.2% | -33.1% | -33.5% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 2.22 | 2.23 | +0.6% | +0.4% | -9.2% | -3.2% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 1.82 | 1.66 | -9.0% | -5.3% | -9.3% | -20.3% |
| 2022-02-02 | miss | 1.90 | 1.56 | -17.8% | -1.3% | -6.3% | +3.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 2.57 | 1.62 | -37.0% | -5.9% | -5.7% | -3.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 2.45 | 3.17 | +29.3% | +5.0% | +7.4% | +15.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 1.48 | 1.82 | +23.2% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-03 | miss | 1.91 | 1.78 | -7.0% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +6.5% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 2.01 | -0.72 | -135.7% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +12.4% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 1.38 | 0.97 | -29.6% | -7.1% | -7.9% | -2.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.5% | +10.0% | +16.2% | +8.7% |
| 2020-02-05 | miss | 2.41 | 2.41 | -0.1% | +3.5% | +2.4% | +5.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 2.41 | -0.25 | -110.4% | -6.0% | -8.4% | -0.9% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 2.37 | 2.36 | -0.2% | -1.1% | -8.4% | -12.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 2.04 | 2.14 | +4.8% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 2.12 | 2.15 | +1.2% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +1.6% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 2.17 | 2.34 | +7.8% | +2.3% | +3.7% | +6.6% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 2.10 | 2.02 | -3.6% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 1.94 | 1.97 | +1.5% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -0.1% |
| 2018-01-31 | beat | 1.94 | 1.98 | +2.2% | +1.0% | +3.8% | -10.8% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.84 | 2.03 | +10.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 1.74 | 1.85 | +6.1% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 1.62 | 1.92 | +18.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 1.71 | 1.77 | +3.6% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 1.61 | 1.83 | +13.5% | +4.1% | +6.0% | +21.8% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 1.56 | 1.56 | -0.2% | -1.3% | -4.0% | +1.9% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 1.49 | 1.25 | -16.0% | -4.7% | -4.2% | +0.9% |
| 2016-02-03 | miss | 1.56 | 1.54 | -1.4% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -17.9% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 1.52 | 1.66 | +9.1% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | 1.53 | 1.46 | -4.5% | -2.8% | -2.4% | -4.2% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 1.48 | 1.35 | -8.8% | -3.7% | -3.0% | +1.0% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 1.48 | 1.67 | +12.7% | -1.6% | +1.1% | +9.1% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.43 | 1.56 | +9.4% | +2.8% | +1.1% | +6.9% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 1.37 | 1.47 | +7.4% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -4.4% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | 1.29 | 1.34 | +3.5% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 1.28 | 1.40 | +9.6% | +0.7% | +2.1% | +5.2% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 1.22 | 1.34 | +9.9% | -0.4% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 1.14 | 1.27 | +11.0% | +6.9% | +6.6% | +4.1% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 1.08 | 1.02 | -5.9% | -4.8% | -4.0% | +2.9% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +4.3% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 1.03 | 1.18 | +14.3% | +2.2% | -0.9% | -7.3% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.99 | 1.09 | +9.6% | +3.3% | +7.6% | +17.1% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +3.0% | +0.0% | -3.4% | -4.4% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.0% | -1.9% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.93 | 1.00 | +7.7% | +6.8% | +3.3% | +3.4% |
Not investment advice.
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