LPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +10.1% median,
73% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 71
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.43 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.4%
$27M/day volume
42% volatility
+91% 1-year
-9% from ATH
52-week range · 85% of the way up · -9% from the high
$23.76$59.97
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 2.70.
1-day std dev
6.2%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+14.1%
Biggest drop
-16.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 2.08 | 2.52 | +21.1% | +3.7% | -1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2026-05-20 | beat | 1.30 | 1.89 | +46.0% | +7.8% | +12.8% | -1.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 1.16 | 1.11 | -4.3% | -2.4% | +1.1% | +8.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 1.50 | 1.31 | -12.8% | -5.4% | -8.1% | -10.4% |
| 2025-08-01 | miss | 0.61 | 0.27 | -56.1% | -6.3% | -5.9% | +6.7% |
| 2025-05-22 | miss | 0.45 | 0.25 | -44.7% | -4.0% | -10.9% | -5.5% |
| 2025-01-31 | miss | 0.61 | 0.43 | -30.0% | -4.0% | -5.2% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 | miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -4.4% | +1.1% | -2.5% | -6.9% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.11 | 1.26 | +13.1% | +1.6% | -2.8% | -11.9% |
| 2024-05-22 | beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.9% | -2.8% | +0.6% | +14.2% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 2.29 | 2.62 | +14.3% | +3.0% | +1.8% | -3.8% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 2.01 | 1.85 | -7.8% | +1.9% | +11.6% | +1.8% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 1.84 | 1.21 | -34.3% | -2.5% | -4.5% | -6.5% |
| 2023-05-24 | beat | 1.56 | 1.94 | +24.7% | +1.0% | -2.2% | +0.6% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 1.03 | 1.29 | +25.4% | +2.8% | +11.4% | +11.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.45 | 0.41 | -8.1% | +1.8% | +1.5% | -3.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.68 | 0.56 | -17.2% | +0.4% | -3.4% | -2.6% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | 0.39 | 0.62 | +59.2% | +0.1% | -1.9% | +8.9% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | 0.62 | 0.34 | -44.8% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.25 | +488.4% | +4.7% | +9.7% | +2.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.13 | -54.4% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -5.8% |
| 2021-05-19 | miss | 0.90 | 0.86 | -4.3% | -3.7% | -1.7% | -4.5% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.3% | +6.6% | +9.8% | +16.0% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | 0.08 | -0.07 | -193.2% | -2.7% | -2.6% | +8.5% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 0.51 | 0.25 | -50.7% | -4.4% | +0.8% | -0.7% |
| 2020-05-27 | beat | 0.63 | 0.81 | +28.5% | +4.8% | +14.1% | +0.8% |
| 2020-02-05 | miss | 0.87 | 0.63 | -27.3% | -3.0% | -1.8% | -0.2% |
| 2019-10-31 | miss | 0.82 | 0.75 | -8.4% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.33 | 0.22 | -33.7% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| 2019-05-23 | miss | -0.17 | -0.22 | -29.5% | -3.9% | -16.5% | -13.2% |
| 2019-02-04 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +150.0% | +4.0% | +1.4% | +3.6% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | -0.15 | -0.17 | -13.4% | -2.6% | +2.1% | +6.8% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.27 | -0.41 | -52.2% | -5.5% | -3.7% | -8.3% |
| 2018-06-15 | miss | -0.14 | -0.18 | -25.5% | -1.5% | -1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | -0.18 | -0.04 | +77.4% | +3.4% | +4.7% | -1.7% |
| 2017-11-03 | beat | -0.31 | -0.23 | +26.6% | -2.7% | +7.3% | +9.0% |
| 2017-07-31 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -16.2% | -3.7% | -7.0% | -8.7% |
| 2017-06-14 | beat | -0.16 | 0.02 | +112.3% | +11.5% | -4.2% | -5.4% |
| 2017-01-30 | miss | -0.24 | -0.36 | -52.1% | -7.1% | +10.5% | -4.6% |
| 2016-10-28 | miss | -0.20 | -0.25 | -26.1% | -6.0% | -4.1% | -7.5% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -51.8% | -1.1% | -1.5% | -2.9% |
| 2016-05-31 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.3% | +5.6% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2016-01-29 | beat | 0.87 | 0.97 | +11.1% | +7.8% | +3.7% | -5.6% |
| 2015-10-30 | beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +6.7% | +5.2% | +2.9% | +13.5% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -6.7% | +0.1% | -7.7% | -8.8% |
| 2015-06-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.3% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -4.2% |
| 2015-02-06 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -12.6% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +7.4% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -16.6% | +0.0% | +6.0% | +6.3% |
| 2014-09-03 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +44.5% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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