MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.6% median,
65% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 86
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.25%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.53 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$13M/day volume
34% volatility
-17% 1-year
-75% from ATH
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -38% from the high
$18.42$30.93
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-19 (Thursday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. 0.27.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+21.0%
Biggest drop
-15.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | 0.41 | 0.06 | -85.4% | -13.2% | -14.3% | -15.9% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.37 | +146.7% | +7.0% | +0.2% | -1.4% |
| 2026-02-03 | miss | 0.05 | -0.19 | -522.2% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | 0.20 | 0.50 | +150.0% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.28 | +30.2% | +1.8% | +4.4% | +5.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.38 | 0.34 | -10.5% | -6.6% | -3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 0.23 | 0.14 | -37.8% | -8.1% | -9.9% | -12.7% |
| 2024-11-21 | beat | 0.38 | 0.55 | +44.7% | +16.7% | +21.0% | +17.6% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.9% | -8.1% | -5.0% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.46 | 0.69 | +51.6% | +7.2% | +5.4% | +6.3% |
| 2024-02-01 | miss | 0.47 | 0.37 | -21.3% | -4.0% | -8.2% | -12.4% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 0.82 | 0.96 | +17.1% | +1.9% | -3.9% | -8.4% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +13.0% | -0.6% | -3.3% | -4.2% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +26.2% | +3.1% | +5.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +7.1% | -1.9% | -7.9% | +2.8% |
| 2022-11-17 | beat | 0.72 | 0.82 | +13.9% | +3.6% | +7.5% | +13.1% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +2.6% | +1.6% | +1.9% | -6.5% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.7% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -1.5% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +28.3% | +0.8% | +4.3% | +1.5% |
| 2021-11-18 | beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.2% | -4.1% | -6.2% | -7.4% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.75 | 0.91 | +21.3% | +2.2% | +1.0% | -0.2% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.75 | 0.89 | +19.5% | -1.9% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.43 | 0.68 | +60.0% | +1.5% | -3.6% | +4.2% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.85 | 1.11 | +30.6% | -1.1% | -2.5% | -5.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +26.0% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +6.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.51 | 0.63 | +23.5% | +1.7% | +4.1% | -9.0% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | -8.0% |
| 2019-11-21 | beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +3.1% | +10.9% | +3.6% | +6.3% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.94 | 0.90 | -4.0% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -3.3% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.95 | 0.90 | -5.0% | -3.3% | -4.5% | -1.2% |
| 2019-01-31 | miss | 0.55 | 0.50 | -9.1% | -3.8% | -15.8% | -7.3% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +7.6% | +5.3% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.14 | 1.16 | +2.0% | -3.3% | -8.9% | -6.7% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.6% | -0.3% | -3.5% | -0.2% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +9.7% | +1.2% | +4.5% | -2.3% |
| 2017-11-16 | miss | 1.09 | 1.06 | -2.9% | -6.5% | -5.9% | -5.6% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.05 | 1.05 | +0.2% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +2.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.83 | 0.84 | +1.0% | -2.3% | -5.3% | -7.3% |
| 2017-01-26 | miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -3.6% | -2.9% | -3.9% | -6.1% |
| 2016-11-17 | beat | 0.97 | 1.08 | +11.1% | -0.2% | +5.5% | +7.8% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.0% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +9.9% | +4.7% | +4.9% | +4.3% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.8% | +1.8% | +3.4% | -3.3% |
| 2015-11-16 | beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.8% | +2.0% | +1.3% | +7.2% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | 0.90 | 0.88 | -1.8% | +0.2% | +1.1% | -0.2% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.62 | 0.58 | -5.8% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.6% | +1.8% | -1.7% | +1.1% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +8.0% | +1.9% | +3.7% | +2.0% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +8.9% | -1.3% | +3.9% | +4.6% |
| 2014-04-21 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.1% | +0.5% | -0.4% | -3.8% |
| 2014-01-23 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -1.7% | -3.7% | -3.2% | -3.7% |
| 2013-11-14 | 0.74 | 0.74 | — | -3.0% | +2.3% | +3.5% | |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.2% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -2.5% |
| 2013-04-18 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.8% | -1.3% | +1.5% | +7.0% |
| 2013-01-17 | miss | 0.46 | 0.42 | -8.0% | -0.7% | -5.4% | -2.6% |
| 2012-11-15 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.4% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +3.9% |
| 2012-07-19 | miss | 0.73 | 0.65 | -11.0% | -0.3% | -8.4% | -6.1% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +10.9% | +5.4% | -0.9% | -1.7% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +28.2% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +3.2% |
| 2011-11-10 | beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.1% | +1.5% | -7.6% | -7.9% |
Posted about MATW
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
23.45
Tue, 20 Oct
2 different insiders at MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP just bought MATW. The cluster: 2 people, $163,940 between them in the last 30 days, each paying…
Not investment advice.
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