MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.2% median,
63% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.97 +2.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$61M/day volume
35% volatility
+132% 1-year
-6% from ATH
52-week range · 90% of the way up · -6% from the high
$96.70$240.87
Congressional trades in MATX Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 1 sells · $45K–$150K disclosed · latest filing Oct 7, 2016.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 6.27.
1-day std dev
6.8%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+15.9%
Biggest drop
-15.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 3.82 | 4.27 | +11.8% | +9.9% | +2.9% | -1.5% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 1.61 | 1.85 | +15.1% | -1.0% | +9.6% | +4.8% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 3.69 | 4.60 | +24.8% | +6.3% | +1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 3.25 | 4.24 | +30.3% | +5.0% | +12.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 2.28 | 2.92 | +28.1% | +7.2% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | 2.27 | 2.18 | -3.8% | -10.0% | -15.4% | +6.9% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 3.20 | 3.80 | +18.8% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 4.75 | 5.89 | +24.1% | +4.9% | +15.9% | +20.8% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 3.00 | 3.31 | +10.2% | +4.8% | +2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.0% | -4.9% | -2.1% | +3.8% |
| 2024-02-20 | beat | 1.74 | 1.78 | +2.6% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -6.7% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 3.35 | 3.40 | +1.6% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -0.4% |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.26 | 2.26 | — | -3.0% | +0.5% | +0.4% | |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.76 | 0.94 | +24.2% | +5.2% | +6.4% | +2.8% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 1.96 | 2.10 | +7.0% | -2.6% | -1.2% | +3.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 6.74 | 6.89 | +2.2% | -1.1% | -5.2% | +0.6% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 9.38 | 9.49 | +1.2% | -5.8% | -8.7% | -9.7% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 8.13 | 8.23 | +1.2% | +1.1% | +2.8% | -5.8% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | 6.81 | 9.39 | +37.9% | +1.8% | +11.2% | +26.8% |
| 2021-11-03 | 6.53 | 6.53 | — | +1.5% | +3.5% | +7.0% | |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 3.67 | 3.71 | +1.1% | -0.2% | +2.3% | +8.6% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.87 | 1.99 | +6.4% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 1.80 | 1.96 | +8.7% | +5.7% | -1.3% | -0.1% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 1.58 | 1.63 | +3.2% | +7.8% | +10.4% | +13.5% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.6% | +1.1% | +2.0% | +6.6% |
| 2020-05-05 | 0.09 | 0.09 | — | +4.0% | -5.0% | -11.9% | |
| 2020-02-25 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.9% | -6.8% | -10.5% | -7.2% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.3% | +1.1% | -3.3% | -8.2% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.63 | 0.43 | -31.2% | -5.6% | -1.4% | -3.5% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +13.7% | -2.2% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.0% | -4.9% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.4% | +4.0% | +12.7% | +7.8% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.76 | +13.2% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -1.0% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +44.5% | +5.2% | +5.0% | +11.2% |
| 2018-02-20 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.7% | -11.5% | -13.3% | -17.1% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.62 | 0.79 | +27.8% | +4.0% | +6.7% | +1.4% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.44 | 0.55 | +25.0% | +5.9% | +3.8% | +6.2% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +9.1% | +4.5% | +7.1% | -0.7% |
| 2017-02-21 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -5.4% | -3.6% | -9.8% | -4.4% |
| 2016-11-07 | miss | 0.70 | 0.58 | -16.6% | +0.7% | +4.6% | -1.9% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.6% | -0.2% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -2.4% | -5.1% | -12.5% | -15.9% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.5% | -6.7% | -4.6% | -3.6% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.78 | 1.08 | +39.1% | +5.4% | +8.9% | +9.3% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +10.7% | +3.4% | +6.3% | +0.5% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.6% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +9.2% | +3.9% | +6.5% | +4.6% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +12.9% | +3.9% | +4.4% | +22.8% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -3.3% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -13.8% | -0.9% | -2.7% | -0.5% |
| 2014-02-25 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.1% | -4.5% | -3.1% | -3.6% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -0.3% | -3.6% | -12.4% | -8.2% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.8% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +2.1% |
| 2013-05-06 | beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +40.0% | -0.3% | +7.3% | +5.4% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.29 | 0.36 | +22.7% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.8% | +1.3% | +7.1% | +2.5% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.6% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +4.4% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +21.4% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -5.3% |
| 2012-02-13 | miss | 0.25 | 0.11 | -56.0% | -3.6% | -7.2% | -9.8% |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.44 | +266.7% | -3.2% | -7.3% | -9.5% |
Not investment advice.
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