MDModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.9% median,
56% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 24
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.32 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$140M/day volume
44% volatility
+1% 1-year
-30% from ATH
52-week range · 17% of the way up · -30% from the high
$393.61$615.00
Congressional trades in MDGL Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. -1.09.
1-day std dev
7.0%
Finished up
41%
Biggest pop
+20.1%
Biggest drop
-12.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 39 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | -2.23 | -1.99 | +10.8% | -7.6% | -9.8% | -6.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -4.14 | -1.38 | +66.7% | +5.7% | +7.4% | +3.3% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | -0.88 | -2.57 | -192.2% | -8.0% | -11.1% | -9.3% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | -1.99 | -4.96 | -148.8% | -1.5% | +7.8% | +31.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | -3.53 | -1.90 | +46.2% | +12.1% | +8.6% | +15.0% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | -3.79 | -3.32 | +12.4% | +4.5% | -1.9% | -10.3% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | -4.12 | -2.71 | +34.3% | +8.2% | +15.0% | +12.2% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | -6.91 | -4.92 | +28.8% | +13.8% | +20.1% | +64.3% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | -7.66 | -7.10 | +7.3% | -6.6% | -12.2% | -8.7% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -6.39 | -7.38 | -15.4% | -5.8% | -7.5% | -10.4% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | -5.34 | -5.68 | -6.3% | -0.3% | +6.0% | +7.3% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | -4.93 | -5.34 | -8.4% | -2.4% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | -4.54 | -4.69 | -3.3% | -2.5% | -5.8% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -4.78 | -4.23 | +11.6% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -5.4% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | -4.61 | -4.98 | -8.0% | +0.4% | +5.2% | -6.5% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -4.18 | -4.75 | -13.7% | -2.7% | -6.3% | -2.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -3.64 | -4.14 | -13.6% | +2.1% | +11.0% | +8.5% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | -3.54 | -3.36 | +5.1% | -7.4% | -10.1% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | -3.91 | -3.79 | +3.0% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -1.8% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -3.85 | -3.79 | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -3.54 | -3.72 | -5.1% | +0.2% | +5.0% | +1.0% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -3.94 | -3.32 | +15.7% | +0.3% | -2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -3.90 | -3.82 | +2.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -8.7% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -3.30 | -3.75 | -13.6% | -0.2% | -4.6% | -3.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -2.43 | -3.18 | -30.6% | -1.0% | -3.1% | +0.2% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -1.95 | -2.34 | -20.3% | +4.7% | -0.1% | +25.1% |
| 2020-02-26 | miss | -1.67 | -1.80 | -7.7% | -1.8% | -1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -1.42 | -1.39 | +2.1% | +0.1% | -4.6% | +8.2% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -1.22 | -1.28 | -4.8% | -3.5% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -0.97 | -0.98 | -1.4% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2019-02-27 | miss | -0.74 | -0.76 | -2.1% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +1.9% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | -0.53 | -0.56 | -6.2% | -0.9% | +4.2% | -26.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.62 | -0.45 | +27.8% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -4.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.77 | -0.45 | +41.5% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +10.0% |
| 2018-03-13 | beat | -0.70 | -0.67 | +4.0% | +0.1% | -10.9% | -18.0% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | -0.79 | -0.68 | +13.6% | -0.8% | +1.2% | -8.4% |
| 2017-08-10 | miss | -0.60 | -0.69 | -15.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2017-05-11 | beat | -0.87 | -0.50 | +42.5% | -1.6% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2017-03-31 | miss | -1.39 | -2.83 | -103.6% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -0.2% |
Posted about MDGL
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
397.35
Wed, 20 Aug 2025
Baker Bros. Advisors (GP) LLC has been buying MDGL. The buy: Baker Bros. Advisors (GP) LLC, a Director, bought 97,065 shares of MDGL on 18-20 August…
Not investment advice.
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