MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.0% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.05 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.1%
$39M/day volume
58% volatility
+13% 1-year
-65% from ATH
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -16% from the high
$10.82$26.84
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.28.
1-day std dev
18.9%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+65.6%
Biggest drop
-40.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.1% | +11.3% | +17.7% | +18.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +23.0% | -5.2% | +4.6% | -7.2% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -3.9% | +3.9% | +12.6% | +18.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.6% | -12.3% | -13.0% | -16.8% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +20.3% | +0.2% | -3.2% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +118.2% | +12.6% | +19.8% | +27.8% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.39 | 0.34 | -13.1% | +4.7% | -1.8% | -19.2% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +5.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +17.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -9.3% | -9.3% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | — | 0.05 | +10769.6% | +21.3% | +3.7% | +34.7% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +3.3% | +6.2% | +14.8% | +10.3% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +30.2% | -3.8% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +164.2% | -18.9% | -35.1% | -35.2% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.07 | 0.04 | +160.9% | +12.7% | +26.1% | +24.3% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 0.32 | 0.24 | -25.6% | -15.8% | -16.2% | -20.4% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +24.0% | +24.6% | +65.6% | +91.2% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -15.6% | -2.8% | -1.4% | +0.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +3.3% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -12.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +5.7% | -7.6% | +18.4% | +13.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -10.3% | -12.5% | -16.1% | -16.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -11.3% | +11.5% | +10.3% | -5.2% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +100.0% | -15.7% | -3.4% | -8.3% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +22.6% | -5.2% | -15.0% | -29.0% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.04 | 0.06 | +244.0% | +11.5% | -7.7% | -0.8% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.19 | -0.10 | +48.7% | +14.1% | +8.9% | +4.6% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -50.0% | -5.3% | -10.6% | -25.7% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +44.7% | +0.3% | -3.4% | -6.2% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.07 | -0.02 | +71.4% | -7.1% | -6.1% | -4.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +56.1% | +12.0% | +35.7% | +26.3% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | -0.20 | -0.14 | +28.8% | -0.6% | +5.8% | +9.0% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +160.0% | +10.8% | +13.1% | +18.7% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +21.7% | +17.2% | +14.7% | +32.8% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | -0.33 | -0.27 | +18.2% | +11.5% | +18.0% | +28.4% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | -0.42 | -0.44 | -4.8% | +4.8% | -4.8% | -9.5% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +1.0% | +29.1% | +14.5% | +11.0% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.15 | -0.14 | +9.2% | -40.0% | -40.0% | -43.8% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | -0.10 | -0.10 | +2.9% | -8.1% | -11.8% | -17.0% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | -0.21 | -0.16 | +22.3% | -4.6% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2017-03-14 | beat | 0.15 | 0.37 | +151.4% | -20.1% | -27.8% | -34.8% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.09 | 0.32 | +251.5% | -16.1% | -15.8% | +2.8% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +63.5% | -30.5% | -32.7% | -30.4% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.03 | 0.31 | +1109.0% | -14.4% | -23.6% | -26.6% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.33 | 0.72 | +121.5% | +5.9% | +17.6% | +28.0% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.04 | 0.23 | +508.8% | -1.7% | -12.8% | -5.0% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | -0.20 | 0.06 | +130.2% | +16.5% | +19.4% | +10.5% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | -0.12 | 0.02 | +116.8% | -2.1% | -7.9% | -2.9% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.03 | 0.25 | +900.0% | +11.3% | +10.0% | +9.2% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | -0.17 | 0.05 | +129.4% | +22.1% | +7.6% | +12.5% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | -0.21 | — | +100.0% | +17.1% | +27.3% | +14.5% |
| 2014-05-13 | beat | -0.42 | -0.15 | +64.6% | +17.9% | +11.5% | +8.4% |
Not investment advice.
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