MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.2% median,
56% of the last 41 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.49%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.52 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$19M/day volume
26% volatility
+6% 1-year
-9% from ATH
52-week range · 80% of the way up · -5% from the high
$94.99$125.83
Congressional trades in MGRC Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $302K–$630K disclosed · latest filing Aug 17, 2016.
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
5.9%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+13.1%
Biggest drop
-11.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 1.85 | 2.00 | +8.3% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 1.46 | 1.32 | -9.6% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 1.13 | 1.10 | -2.5% | -4.2% | -6.9% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 1.71 | 2.03 | +18.4% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -5.1% |
| 2025-10-23 | miss | 1.82 | 1.72 | -5.4% | -6.9% | -4.9% | -10.7% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 1.22 | 1.47 | +19.9% | +2.5% | +7.4% | +3.5% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.92 | 1.15 | +25.3% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 1.49 | 1.65 | +10.7% | -0.7% | +4.1% | +0.2% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 1.27 | 1.87 | +46.9% | +9.3% | +8.5% | +9.6% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 1.25 | 1.20 | -4.2% | -4.7% | -4.0% | -11.7% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.73 | 0.93 | +27.7% | -0.1% | +2.2% | -0.3% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 1.37 | 1.30 | -4.8% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.25 | 1.65 | +32.0% | +6.2% | +5.3% | +5.5% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.00 | 1.14 | +13.4% | +4.5% | +4.9% | +5.3% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 0.69 | 0.52 | -24.0% | +0.8% | +3.4% | +4.3% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 1.38 | 1.62 | +17.4% | +6.6% | +1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.17 | 1.25 | +6.8% | +1.4% | +11.6% | +11.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.90 | 1.07 | +19.6% | +2.0% | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.72 | 0.77 | +6.9% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 1.15 | 1.16 | +1.3% | +9.1% | +10.4% | +11.7% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | 1.22 | 0.95 | -22.1% | -4.6% | -4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.91 | 0.84 | -7.7% | -2.4% | -5.7% | -7.6% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | 0.77 | 0.71 | -7.2% | -4.5% | -1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 1.05 | 1.27 | +20.9% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.02 | 1.15 | +12.4% | -3.9% | -2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.92 | +131.9% | +6.3% | +2.8% | +2.6% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.7% | -6.1% | -9.5% | -15.6% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +14.2% | +5.2% | -5.4% | -6.6% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 1.03 | 1.32 | +27.5% | +4.8% | +10.4% | +5.2% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.73 | 0.79 | +9.0% | +6.3% | +2.3% | -2.8% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +15.4% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +0.1% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | 0.78 | 0.99 | +27.7% | +5.0% | +13.1% | +9.6% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.90 | 1.01 | +12.2% | +4.5% | +11.5% | +12.7% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +1.6% | -1.3% | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.47 | 0.59 | +27.4% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +6.6% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.49 | 0.69 | +42.4% | +4.1% | +5.6% | +7.3% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.57 | 0.69 | +21.1% | +7.4% | +9.9% | +4.2% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.39 | 0.48 | +24.1% | +1.2% | +9.9% | +4.9% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.9% | +6.6% | +6.3% | +4.9% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | 0.46 | 0.40 | -13.0% | -3.0% | -6.9% | -11.8% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.5% | +2.6% | +8.6% | +23.6% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.8% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -0.9% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -1.2% | +1.0% | +6.3% | +7.7% |
| 2016-02-25 | miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -5.3% | +0.0% | -6.9% | -5.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.5% | +5.5% | +4.0% | +1.2% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | 0.39 | 0.32 | -18.6% | -3.7% | -7.1% | -10.1% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.35 | 0.26 | -25.0% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -3.2% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.0% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -4.9% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.9% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.6% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +4.6% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.36 | 0.30 | -15.9% | -1.2% | -2.6% | +7.2% |
| 2014-02-27 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.2% | -0.7% | -10.3% | -5.3% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.0% | +0.2% | +2.6% | +1.4% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.45 | 0.38 | -16.2% | -1.3% | -3.2% | -0.6% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -6.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +5.3% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.9% | +1.2% | +4.5% | +2.7% |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.50 | 0.50 | — | -5.0% | -2.2% | -2.2% | |
| 2012-07-31 | miss | 0.48 | 0.42 | -11.6% | -10.0% | -11.3% | -10.9% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.9% | -0.6% | -8.0% | -6.0% |
| 2012-02-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +23.3% | +1.1% | +2.2% | -1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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