MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.6%
Next 1 month
-1.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.5% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 34
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.60 -1.7% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.1%
$86M/day volume
33% volatility
+15% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 44% of the way up · -20% from the high
$21.07$32.76
Congressional trades in MGY Full tracker →
3 members · 5 buys / 7 sells · $12K–$180K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.59.
1-day std dev
4.3%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+13.1%
Biggest drop
-6.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 33 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.93 | 0.99 | +6.2% | +6.5% | +4.3% | +9.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.2% | -3.0% | -1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.5% | +4.8% | +3.0% | +2.2% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +1.3% | +0.4% | -2.6% | -6.9% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +4.9% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -4.1% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.7% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +5.6% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +6.5% | +1.9% | +1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +12.1% | +1.7% | -1.1% | +5.8% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.0% | +1.2% | -6.2% | -10.5% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +18.9% | -3.1% | +0.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 0.53 | 0.45 | -15.4% | +2.1% | +4.7% | +7.0% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.2% | -0.9% | +3.5% | -5.9% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +1.6% | +4.3% | -0.6% | +4.6% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +4.5% | +1.5% | -4.7% | -3.7% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +10.2% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 1.13 | 1.29 | +14.5% | +1.7% | -2.2% | -1.3% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 1.15 | 1.30 | +12.2% | +0.5% | -4.0% | -5.6% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | 0.93 | 0.90 | -3.3% | +0.7% | -3.1% | +7.0% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.6% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +3.3% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +9.4% | -0.5% | -4.6% | -3.1% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.42 | 0.56 | +33.2% | +2.3% | +1.4% | +3.8% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.38 | +39.1% | +1.2% | +5.7% | +5.0% |
| 2021-02-22 | beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +49.1% | +3.1% | +13.1% | +15.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -11.9% | +6.1% | +1.0% | +31.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -16.3% | -5.5% | -3.9% | +8.2% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -35.5% | +1.0% | +7.9% | +18.1% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -31.2% | -0.8% | -4.4% | -23.7% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -26.3% | +2.2% | +6.4% | +10.6% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | 0.15 | 0.12 | -20.0% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -1.4% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.14 | 0.08 | -39.5% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2019-02-25 | miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -19.7% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.9% | +3.4% | +2.1% | +3.9% |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -4.0% | +1.1% | -2.0% | +7.7% |
Posted about MGY
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
26.06
Wed, 12 Aug
2 different insiders at Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp bought MGY stock in the last 30 days — $323,125 between them, at prices they each paid separately.…
Not investment advice.
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