MKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.6% median,
56% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.21%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.02 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$23.7B market cap (#549 US)
$127M/day volume
20% volatility
-2% 1-year
-16% from ATH
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -16% from the high
$1704.17$2207.59
Congressional trades in MKL Full tracker →
6 members · 27 buys / 15 sells · $323K–$1.2M disclosed · latest filing Sep 9, 2026.
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 97 days) · EPS est. 28.12.
1-day std dev
3.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+10.7%
Biggest drop
-12.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 30.57 | 19.79 | -35.3% | -2.8% | -6.4% | -7.1% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 26.34 | 23.55 | -10.6% | -2.8% | -7.8% | -6.5% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 25.73 | 37.41 | +45.4% | +2.2% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 23.77 | 31.61 | +33.0% | +3.5% | +6.1% | +10.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 25.04 | 25.62 | +2.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -5.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 17.97 | 23.64 | +31.6% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 19.00 | 23.19 | +22.0% | +1.9% | +10.7% | +2.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 21.67 | 20.92 | -3.4% | -1.3% | -1.5% | +4.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 21.77 | 26.43 | +21.4% | -0.1% | -4.4% | -7.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 18.30 | 21.23 | +16.0% | +1.8% | +6.8% | +10.9% |
| 2024-01-31 | miss | 22.70 | 6.00 | -73.6% | -7.2% | -6.8% | -5.9% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 20.39 | 16.60 | -18.6% | -4.2% | -12.8% | -10.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 17.70 | 22.91 | +29.4% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +4.1% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | 16.18 | 16.08 | -0.6% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 18.04 | 25.57 | +41.7% | -1.5% | -7.0% | -3.3% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | 15.71 | 15.48 | -1.5% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | 20.64 | 14.52 | -29.7% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -4.3% |
| 2022-04-26 | miss | 17.00 | 11.34 | -33.3% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -3.9% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 16.11 | 17.01 | +5.7% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -2.9% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 13.28 | 13.79 | +3.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 15.40 | 18.28 | +18.7% | +2.3% | +0.3% | +6.3% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 10.58 | 42.02 | +297.3% | +0.9% | -0.4% | +1.7% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 9.53 | 13.86 | +45.4% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +10.1% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 3.36 | 6.11 | +81.8% | -2.4% | -3.4% | +0.6% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 6.65 | 15.66 | +135.4% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +7.1% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 9.54 | 8.62 | -9.7% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -10.8% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 7.40 | 10.30 | +39.2% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +9.8% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 8.41 | 10.38 | +23.4% | +0.2% | +4.1% | +5.4% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 9.89 | 10.54 | +6.6% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | 9.52 | 7.99 | -16.1% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | 2.00 | 3.67 | +83.5% | -2.0% | -4.8% | -4.9% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 7.05 | 5.20 | -26.2% | +2.4% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 8.52 | 9.11 | +7.0% | -0.4% | +2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 8.97 | 11.03 | +23.0% | +2.0% | -1.7% | -2.1% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 4.15 | 6.34 | +52.8% | +3.7% | +0.8% | +1.8% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | -16.97 | -16.74 | +1.4% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +2.1% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 6.40 | 9.40 | +46.8% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +3.2% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 4.01 | 2.77 | -30.7% | -1.6% | +0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 5.28 | 9.47 | +79.4% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 7.65 | 4.59 | -40.0% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +0.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 6.71 | 6.92 | +3.1% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 6.77 | 10.25 | +51.4% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2016-02-10 | beat | 6.96 | 8.72 | +25.3% | -0.2% | -3.2% | +2.2% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 6.51 | 7.21 | +10.8% | +0.0% | +2.3% | -1.0% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 6.04 | 6.10 | +1.0% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -2.5% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 5.85 | 13.17 | +125.0% | +1.1% | +4.2% | +4.1% |
| 2015-02-11 | beat | 5.52 | 8.18 | +48.3% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +6.3% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 5.44 | 5.30 | -2.5% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | 5.75 | 2.47 | -57.1% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -0.5% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 5.74 | 5.32 | -7.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -2.7% |
| 2014-02-10 | miss | 5.77 | 5.54 | -4.0% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +5.2% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 6.14 | 4.67 | -23.9% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 5.83 | 5.13 | -12.0% | -0.2% | +0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 5.47 | 9.50 | +73.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2013-02-04 | beat | -2.81 | 5.63 | +300.3% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +2.1% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 4.27 | 4.88 | +14.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | 3.55 | 7.87 | +121.6% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +1.1% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | 3.99 | 4.97 | +24.6% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 4.29 | 4.43 | +3.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | 4.04 | 4.41 | +9.2% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
Posted about MKL
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TRACKER - April McClain Delaney · Congress
long
1795.99
Mon, 08 Jun
April McClain Delaney's trade date was 1 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - April McClain Delaney · Congress
long
1799.97
Thu, 07 May
April McClain Delaney's trade date was 30 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…
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