MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation $432.51 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
-0.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +7.0% median, 64% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.26 -0.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$144.7B market cap (#266 US) $925M/day volume 36% volatility +125% 1-year -12% from ATH
52-week range · 81% of the way up · -12% from the high
$161.93$493.98

Congressional trades in MPC Full tracker →

20 members · 24 buys / 26 sells · $254K–$1.2M disclosed · latest filing Oct 1, 2026.

SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Sep 22, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Jul 24, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Jul 10, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Mar 11, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Feb 26, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Aug 14, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Jul 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JS Jefferson Shreve · traded May 12, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded May 15, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Apr 11, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Apr 1, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Apr 8, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Mar 5, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Apr 10, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Mar 17, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Aug 5, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY DN Dan Newhouse · traded Mar 8, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kathy Manning · traded Aug 3, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY KM Kathy Manning · traded Jul 20, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Apr 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL JM Jerry Moran · traded Aug 21, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY JM Jerry Moran · traded Sep 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY JM Jerry Moran · traded Sep 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Apr 22, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Apr 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL KL Kelly Loeffler · traded Apr 7, 2020 $100K–$250K
BUY KC Katherine M. Clark · traded Mar 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL KC Katherine M. Clark · traded Mar 20, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Mar 24, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL BG Bob Gibbs · traded Jan 24, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY JH John Hoeven · traded Dec 31, 2019 $50K–$100K
BUY JM Jerry Moran · traded Sep 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY JM Jerry Moran · traded Sep 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY KC Katherine M. Clark · traded Jun 4, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL BF Bill Flores sT · traded Jun 14, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY BF Bill Flores sT · traded May 8, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY BF Bill Flores sT · traded Mar 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Feb 27, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Sep 28, 2018 $15K–$50K
SELL GP Gary Palmer · traded Oct 5, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY GP Gary Palmer · traded Aug 6, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY GP Gary Palmer · traded Jul 12, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY GP Gary Palmer · traded Nov 27, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY GP Gary Palmer · traded Apr 4, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL JR John Rutherford · traded May 16, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY JR John Rutherford · traded Jul 17, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY BG Bob Gibbs · traded Aug 31, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY JY John A. Yarmuth · traded Feb 1, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL NR Nick J. Rahall · traded Dec 17, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY NR Nick J. Rahall · traded Dec 15, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 26.00.

1-day std dev
4.1%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-9.4%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-04 beat 13.95 17.73 +27.1% +0.6% +1.8% +9.6%
2026-05-05 beat 0.75 1.65 +120.6% +1.4% +3.2% -0.2%
2026-02-03 beat 2.71 4.07 +50.1% +2.1% +6.0% +15.4%
2025-11-04 miss 3.16 3.01 -4.9% -8.5% -6.1% +2.2%
2025-08-05 beat 3.22 3.96 +23.0% +0.9% +0.6% -5.3%
2025-05-06 beat -0.54 -0.24 +55.8% +1.0% +0.9% +13.6%
2025-02-04 beat 0.02 0.77 +3730.8% +0.0% +6.7% +5.6%
2024-11-05 beat 1.09 1.87 +71.9% +5.1% +3.2% +7.1%
2024-08-06 beat 3.09 4.12 +33.3% +2.0% +5.5% +8.5%
2024-04-30 miss 2.58 2.58 -0.1% -3.0% -9.4% -9.8%
2024-01-30 beat 2.22 3.98 +79.2% +1.3% +6.1% +4.1%
2023-10-31 beat 7.75 8.14 +5.1% +1.0% +3.0% -0.5%
2023-08-01 beat 4.59 5.32 +16.0% -0.9% +1.4% +6.6%
2023-05-02 beat 5.60 6.09 +8.7% -0.4% -4.5% -9.4%
2023-01-31 beat 5.63 6.65 +18.1% +1.9% -0.5% -5.4%
2022-11-01 beat 7.02 7.81 +11.2% +0.2% +4.9% +4.8%
2022-08-02 beat 8.50 10.61 +24.9% +0.6% +3.7% +3.4%
2022-05-03 beat 1.28 1.45 +13.6% -0.5% +4.0% +2.9%
2022-02-02 beat 0.56 1.30 +131.4% +3.1% +6.1% +7.8%
2021-11-02 beat 0.70 0.73 +4.1% -0.4% -3.9% -0.2%
2021-08-04 beat 0.38 0.67 +76.1% -2.1% -2.8% +5.7%
2021-05-04 beat -0.71 -0.20 +71.7% -2.0% +0.2% +2.6%
2021-02-02 beat -1.24 -0.94 +24.4% +2.3% +3.9% +12.5%
2020-11-02 beat -1.74 -1.00 +42.5% -2.0% +6.1% +23.6%
2020-08-03 beat -1.76 -1.33 +24.3% +0.5% +1.0% -2.8%
2020-05-05 beat -0.27 -0.16 +41.4% +8.8% -1.2% +2.2%
2020-01-29 beat 0.85 1.56 +83.8% +3.2% +1.2% +4.9%
2019-10-31 beat 1.33 1.63 +22.2% +0.6% -3.4% +0.1%
2019-08-01 beat 1.33 1.73 +30.2% +2.7% -1.8% -12.2%
2019-05-08 miss -0.01 -0.09 -981.7% -2.6% -7.1% -13.9%
2019-02-07 beat 1.94 2.41 +24.0% +0.0% -4.7% -4.2%
2018-11-01 beat 1.70 1.70 +0.1% -0.9% +0.9% -3.9%
2018-07-26 beat 2.04 2.27 +11.2% +1.6% +7.3% +6.7%
2018-04-30 miss 0.13 0.08 -36.6% -7.3% -8.0% -6.1%
2018-02-01 beat 0.99 1.03 +4.0% +0.7% -0.8% -9.4%
2017-10-26 beat 1.48 1.77 +20.1% +1.9% +1.5% +10.2%
2017-07-27 miss 1.06 1.03 -2.9% -2.5% +0.9% +0.4%
2017-04-27 beat -0.04 0.06 +238.2% -0.3% +2.9% -0.1%
2017-02-01 beat 0.27 0.43 +61.1% +3.4% -0.7% +2.2%
2016-10-27 miss 0.81 0.58 -28.1% -0.5% -3.3% -7.0%
2016-07-28 beat 0.98 1.07 +9.7% +1.0% +0.9% +7.4%
2016-04-28 miss 0.16 0.06 -59.5% -2.1% -0.9% -12.8%
2016-02-03 beat 0.69 0.79 +14.2% -1.2% -7.6% -21.4%
2015-10-29 beat 1.81 1.94 +7.0% -1.8% +2.8% +11.7%
2015-07-30 miss 1.75 1.52 -13.1% -4.6% -3.4% -6.6%
2015-04-30 beat 1.43 1.62 +13.3% +1.6% -3.9% +0.2%
2015-02-04 beat 0.73 1.14 +55.2% +0.2% +0.4% +5.3%
2014-10-30 beat 1.14 1.21 +6.2% +2.4% +3.7% +6.5%
2014-07-31 beat 1.08 1.48 +37.0% +3.0% +5.7% +9.5%
2014-05-01 miss 0.53 0.41 -22.9% -4.2% +2.7% -0.2%
2014-01-29 beat 0.57 1.05 +84.2% +1.5% +4.0% -1.0%
2013-10-31 miss 0.34 0.30 -13.1% -0.2% -1.2% -2.9%
2013-08-01 beat 0.95 0.98 +2.4% +0.7% +2.4% -1.1%
2013-04-30 beat 1.08 1.09 +0.9% -3.0% -4.9% -1.2%
2013-01-30 beat 1.02 1.13 +11.2% +1.6% +1.3% +8.1%
2012-11-01 beat 1.59 1.66 +4.1% -0.1% -1.6% -1.1%
2012-07-31 beat 1.23 1.26 +2.8% -0.1% -0.4% +6.3%
2012-05-01 beat 0.66 0.85 +28.9% +2.7% -1.0% -7.4%
2012-02-01 miss 0.06 -0.10 -278.0% +9.1% +9.6% +17.6%
2011-11-01 beat 1.25 1.58 +25.9% -1.1% +0.3% +6.2%

Not investment advice.