MRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-1.0%
Next 1 week
+3.9%
Next 1 month
+11.1%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -7.3% median,
33% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 72
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.35%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 4.30 +11.2% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.2%
$11M/day volume
114% volatility
+38% 1-year
-72% from ATH
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -72% from the high
$7.35$51.50
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-03-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 125 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
18.9%
Finished up
35%
Biggest pop
+63.2%
Biggest drop
-25.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 0.12 | 0.12 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +26.9% | -3.5% | -3.0% | +4.3% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +22.2% | +36.9% | +38.6% | +63.1% |
| 2026-03-04 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -4.3% | -7.6% | -15.5% | -17.2% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +50.0% | -9.8% | -17.2% | -19.3% |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | +2.7% | +1.5% | +3.7% | |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | +3.8% | +11.7% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +109.9% | +4.4% | -1.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | -0.01 | 0.17 | +1826.7% | +2.6% | -9.4% | -10.4% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +50.5% | -1.3% | -2.9% | -14.0% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -11.1% | -13.1% | -13.1% | -17.4% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +47.1% | -1.5% | -11.4% | -9.2% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +41.9% | -1.6% | -11.3% | -9.4% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.08 | 0.24 | +202.9% | +3.9% | +7.5% | +9.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +104.9% | -5.6% | +7.4% | +7.1% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +51.6% | -4.9% | -0.9% | -5.9% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +170.7% | +6.8% | -8.2% | -2.1% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | — | 0.15 | +3020.0% | +5.0% | +39.7% | +16.4% |
| 2022-05-11 | beat | 0.01 | 0.13 | +2562.0% | -5.8% | -9.4% | -7.4% |
| 2022-03-02 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +52.7% | +8.9% | -12.9% | -11.3% |
| 2021-11-11 | — | 0.09 | — | +21.0% | +63.2% | +85.4% | |
| 2021-08-12 | beat | -0.03 | 0.04 | +244.7% | +2.9% | +2.9% | +0.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | — | 0.01 | — | +2.9% | +7.4% | +5.1% | |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +77.3% | +6.6% | +0.7% | -6.0% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.03 | -0.16 | -425.3% | -18.2% | -23.3% | -26.9% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.0% | -22.2% | -25.7% | -36.7% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +26.7% | +25.0% | +51.9% | +73.4% |
| 2020-03-12 | beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +28.7% | +4.2% | -3.4% | -9.8% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -10.5% | -1.4% | -4.4% | -10.1% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.25 | -0.17 | +33.0% | +0.5% | -2.5% | -6.8% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +9.7% | -3.1% | -0.1% | -6.6% |
| 2019-03-14 | miss | -0.20 | -0.23 | -17.1% | -10.4% | -2.1% | -11.6% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -0.33 | -0.29 | +13.6% | +4.4% | +0.8% | -2.1% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -0.35 | -0.35 | -1.0% | -13.1% | -9.5% | -14.8% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.33 | -0.04 | +86.8% | +18.9% | +20.5% | +15.8% |
| 2018-03-15 | beat | -0.29 | -0.27 | +9.9% | -0.3% | -12.1% | -16.1% |
| 2017-11-13 | beat | -0.41 | -0.34 | +17.1% | -1.2% | -14.1% | -6.2% |
| 2017-08-10 | miss | -0.33 | -0.33 | -0.4% | -15.1% | -15.3% | -18.2% |
| 2017-05-12 | miss | -0.41 | -0.46 | -12.2% | -1.0% | +10.4% | +8.7% |
| 2017-03-10 | miss | -0.25 | -0.40 | -60.0% | -0.5% | -3.2% | -8.0% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | -0.41 | -0.15 | +64.4% | +8.1% | -0.3% | +4.3% |
Not investment advice.
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