MRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.8% median,
71% of the last 63 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.12 +0.3% · Seasonal tilt +1.4%
$370.9B market cap (#33 US)
$1.5B/day volume
30% volatility
+68% 1-year
-7% from ATH
52-week range · 86% of the way up · -7% from the high
$82.01$156.92
Congressional trades in MRK Full tracker →
61 members · 115 buys / 106 sells · $1.7M–$6.6M disclosed · latest filing Oct 7, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Showing the 60 most recent filings of 221 — full tracker.
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+6.1%
Biggest drop
-9.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 2.09 | — | — | +2.6% | +3.8% | — | |
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -0.26 | -0.13 | +49.4% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | -1.47 | -1.28 | +13.2% | -1.5% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 2.01 | 2.04 | +1.5% | -1.5% | +2.2% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 2.35 | 2.58 | +9.8% | -2.3% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 2.03 | 2.13 | +5.0% | -5.0% | -1.7% | -3.9% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 2.14 | 2.22 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.4% | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 1.67 | 1.72 | +3.3% | -10.8% | -9.1% | -13.3% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.57 | 1.57 | +0.0% | -3.7% | -2.4% | -3.5% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 2.14 | 2.28 | +6.3% | -3.4% | -9.8% | -13.0% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.92 | 2.07 | +7.7% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +1.0% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | -0.11 | 0.03 | +127.5% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.95 | 2.13 | +9.5% | -0.5% | +1.9% | -0.8% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | -2.18 | -2.06 | +5.4% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.34 | 1.40 | +4.8% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.4% | -2.8% | -3.3% | -0.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.71 | 1.85 | +8.3% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 1.71 | 1.87 | +9.6% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.83 | 2.14 | +17.1% | +1.6% | +4.9% | +4.3% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 1.52 | 1.80 | +18.1% | -0.4% | -3.7% | -6.6% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.55 | 1.75 | +12.6% | +2.3% | +6.1% | +11.0% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | 1.35 | 1.31 | -2.9% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -3.5% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | 1.61 | 1.40 | -13.2% | -2.1% | -4.4% | +0.9% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | 1.39 | 1.32 | -4.9% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -3.3% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 1.43 | 1.74 | +21.3% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2020-07-31 | beat | 1.09 | 1.37 | +25.8% | +2.4% | +1.6% | +2.6% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 1.34 | 1.50 | +11.8% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -7.1% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 1.15 | 1.16 | +1.1% | -4.2% | -2.9% | -5.8% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 1.24 | 1.51 | +21.6% | +2.3% | +3.5% | +0.9% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 1.16 | 1.30 | +12.2% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 1.05 | 1.22 | +15.8% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +1.5% |
| 2019-02-01 | beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +0.6% | +2.1% | +2.7% | +4.2% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.14 | 1.19 | +4.3% | -5.1% | -0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2018-07-27 | beat | 1.03 | 1.06 | +2.8% | -2.4% | -0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +5.5% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -3.6% |
| 2018-02-02 | beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +4.7% | -0.8% | -2.2% | -8.3% |
| 2017-10-27 | beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +7.6% | -2.3% | -6.0% | -9.6% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.87 | 1.01 | +15.5% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.9% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.5% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.89 | 0.89 | +0.1% | +0.9% | +3.3% | +3.7% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.2% | -0.8% | +2.0% | -2.4% |
| 2016-07-29 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +9.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.6% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +1.9% | -1.6% | -0.7% | -1.7% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.8% | +1.6% | +1.1% | +4.2% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.1% | -0.8% | +0.9% | +3.0% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.75 | 0.85 | +13.7% | +0.0% | +5.0% | +5.9% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +1.6% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -3.7% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.5% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +2.3% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +4.9% | +1.5% | +1.1% | -3.3% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.79 | 0.88 | +11.0% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +0.8% |
| 2014-02-05 | miss | 0.89 | 0.88 | -1.1% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.9% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -1.8% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +1.9% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.3% | -4.7% | -2.8% | -4.3% |
| 2013-02-01 | beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.5% | -2.3% | -3.3% | -4.8% |
| 2012-10-26 | beat | 0.92 | 0.95 | +2.8% | -1.1% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2012-07-27 | beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +3.3% | +1.0% | +4.1% | +1.9% |
| 2012-04-27 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +1.1% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.0% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
Posted about MRK
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TRACKER - Fast Money Final Trades · CNBC
long
147.65
Fri, 25 Sep
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Fast Money. The call: on 25 September 2026. The price: The price on this post is MRK at the moment the post went up,…
TRACKER - Fast Money Final Trades · CNBC
long
146.79
Fri, 18 Sep
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Fast Money on 18 September 2026. The show ends after the closing bell, so the price on this post is where MRK opened…
TRACKER - Maria Elvira Salazar · Congress
long
147.94
Thu, 10 Sep
Maria Elvira Salazar's trade date was 19 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…
TRACKER - Analyst Ratings
long
148.99
Fri, 21 Aug
Morgan Stanley upgraded MRK, Equal-Weight to Overweight with a $179 target, on 20 August 2026. The price shown is where MRK closed that day, for…
TRACKER - Analyst Ratings
long
132.92
Thu, 13 Aug
Daiwa Capital upgraded MRK, Neutral to Outperform with a $143 target, on 12 August 2026. The price shown is where MRK closed that day, for reference…
Not investment advice.
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