MRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.8% median,
65% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.39 -1.1% · Seasonal tilt +1.2%
$469M/day volume
26% volatility
+8% 1-year
-21% from ATH
52-week range · 92% of the way up · -2% from the high
$156.60$200.33
Congressional trades in MRSH Full tracker →
2 members · 0 buys / 7 sells · $204K–$510K disclosed · latest filing Oct 13, 2026.
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, before open, in 90 days) · EPS est. 2.22.
1-day std dev
2.8%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+5.9%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | beat | 1.97 | 2.03 | +3.2% | +2.5% | +4.6% | +11.7% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 2.89 | 2.96 | +2.3% | +2.5% | -0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-16 | beat | 3.22 | 3.29 | +2.1% | +1.9% | +4.4% | -0.5% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 1.97 | 2.12 | +7.5% | +2.4% | +5.5% | +5.2% |
| 2025-10-16 | beat | 1.78 | 1.85 | +4.1% | -4.9% | -8.5% | -7.7% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 2.66 | 2.72 | +2.1% | +1.4% | -0.4% | -1.7% |
| 2025-04-17 | beat | 3.00 | 3.06 | +2.1% | -5.4% | -4.9% | -5.2% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 1.76 | 1.87 | +6.0% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.8% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2024-07-18 | beat | 2.39 | 2.41 | +0.7% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | 2.80 | 2.89 | +3.3% | +4.2% | +2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +3.4% | -3.6% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2023-10-19 | beat | 1.39 | 1.57 | +12.9% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 2.12 | 2.20 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +1.1% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 2.47 | 2.53 | +2.3% | +0.8% | +3.5% | +3.4% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 1.41 | 1.47 | +4.5% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +1.2% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 1.14 | 1.18 | +3.2% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 1.86 | 1.89 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +5.4% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 2.14 | 2.30 | +7.4% | +1.3% | +2.5% | -1.5% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 1.35 | 1.36 | +0.5% | -3.2% | -4.3% | -1.3% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 1.00 | 1.08 | +8.2% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +1.0% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 1.43 | 1.75 | +22.7% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +3.1% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.71 | 1.99 | +16.2% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +6.3% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +5.9% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.72 | 0.82 | +13.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | +0.8% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.4% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 1.56 | 1.64 | +5.0% | -1.0% | +2.9% | +7.4% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 1.18 | 1.19 | +0.7% | -2.0% | -1.2% | +0.4% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +9.8% | +0.5% | +4.3% | +3.9% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 1.13 | 1.18 | +4.5% | -1.4% | -2.6% | -5.3% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.3% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 1.04 | 1.09 | +4.3% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +6.9% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +4.8% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +9.6% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.9% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -5.4% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +5.9% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.94 | 1.05 | +11.3% | +0.1% | +1.8% | -5.0% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.1% | -1.0% | -3.7% | -1.0% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 1.00 | 1.00 | -0.2% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -2.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.98 | 1.08 | +10.2% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +1.3% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.7% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +4.7% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.4% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -3.2% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +0.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.0% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.6% | +0.9% | +2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.5% | -1.8% | +1.4% | +3.1% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.5% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.0% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +0.5% |
| 2015-02-06 | beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.2% | -0.9% | -0.7% | +0.9% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.2% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +6.5% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +6.0% | +2.6% | +1.7% | -1.6% |
| 2014-05-02 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +0.8% | +0.5% | -1.4% | -0.5% |
| 2014-02-11 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.6% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +3.7% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +1.6% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +7.3% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +0.2% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +5.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +4.2% |
| 2013-02-12 | miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.7% | -1.6% | -0.9% | -0.7% |
| 2012-11-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.6% | -0.1% | +2.0% | -0.4% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +2.8% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +1.5% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.0% | +0.1% | +2.7% | +1.6% |
| 2012-02-14 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.3% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -1.5% |
Not investment advice.
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