MSFT

Microsoft Corporation $531.01 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.2% median, 64% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 59
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.01 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$3.95T market cap (#3 US) $10.7B/day volume 33% volatility -0% 1-year -4% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -4% from the high
$349.20$553.72

Congressional trades in MSFT Full tracker →

124 members · 470 buys / 492 sells · $154.4M–$659.4M disclosed · latest filing Oct 27, 2026.

SELL PS Pete Sessions · traded Oct 2, 2026 $250K–$500K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Sep 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL MS Maria Elvira Salazar · traded Sep 24, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL MR Michael Rulli · traded Sep 28, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Sep 10, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded Aug 14, 2026 $500K–$1.0M
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded Aug 14, 2026 $500K–$1.0M
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded Aug 14, 2026 $250K–$500K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded Aug 14, 2026 $250K–$500K
SELL TK Thomas H. Jr. Kean · traded Aug 27, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Aug 18, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Aug 26, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jul 17, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL KH Kevin Hern · traded Aug 21, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY JB John Boozman · traded Apr 22, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL DT David J. Taylor · traded Aug 11, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY JB John Boozman · traded Apr 16, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL RM Richard Dean McCormick · traded Jul 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL MR Michael Rulli · traded Jun 25, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY MR Michael Rulli · traded Feb 5, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL MR Michael Rulli · traded Feb 20, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Jul 24, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 29, 2024 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Jan 10, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 7, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 29, 2024 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Apr 15, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL SC Shelley M Capito · traded Jul 21, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY JM Jared Moskowitz · traded Jun 17, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 27, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL TK Thomas H. Kean · traded Jun 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jun 16, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Jun 11, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL ME Matthew Robert Van Epps · traded Jun 16, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Jonathan Jackson · traded May 12, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded May 15, 2026 $50K–$100K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded May 19, 2026 $250K–$500K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded May 19, 2026 $250K–$500K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded May 19, 2026 $500K–$1.0M
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded May 19, 2026 $500K–$1.0M
BUY JM John McGuire · traded Apr 15, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Apr 14, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY MS Maria Elvira Salazar · traded Apr 17, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL EF Elizabeth Fletcher · traded Apr 8, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY JB John Boozman · traded Mar 5, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded Mar 25, 2026 $50K–$100K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer options · traded Mar 25, 2026 $500K–$1.0M
BUY RM Richard Dean McCormick · traded Mar 19, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 13, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY JF John Fetterman · traded Mar 27, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY JF John Fetterman · traded Mar 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL AK Angus S King · traded Feb 13, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Mar 12, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JL Julia Letlow · traded Feb 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 10, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Feb 26, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY JB John Boozman · traded Feb 13, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Feb 9, 2026 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 962 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, after close, in 90 days) · EPS est. 4.82.

1-day std dev
5.2%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+15.5%
Biggest drop
-11.4%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-28 beat 4.72 4.89 +3.6% — — —
2026-07-29 beat 4.24 4.74 +11.8% +12.1% +15.5% +28.0%
2026-04-29 beat 4.07 4.27 +4.8% -3.2% -3.9% -0.9%
2026-01-28 beat 3.92 4.14 +5.7% -8.6% -10.0% -18.3%
2025-10-29 beat 3.66 4.13 +12.7% -2.0% -2.9% -8.2%
2025-07-30 beat 3.38 3.65 +8.1% +8.2% +3.9% +1.5%
2025-04-30 beat 3.22 3.46 +7.4% +9.1% +7.6% +10.9%
2025-01-29 beat 3.12 3.23 +3.5% -5.3% -6.2% -6.0%
2024-10-30 beat 3.11 3.30 +6.1% -4.0% -6.1% -1.6%
2024-07-30 beat 2.94 2.95 +0.2% -0.6% -1.1% -5.8%
2024-04-25 beat 2.84 2.94 +3.4% +3.3% +1.8% +1.9%
2024-01-30 beat 2.77 2.93 +5.8% -0.4% -2.7% +1.3%
2023-10-24 beat 2.65 2.99 +12.8% +4.4% +3.1% +4.7%
2023-07-25 beat 2.55 2.69 +5.6% -2.7% -3.8% -6.7%
2023-04-25 beat 2.23 2.45 +9.8% +7.7% +7.2% +10.5%
2023-01-24 beat 2.32 2.32 +0.2% -3.1% -0.6% +4.4%
2022-10-25 beat 2.31 2.35 +1.9% -7.8% -7.7% -12.2%
2022-07-26 miss 2.29 2.23 -2.7% +3.7% +6.7% +12.1%
2022-04-26 beat 2.20 2.22 +1.1% +4.4% +4.8% +7.3%
2022-01-25 beat 2.32 2.48 +7.0% +6.8% +2.8% +8.7%
2021-10-26 beat 2.08 2.27 +9.3% +1.9% +4.2% +7.7%
2021-07-27 beat 1.93 2.17 +12.7% +0.9% -0.1% +0.0%
2021-04-27 beat 1.78 1.95 +9.7% -2.2% -2.8% -5.9%
2021-01-26 beat 1.64 2.03 +24.0% +2.4% +0.2% +4.6%
2020-10-27 beat 1.55 1.82 +17.7% -2.6% -5.0% +1.5%
2020-07-22 beat 1.37 1.46 +6.4% -2.2% -4.3% -3.7%
2020-04-29 beat 1.27 1.40 +10.3% +1.4% +1.0% +3.5%
2020-01-29 beat 1.32 1.51 +14.0% +3.6% +2.8% +9.3%
2019-10-23 beat 1.24 1.38 +11.0% +1.6% +2.0% +4.5%
2019-07-18 beat 1.21 1.37 +12.9% +2.8% +0.1% +3.6%
2019-04-24 beat 1.00 1.14 +14.2% +4.0% +3.3% +1.0%
2019-01-30 beat 1.09 1.10 +0.8% -2.4% -1.8% -1.0%
2018-10-24 beat 0.97 1.14 +18.1% +4.1% +5.8% +3.5%
2018-07-19 beat 1.08 1.13 +4.8% +3.5% +1.8% +3.1%
2018-04-26 beat 0.85 0.95 +11.7% +3.5% +1.7% +1.0%
2018-01-31 beat 0.87 0.96 +10.9% -0.2% -0.8% -10.5%
2017-10-26 beat 0.73 0.84 +15.4% +7.1% +6.4% +6.8%
2017-07-20 beat 0.71 0.98 +38.7% -1.0% -0.6% -1.6%
2017-04-27 beat 0.70 0.73 +4.7% +0.9% +0.3% +1.1%
2017-01-26 beat 0.79 0.84 +7.0% +1.7% +2.3% -0.9%
2016-10-20 beat 0.68 0.76 +11.4% +5.3% +4.2% +4.6%
2016-07-19 beat 0.58 0.69 +18.2% +5.8% +5.3% +5.8%
2016-04-21 miss 0.64 0.62 -3.0% -6.9% -7.2% -10.6%
2016-01-28 beat 0.71 0.78 +10.0% +5.1% +5.8% -3.6%
2015-10-22 beat 0.59 0.67 +14.5% +8.9% +10.1% +9.6%
2015-07-21 beat 0.57 0.62 +9.2% -3.9% -3.7% -2.1%
2015-04-23 beat 0.53 0.62 +17.3% +5.4% +10.5% +12.3%
2015-01-26 beat 0.74 0.77 +4.1% -8.6% -9.3% -11.5%
2014-10-23 beat 0.54 0.65 +19.9% +4.0% +2.5% +4.3%
2014-07-22 miss 0.60 0.55 -8.3% +1.4% +0.1% -2.8%
2014-04-24 beat 0.63 0.68 +8.2% +1.1% +0.1% -0.4%
2014-01-23 beat 0.68 0.78 +14.4% +3.9% +2.1% +4.9%
2013-10-24 beat 0.54 0.62 +14.0% +6.4% +6.0% +5.4%
2013-07-18 miss 0.74 0.66 -11.4% -8.6% -11.4% -10.8%
2013-04-18 beat 0.67 0.72 +7.9% +2.9% +3.4% +10.4%
2013-01-24 beat 0.76 0.76 +0.5% -0.2% +0.9% +1.1%
2012-10-18 miss 0.56 0.53 -5.7% -1.5% -2.9% -4.4%
2012-07-19 beat 0.62 0.73 +18.1% +1.1% -1.8% -3.0%
2012-04-19 beat 0.58 0.60 +2.9% +3.7% +4.5% +3.1%
2012-01-19 beat 0.76 0.78 +3.1% +2.5% +5.7% +3.9%
Posted about MSFT See all ›
TRACKER - Lisa McClain · Congress long 544.62 Tue, 13 Oct Lisa McClain's trade date was 30 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - Cleo Fields · Congress long 519.09 Fri, 02 Oct Cleo Fields's trade date was 10 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - Fast Money Final Trades · CNBC long 505.42 Fri, 25 Sep Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Fast Money. The call: on 25 September 2026. The price: The price on this post is MSFT at the moment the post went… TRACKER - Halftime Report Final Trades · CNBC long 499.25 Wed, 23 Sep Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Halftime Report on 23 September 2026 (named as “Microsoft”). The price on this post is MSFT at the moment the post… TRACKER - Analyst Ratings long 498.00 Wed, 23 Sep Stifel upgraded MSFT, Hold to Buy with a $575 target, on 23 September 2026. The price shown is where MSFT last closed before it, on 22 September… TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress long 495.65 Fri, 11 Sep Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 18 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress long 493.01 Mon, 07 Sep Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 17 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - David J. Taylor · Congress long 499.99 Fri, 07 Aug David J. Taylor's trade date was 24 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - Jared Moskowitz · Congress long 389.10 Mon, 27 Jul Jared Moskowitz's trade date was 17 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - Cleo Fields · Congress long 368.57 Mon, 29 Jun Cleo Fields's trade date was 11 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,… TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress long 403.41 Tue, 09 Jun Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 15 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $50,001–$100,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - John J McGuire III. · Congress long 409.43 Thu, 14 May John J McGuire III.'s trade date was 15 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a… TRACKER - Maria Elvira Salazar · Congress long 412.66 Mon, 11 May Maria Elvira Salazar's trade date was 17 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…

Not investment advice.