MSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.0% median,
70% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 54
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.54 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.1%
$155M/day volume
31% volatility
+76% 1-year
-9% from ATH
52-week range · 83% of the way up · -9% from the high
$156.55$330.52
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, before open, in 2 days) · EPS est. -1.11.
1-day std dev
3.8%
Finished up
34%
Biggest pop
+11.0%
Biggest drop
-10.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | 0.63 | 1.16 | +84.1% | +0.9% | -0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2026-05-08 | miss | 0.52 | -0.78 | -248.9% | +0.3% | -0.7% | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.46 | 0.34 | -26.5% | -1.5% | -4.7% | -3.2% |
| 2025-10-31 | beat | -0.92 | -0.37 | +59.7% | -5.2% | -4.6% | -2.1% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.34 | -0.07 | +79.4% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -2.9% |
| 2025-05-02 | miss | 1.30 | -0.59 | -145.5% | -2.0% | -2.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-02-04 | miss | 0.32 | 0.05 | -84.4% | -0.3% | -3.6% | -4.7% |
| 2024-11-01 | beat | -0.89 | -0.31 | +65.2% | +1.2% | -0.8% | +2.1% |
| 2024-08-13 | beat | 0.11 | 1.06 | +903.8% | +7.3% | -0.5% | +5.3% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | 2.77 | 1.57 | -43.4% | -0.8% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.59 | +32.6% | +2.8% | +6.0% | +4.5% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -1.38 | -0.79 | +42.6% | +3.7% | +4.9% | +0.4% |
| 2023-08-17 | miss | -0.11 | -0.39 | -246.7% | -6.2% | -10.0% | -15.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 2.07 | 2.18 | +5.4% | -0.9% | +3.2% | -5.8% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 1.19 | 0.84 | -29.3% | -1.2% | +0.8% | +4.4% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | -1.11 | -0.73 | +34.1% | +1.5% | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2022-08-18 | beat | -0.66 | 1.11 | +268.3% | +2.4% | +5.9% | +2.6% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 1.68 | 1.00 | -40.6% | +1.3% | +5.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | 0.92 | 0.65 | -29.5% | -2.1% | -1.2% | +6.1% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -0.89 | -0.68 | +23.3% | -1.2% | -2.3% | -5.8% |
| 2021-08-19 | beat | -0.55 | 2.03 | +467.7% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +13.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -1.60 | 0.22 | +113.8% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
| 2021-02-03 | miss | -1.40 | -1.68 | -19.6% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +5.8% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -0.66 | -1.11 | -67.5% | +12.7% | +11.0% | +15.3% |
| 2020-08-14 | miss | -2.35 | -3.27 | -39.4% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -4.9% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 0.40 | -0.96 | -342.7% | -1.4% | -6.4% | -4.0% |
| 2020-02-07 | beat | 1.91 | 3.93 | +106.0% | +1.7% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2019-11-08 | miss | -2.28 | -3.36 | -47.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2019-08-20 | miss | -2.61 | -3.08 | -17.9% | -3.7% | -8.9% | -15.1% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | 1.67 | 1.48 | -11.2% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -1.0% |
| 2019-02-01 | beat | 2.99 | 3.42 | +14.3% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +3.6% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | -1.90 | -1.36 | +28.4% | +0.8% | -1.9% | -1.5% |
| 2018-08-16 | beat | -2.15 | -1.94 | +9.7% | -1.6% | -2.2% | -4.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.33 | 0.38 | +215.2% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2018-02-02 | beat | 2.21 | 3.20 | +44.6% | +5.0% | +1.4% | -3.9% |
| 2017-11-03 | beat | -0.68 | -0.47 | +31.1% | +2.0% | +3.6% | +3.9% |
| 2017-08-17 | miss | -1.11 | -1.85 | -66.7% | -1.4% | -4.3% | -1.3% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | -0.38 | -0.74 | -96.0% | +0.0% | -1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2017-02-03 | beat | 1.99 | 2.39 | +20.0% | +1.1% | +0.2% | -1.8% |
| 2016-11-04 | miss | -0.95 | -1.19 | -25.1% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +6.3% |
| 2016-08-19 | miss | -1.08 | -2.39 | -122.1% | -2.7% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
| 2016-05-06 | miss | -0.43 | -0.77 | -78.3% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 1.13 | 1.74 | +54.2% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.72 | -0.06 | +91.7% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -1.4% |
Not investment advice.
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