MSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+4.8%
Next 1 month
+8.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.8% median,
63% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 35
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.23 +9.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$28.7B market cap (#285 US)
$2.8B/day volume
82% volatility
-50% 1-year
-74% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -50% from the high
$81.81$286.18
Congressional trades in MSTR Full tracker →
7 members · 8 buys / 6 sells · $98K–$420K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2026.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
8.6%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+26.1%
Biggest drop
-26.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 3.07 | -24.45 | -895.3% | -2.9% | -4.6% | +2.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | -15.33 | -38.25 | -149.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -4.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | -20.99 | -42.93 | -104.5% | +7.4% | +26.1% | +25.1% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 9.67 | 8.42 | -12.9% | +6.1% | +5.9% | -5.0% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 21.48 | 32.52 | +51.4% | -2.8% | -8.8% | -1.7% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | -0.02 | -16.53 | -70753.0% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +9.0% |
| 2025-02-05 | miss | 0.06 | -3.20 | -5433.3% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.02 | -1.56 | -9354.5% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +9.5% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | -0.02 | -0.76 | -3444.2% | -1.7% | -4.2% | -10.5% |
| 2024-04-29 | miss | -0.08 | -0.31 | -306.6% | -7.3% | -17.6% | -2.7% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.02 | 0.56 | +2534.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +54.6% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | -0.06 | -1.01 | -1670.2% | +3.2% | +6.3% | +15.8% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | -0.05 | 0.15 | +392.3% | +0.0% | -6.4% | -13.1% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | -0.13 | 3.18 | +2564.3% | +0.9% | +6.7% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-02 | miss | 0.10 | -2.05 | -2185.8% | -4.5% | -2.5% | -16.7% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | 0.10 | -0.10 | -194.1% | +0.7% | -3.5% | -33.8% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | -0.08 | -9.28 | -10883.4% | +2.0% | +12.7% | +20.7% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -0.21 | -1.04 | -397.4% | +1.9% | +6.7% | -51.0% |
| 2022-02-01 | miss | 0.15 | -0.01 | -105.9% | -1.7% | -6.5% | +19.7% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | 0.06 | -0.36 | -733.3% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +11.2% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +71.1% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +19.8% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +218.6% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -5.3% |
| 2021-01-28 | miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -83.3% | +17.6% | +6.7% | +39.4% |
| 2020-10-27 | miss | 0.04 | -0.15 | -477.4% | +2.5% | -7.6% | -1.7% |
| 2020-07-28 | miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -12.5% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +5.2% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -63.3% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -5.3% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +43.0% | +9.0% | +6.0% | +6.1% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +42.1% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +5.7% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -166.4% | +3.1% | +11.0% | +12.3% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | — | -0.08 | -1465.0% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -7.8% |
| 2019-01-29 | miss | 0.10 | 0.03 | -70.4% | -7.4% | -7.9% | -7.2% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +21.4% | -2.1% | -0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +172.6% | +0.8% | -6.0% | -1.8% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -71.7% | -5.5% | -4.2% | -1.6% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +27.7% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.1% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +39.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -40.0% | -10.1% | -26.0% | -28.3% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -19.2% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2017-01-31 | miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -2.2% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -6.9% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +32.2% | +9.5% | +10.3% | +9.6% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | 0.22 | 0.16 | -25.6% | -7.5% | -5.5% | -10.1% |
| 2016-04-27 | miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -31.9% | -9.4% | -3.9% | -5.3% |
| 2016-01-27 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +40.8% | +13.0% | +17.5% | +17.9% |
| 2015-10-26 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.2% | -9.3% | -14.3% | -9.8% |
| 2015-07-27 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +42.1% | +15.1% | +13.4% | +20.6% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +97.1% | +6.1% | +10.2% | +5.7% |
| 2015-01-26 | beat | 0.07 | 0.22 | +192.2% | -9.4% | -4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +105.7% | +3.8% | +2.5% | +2.7% |
| 2014-07-28 | miss | -0.01 | -0.09 | -1059.2% | +7.6% | +9.3% | +4.9% |
| 2014-04-28 | miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -577.4% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -2.4% |
| 2014-01-27 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +29.7% | +12.0% | +8.4% | +6.7% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.02 | 0.15 | +716.3% | +2.0% | +18.4% | +25.9% |
| 2013-07-29 | miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -136.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2013-04-29 | miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -235.1% | -7.4% | -9.2% | -7.7% |
| 2013-01-28 | miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -26.3% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +1.3% |
| 2012-10-29 | miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -48.5% | +0.4% | +3.1% | +1.3% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +38.8% | -7.0% | -2.0% | +5.8% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | — | — | +1011.1% | +4.5% | +10.0% | +0.1% |
| 2012-01-30 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -14.1% | -4.0% | +0.8% | +9.1% |
| 2011-10-31 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +3.4% | -9.0% | -11.6% | -9.0% |
Short interest — low Full report →
Crowding
10/100
Squeeze risk
43/100
7.2% of float short
1.5 days to cover
shorts -1% last read
85th %ile of its history
as of 2026-10-15
Posted about MSTR
See all ›
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
100.77
Mon, 06 Jul
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 5 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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