MTCH (Match Group, Inc.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+0.1%

Next 1 week

+1.6%

Next 1 month

+1.8%

Seasonality

Mildly positive window

Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.7% median, 50% of the last 32 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.23%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.87 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%

$10.8B market cap (#891 US) $140M/day volume 33% volatility +28% 1-year -77% from ATH

52-week range · 74% of the way up · -10% from the high

$28.81$46.67

Congressional trades in MTCH Full tracker →

6 members · 17 buys / 9 sells · $236K–$840K disclosed · latest filing Jun 22, 2025.

SELL	JS Jefferson Shreve · traded May 12, 2025	$15K–$50K
BUY	JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Apr 7, 2025	$15K–$50K
SELL	RW Ron L Wyden · traded Nov 11, 2022	$15K–$50K
BUY	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 31, 2023	$1K–$15K
SELL	RW Ron L Wyden · traded Nov 11, 2022	$15K–$50K
SELL	KM Kathy Manning · traded Jun 10, 2022	$15K–$50K
SELL	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 20, 2022	$1K–$15K
SELL	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 18, 2022	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded May 4, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded Oct 19, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded Aug 9, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded Jun 18, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded May 19, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded Mar 9, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	KM Kathy Manning · traded Feb 24, 2021	$15K–$50K
SELL	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Dec 1, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 7, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	RW Ron L Wyden · traded Apr 1, 2021	$15K–$50K
SELL	PM Peter Meijer · traded Feb 16, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Nov 13, 2020	$1K–$15K
BUY	GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 13, 2020	$15K–$50K
BUY	GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 9, 2020	$1K–$15K
BUY	RW Ron L Wyden · traded Aug 4, 2020	$1K–$15K
BUY	RW Ron L Wyden · traded May 7, 2020	$50K–$100K
BUY	RW Ron L Wyden · traded May 7, 2020	$50K–$100K
BUY	JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 24, 2018	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 1.01.

1-day std dev

8.7%

Finished up

52%

Biggest pop

+13.2%

Biggest drop

-17.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 25 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-08-04	miss	0.96	0.91	-4.5%	-8.1%	-7.5%	-11.3%
2026-05-05	beat	0.86	0.97	+13.2%	-3.6%	+0.9%	-4.2%
2026-02-03	beat	1.02	1.06	+3.7%	+14.8%	+5.9%	+8.7%
2025-11-04	miss	0.91	0.83	-9.4%	-1.1%	+5.2%	+4.6%
2025-08-05	miss	0.77	0.71	-8.2%	+6.6%	+10.5%	+14.9%
2025-05-08	beat	0.66	0.68	+3.7%	+0.5%	-9.6%	-4.6%
2025-02-04	miss	0.83	0.82	-1.9%	-4.3%	-7.9%	-6.8%
2024-11-06	beat	0.79	0.79	+0.3%	-15.3%	-17.9%	-17.5%
2024-07-30	miss	0.73	0.69	-5.2%	+12.8%	+13.2%	+3.7%
2024-05-07	beat	0.62	0.64	+2.7%	-8.1%	-5.4%	-0.5%
2024-01-30	beat	0.72	1.08	+49.7%	+0.0%	+1.7%	-7.7%
2023-10-31	miss	0.76	0.75	-1.7%	-12.7%	-15.3%	-13.8%
2023-08-01	beat	0.62	0.65	+5.3%	+3.3%	-0.9%	-0.9%
2023-05-02	miss	0.57	0.54	-4.2%	+8.9%	-2.9%	-6.4%
2023-01-31	beat	0.63	0.87	+39.2%	-7.8%	-5.0%	-11.4%
2022-11-01	beat	0.57	0.58	+1.9%	+18.1%	+4.2%	-2.2%
2022-08-02	beat	0.63	0.69	+9.0%	-21.7%	-17.6%	-13.9%
2022-05-03	beat	0.49	0.77	+56.7%	-12.0%	+6.2%	-11.7%
2022-02-01	miss	0.49	-0.47	-195.3%	+1.2%	+5.3%	+4.5%
2021-11-02	miss	0.58	0.56	-1.8%	+0.0%	+3.0%	+3.7%
2021-08-03	beat	0.54	0.56	+3.3%	-4.0%	-5.0%	-11.4%
2021-05-04	beat	0.45	0.66	+47.4%	+5.8%	+3.4%	+1.9%
2021-02-02	beat	0.53	0.54	+1.1%	-2.7%	-8.0%	+14.0%
2020-11-04	beat	0.52	0.59	+13.3%	+2.6%	+4.9%	+2.0%
2020-08-04	beat	0.48	0.63	+30.0%	+10.6%	+12.2%	+7.8%