MTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.9% median,
62% of the last 34 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 74
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.08 +0.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.8%
$66M/day volume
25% volatility
+8% 1-year
-64% from ATH
52-week range · 58% of the way up · -10% from the high
$24.69$31.89
Congressional trades in MTG Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.82.
1-day std dev
9.6%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+14.7%
Biggest drop
-64.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.2% | +4.3% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.4% | -4.4% | -9.1% | -8.8% |
| 2026-02-02 | beat | 0.75 | 0.75 | +0.7% | -5.1% | -5.2% | -2.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.74 | 0.83 | +12.2% | +1.2% | +4.3% | +4.9% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.72 | 0.82 | +14.3% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +9.1% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +5.3% |
| 2025-02-03 | beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.8% | +1.9% | +1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +15.2% | +0.2% | +1.4% | +6.1% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +21.9% | +3.1% | -1.3% | -5.3% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +7.1% | -1.4% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | 0.58 | 0.67 | +15.8% | -0.1% | +0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.7% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +3.3% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.68 | +29.0% | +2.2% | +4.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.0% | -0.3% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +19.1% | +3.2% | +0.4% | -3.0% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.86 | +62.3% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +4.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.81 | +84.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +4.4% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +23.4% | +0.7% | -2.5% | -7.0% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.44 | 0.61 | +38.6% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +4.2% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.5% | +0.1% | -4.0% | -3.3% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +3.6% | +1.1% | +3.8% | +10.5% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.7% | -1.8% | -5.4% | -7.1% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.8% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.30 | 0.43 | +44.6% | +1.5% | -4.8% | +2.3% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -81.8% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +7.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.9% | +1.5% | -4.3% | -10.1% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +13.1% | +4.1% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.43 | 0.48 | +12.8% | +2.4% | +3.1% | +1.7% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +9.0% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -0.7% |
| 2019-04-23 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +6.5% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +6.5% |
| 2019-01-17 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +7.7% | -2.3% | +1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2018-10-17 | beat | 0.37 | 0.48 | +31.4% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -10.0% |
| 2018-07-18 | beat | 0.36 | 0.49 | +36.7% | +6.9% | +9.1% | +10.1% |
| 2018-04-18 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.2% | +3.5% | -2.5% | -5.6% |
| 2018-01-18 | beat | 0.28 | 0.43 | +53.0% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +0.9% |
| 2017-10-18 | beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +24.4% | +1.1% | +3.3% | +5.0% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +23.7% | +1.4% | -0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +24.4% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2017-01-19 | beat | 0.22 | 0.28 | +29.4% | +3.0% | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| 2016-10-18 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +26.0% | +4.0% | +5.1% | +6.2% |
| 2016-07-19 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +24.3% | +9.6% | +6.7% | +13.3% |
| 2016-04-19 | miss | 0.22 | 0.18 | -18.9% | -2.6% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2016-01-21 | miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.2% | -2.2% | -12.9% | -12.7% |
| 2015-10-15 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +10.2% | +4.2% | +4.0% | -1.7% |
| 2015-07-16 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +11.2% | +1.1% | -1.4% | -3.6% |
| 2015-04-21 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.6% | +3.1% | +1.2% | +2.8% |
| 2015-01-20 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +12.8% | +3.7% | +0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2014-10-15 | beat | 0.11 | 0.17 | +63.8% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +5.6% |
| 2014-07-16 | miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -22.1% | -3.4% | -7.1% | -4.2% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +33.0% | +4.4% | +7.2% | -0.2% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +35.5% | +3.1% | +1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | -0.11 | 0.04 | +135.4% | +7.2% | +14.7% | +10.6% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | -0.16 | 0.03 | +119.2% | +11.8% | +10.2% | +14.5% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | -0.17 | -0.32 | -90.6% | -8.9% | -1.5% | +4.0% |
| 2013-02-28 | miss | -1.45 | -2.33 | -60.3% | -12.9% | +6.4% | +75.7% |
| 2012-11-09 | miss | -0.79 | -1.25 | -57.7% | -11.9% | -0.6% | -7.1% |
| 2012-08-02 | miss | -0.52 | -1.49 | -184.8% | -49.0% | -64.1% | -55.9% |
| 2012-04-23 | miss | -0.37 | -0.48 | -30.3% | +0.5% | -6.8% | -6.0% |
| 2012-01-24 | miss | -0.90 | -1.19 | -32.6% | -5.2% | +2.2% | -6.7% |
| 2011-10-21 | miss | -0.86 | -0.88 | -2.5% | -14.3% | -5.7% | +11.5% |
Not investment advice.
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