MTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.0% median,
65% of the last 37 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 72
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.96 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$64M/day volume
39% volatility
-9% 1-year
-40% from ATH
52-week range · 27% of the way up · -24% from the high
$56.66$85.38
Congressional trades in MTH Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 2 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 96 days) · EPS est. 1.40.
1-day std dev
6.9%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+18.2%
Biggest drop
-12.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | miss | 1.14 | 1.11 | -2.5% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 1.30 | 1.42 | +9.4% | +9.0% | -1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2026-04-22 | miss | 0.98 | 0.86 | -11.9% | -0.6% | +1.7% | -2.0% |
| 2026-01-28 | miss | 1.52 | 1.20 | -21.2% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +9.1% |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | 1.72 | 1.55 | -9.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% | -6.5% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 1.97 | 2.04 | +3.5% | +0.1% | -5.0% | -9.9% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 1.68 | 1.69 | +0.9% | -4.9% | +1.0% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-29 | beat | 2.20 | 4.72 | +114.5% | +3.3% | +2.8% | -2.8% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 2.49 | 2.67 | +7.2% | -5.2% | -1.7% | +3.4% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 2.58 | 3.16 | +22.7% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 1.76 | 2.53 | +43.8% | +6.9% | +6.7% | +11.9% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | 2.59 | 2.69 | +4.0% | -0.1% | -7.3% | -6.7% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 2.56 | 2.99 | +16.7% | -3.7% | +7.0% | +16.9% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.75 | 2.51 | +43.7% | +6.5% | +8.7% | +6.7% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 1.32 | 1.77 | +34.1% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 3.50 | 3.55 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +6.4% | +2.1% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 3.22 | 3.55 | +10.1% | +1.0% | +2.3% | -0.8% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 2.93 | 3.39 | +15.4% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -1.9% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 2.40 | 2.90 | +20.7% | +5.9% | +6.4% | +6.2% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 3.00 | 3.13 | +4.1% | +1.7% | -1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 2.23 | 2.63 | +17.9% | +0.4% | +3.6% | +2.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 1.73 | 2.40 | +38.6% | +9.4% | +11.7% | +13.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.26 | 1.72 | +36.8% | +4.9% | +11.7% | +16.7% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | 1.68 | 1.99 | +18.1% | -2.0% | -7.8% | -8.2% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 1.21 | 1.42 | +17.4% | +1.1% | -6.7% | -13.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.76 | 1.19 | +56.0% | +6.3% | +0.2% | +12.0% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 0.64 | 0.92 | +43.6% | +5.3% | +10.8% | +13.2% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 0.96 | 1.39 | +44.6% | +6.5% | +5.6% | +4.8% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.75 | 0.90 | +19.5% | -4.7% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.51 | 0.66 | +27.3% | +12.2% | +18.2% | +17.9% |
| 2019-04-23 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +2.0% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 0.76 | 0.97 | +27.2% | +8.4% | +10.1% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-24 | miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -2.3% | +2.4% | +9.5% | +15.7% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +18.9% | +3.0% | +4.1% | +4.5% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +10.0% | +3.8% | +5.4% | +5.2% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.0% | -2.5% | +5.8% | -5.2% |
| 2017-10-27 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +10.2% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.38 | 0.49 | +29.1% | +4.0% | +6.9% | +8.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +33.2% | +0.9% | +1.6% | -3.7% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +7.0% | -1.5% | -5.4% | -7.3% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +3.0% | -2.4% | -7.4% | -9.7% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +18.5% | -1.4% | -7.4% | -12.5% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +13.3% | -1.2% | -12.6% | -14.1% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +11.3% | +6.5% | +14.0% | +11.8% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -5.4% | -6.3% | -9.7% | -9.8% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.0% | -1.7% | -0.7% | -7.7% |
| 2015-04-23 | miss | 0.28 | 0.20 | -27.4% | -7.7% | -7.0% | -9.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.51 | 0.60 | +16.0% | +3.6% | +8.6% | +15.2% |
| 2014-10-29 | miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -12.2% | -1.3% | -6.0% | -5.9% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.9% | -1.4% | -3.9% | -11.1% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.8% | -1.9% | -8.2% | -10.2% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 0.52 | 0.63 | +20.4% | -2.8% | +2.3% | +3.7% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +23.7% | +1.8% | +4.4% | +6.1% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.23 | 0.39 | +66.9% | +1.9% | -4.2% | -3.7% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +33.8% | +3.9% | +8.1% | +7.7% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +49.0% | +2.7% | +2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +30.6% | -0.4% | -8.2% | -4.2% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +118.0% | +4.9% | +12.8% | +5.7% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -137.4% | -1.7% | +3.0% | -1.2% |
| 2012-01-31 | miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -28.6% | -6.0% | -10.9% | +1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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