MTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.0% median,
45% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.55%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.88 +2.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.1%
$6M/day volume
40% volatility
+20% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 86% of the way up · -5% from the high
$14.19$22.58
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.29.
1-day std dev
14.1%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+75.0%
Biggest drop
-16.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +5.4% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +6.2% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.5% | -6.0% | +3.5% | -5.4% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | 0.04 | -0.18 | -614.3% | -15.5% | -16.0% | -18.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +52.7% | +4.9% | -1.4% | -7.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +15.4% | +4.8% | +3.2% | +3.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -43.2% | -7.6% | -11.3% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | — | -0.08 | -2502.4% | -6.0% | -8.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.08 | -0.09 | -212.5% | -6.5% | -1.6% | -9.2% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 0.42 | 0.15 | -63.9% | -5.6% | -11.4% | -16.0% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.37 | 0.56 | +52.7% | +11.0% | +9.2% | +13.1% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +31.7% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +1.1% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -5.5% | -4.3% | -5.5% | -4.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +12.2% | -3.2% | -6.2% | -0.5% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.44 | +144.4% | +9.9% | +8.7% | +6.1% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | -0.26 | -0.10 | +61.5% | -1.1% | +2.3% | +9.6% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -12.5% | -2.5% | +13.8% | +20.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 1.33 | 1.29 | -3.0% | -4.5% | -4.0% | +2.2% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.6% | -3.3% | -11.3% | -11.9% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.80 | +33.3% | +3.6% | +16.3% | +29.7% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.66 | 1.04 | +57.6% | +3.2% | +5.0% | +8.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.62 | 0.96 | +54.8% | +6.8% | +11.0% | +29.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.36 | 0.43 | +19.4% | -1.9% | +3.2% | +13.4% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.18 | 0.01 | +105.6% | +7.3% | +5.1% | +26.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -0.24 | -0.38 | -58.3% | -3.1% | +0.8% | +8.9% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.80 | -0.31 | +61.2% | -0.3% | +8.9% | +13.4% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.34 | -0.25 | +25.6% | +7.6% | +25.3% | +15.3% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | -0.52 | -0.61 | -17.6% | -2.1% | -3.6% | -9.8% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.45 | -0.10 | +77.7% | +9.7% | +18.5% | -7.1% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | -0.30 | 0.12 | +139.7% | +15.0% | +5.1% | -4.2% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +3.8% | +0.3% | +8.5% | -5.4% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | -0.04 | 0.09 | +303.4% | -1.1% | +12.6% | +1.0% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | -0.07 | 0.05 | +179.0% | +6.9% | +14.1% | +11.8% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 0.27 | 0.21 | -23.5% | -6.0% | -15.8% | -26.3% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -44.8% | -5.4% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | -0.34 | -0.34 | +2.2% | -10.5% | -9.5% | -17.9% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -8.0% | -9.1% | -10.9% | -17.8% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2017-04-27 | -0.12 | -0.12 | — | +0.4% | -3.9% | -11.0% | |
| 2017-02-16 | beat | -0.43 | -0.39 | +10.0% | +9.3% | +12.2% | +17.7% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | -0.35 | -0.30 | +15.8% | -3.2% | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | -0.28 | -0.24 | +15.2% | -4.2% | -16.6% | -26.0% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | -0.41 | -0.31 | +23.7% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -2.2% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | -0.68 | -0.58 | +14.2% | +1.4% | +75.0% | +50.7% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | -0.78 | -0.69 | +11.6% | +2.1% | -0.6% | +15.4% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | -0.37 | -0.54 | -44.1% | -0.9% | -5.7% | -6.2% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +275.0% | -0.7% | +7.0% | +7.3% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -7.5% | +1.5% | -3.4% | +4.2% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +5.7% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.65 | 0.55 | -15.4% | -2.9% | +3.1% | +10.8% |
Not investment advice.
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