MUR

Murphy Oil Corporation $42.99 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.6%
Next 1 month
-2.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.9% median, 53% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 26
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.90 -2.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$63M/day volume 47% volatility +50% 1-year -51% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -4% from the high
$26.49$45.03

Congressional trades in MUR Full tracker →

2 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Jun 7, 2015.

SELL TM Thomas MacArthur · traded May 27, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY NR Nick J. Rahall · traded Dec 1, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY NR Nick J. Rahall · traded Nov 12, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.86.

1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+6.1%
Biggest drop
-8.3%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-05 miss 1.58 1.55 -2.2% -5.4% -8.3% -3.5%
2026-05-06 beat 0.31 0.32 +3.4% -5.0% -1.7% +0.1%
2026-01-28 beat -0.03 0.14 +523.5% -1.1% -1.1% -2.9%
2025-11-05 beat 0.18 0.41 +131.9% +4.6% +5.3% +11.0%
2025-08-06 beat 0.17 0.27 +61.2% +4.4% -3.3% -1.7%
2025-05-07 beat 0.49 0.56 +14.7% +0.0% +1.8% +7.4%
2025-01-30 miss 0.57 0.35 -38.4% -2.5% -5.9% -9.9%
2024-11-07 beat 0.64 0.74 +16.0% -0.3% +0.6% +1.5%
2024-08-08 beat 0.73 0.81 +10.7% +4.5% +0.9% +2.3%
2024-05-02 beat 0.82 0.85 +3.5% +0.4% +0.1% +1.7%
2024-01-25 miss 1.03 0.90 -12.8% -1.1% -0.3% +0.4%
2023-11-02 beat 1.43 1.59 +11.2% -0.3% +3.0% -5.5%
2023-08-03 miss 0.82 0.79 -3.4% +0.9% +3.6% +5.5%
2023-05-03 beat 0.98 1.24 +26.6% -2.3% -0.3% -0.8%
2023-01-26 miss 1.12 1.10 -2.1% +0.7% +5.8% -3.5%
2022-11-03 beat 1.61 1.84 +14.1% -9.1% -3.2% -0.5%
2022-08-04 beat 1.54 1.93 +25.1% +1.4% +1.3% +9.0%
2022-05-04 beat 0.61 0.73 +18.9% +1.1% +2.1% -15.0%
2022-01-27 miss 0.44 0.40 -9.6% +2.7% +1.7% +7.5%
2021-11-04 beat 0.18 0.24 +32.0% +4.7% -1.4% +2.4%
2021-08-05 beat 0.36 0.59 +63.1% +3.4% +5.7% +12.1%
2021-05-06 beat -0.16 0.06 +138.0% -0.6% -0.4% +3.8%
2021-01-28 beat -0.11 -0.09 +16.2% -1.1% -7.6% -7.1%
2020-11-05 beat -0.18 -0.15 +15.4% -2.5% -5.3% +9.1%
2020-08-06 beat -0.93 -0.71 +23.4% -3.8% -3.6% +2.7%
2020-05-06 beat -0.44 -0.30 +32.0% +0.1% +2.0% +8.9%
2020-01-30 miss 0.17 0.16 -5.7% -9.8% -5.9% -0.9%
2019-10-31 beat 0.20 0.36 +81.7% +7.6% +5.7% +28.0%
2019-08-08 beat 0.18 0.21 +17.2% +2.1% -7.3% -14.4%
2019-05-02 miss 0.15 0.15 -3.2% -3.7% -1.9% +6.8%
2019-01-31 beat 0.25 0.31 +24.3% +0.5% -1.8% -5.1%
2018-11-07 miss 0.35 0.35 -0.5% -2.1% -3.4% +0.2%
2018-08-08 beat 0.33 0.36 +8.6% +0.0% -7.2% -8.0%
2018-05-02 miss 0.26 0.23 -10.3% -1.0% -5.0% +2.0%
2018-01-31 beat 0.08 0.08 +3.0% -1.4% -2.0% -16.9%
2017-11-01 beat -0.15 -0.03 +80.0% -1.9% +1.6% +8.8%
2017-08-02 beat -0.15 -0.11 +25.8% +2.5% +0.2% +0.0%
2017-05-03 miss -0.04 -0.06 -35.2% -1.0% -1.6% +4.8%
2017-01-25 beat -0.17 -0.16 +5.0% -4.9% -3.4% -9.0%
2016-10-26 beat -0.20 -0.18 +12.2% -1.0% -7.1% -8.9%
2016-07-27 beat -0.39 -0.36 +7.6% -0.3% -4.4% -2.7%
2016-05-04 beat -0.68 -0.66 +2.9% +1.0% -7.8% -7.5%
2016-01-27 beat -1.29 -0.76 +41.1% +7.9% +1.7% +10.3%
2015-10-28 beat -0.93 -0.72 +22.6% -0.3% +4.2% +14.3%
2015-07-29 beat -0.53 -0.48 +9.2% +0.4% +2.2% -3.6%
2015-04-29 miss -0.89 -1.11 -25.3% +0.2% -3.2% -5.0%
2015-01-28 beat 0.27 0.39 +44.1% +1.0% +0.6% +15.6%
2014-10-29 beat 0.97 1.15 +18.6% +0.0% +0.4% +2.0%
2014-07-30 miss 1.21 0.90 -25.8% -8.2% -6.9% -9.5%
2014-05-01 miss 0.97 0.96 -1.4% -3.8% -3.3% -5.4%
2014-01-29 miss 1.12 1.07 -5.0% -2.5% -5.0% -7.6%
2013-10-30 miss 1.46 1.34 -8.4% -2.0% -2.7% -3.4%
2013-07-31 beat 1.53 1.75 +14.1% +0.6% +6.1% +3.7%
2013-05-01 beat 1.01 1.08 +6.8% +0.6% -0.3% +5.1%
2013-01-30 miss 1.38 0.84 -39.1% -1.6% -5.3% -4.7%
2012-10-31 miss 1.20 1.17 -2.6% +0.0% +0.0% -3.3%
2012-08-01 beat 1.32 1.52 +14.9% -1.1% -0.7% +1.3%
2012-05-02 beat 1.46 1.49 +2.4% -1.7% -6.3% -11.0%
2012-01-25 miss 1.38 1.31 -5.4% +1.8% +2.1% -2.0%
2011-11-02 beat 1.26 1.73 +37.1% +2.4% +3.2% -2.1%

Not investment advice.