MUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
-1.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +1.9% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 25
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.62 -1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$10.8B market cap (#867 US)
$110M/day volume
40% volatility
+40% 1-year
-16% from ATH
52-week range · 63% of the way up · -16% from the high
$349.83$636.05
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-28 (Wednesday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 8.60.
1-day std dev
6.9%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+24.3%
Biggest drop
-12.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 10.02 | 11.24 | +12.2% | -7.0% | -7.7% | -3.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 5.50 | 7.28 | +32.3% | +2.8% | +14.3% | +12.9% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 6.90 | 7.88 | +14.2% | -1.8% | -10.7% | -13.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 6.95 | 6.76 | -2.8% | -3.6% | -7.3% | -9.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 6.56 | 7.36 | +12.1% | +4.6% | -11.2% | -8.7% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 3.74 | 2.63 | -29.7% | -3.1% | -12.3% | -10.9% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 6.68 | 7.50 | +12.3% | -3.3% | -3.2% | -4.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 7.07 | 7.20 | +1.8% | -0.5% | +3.3% | +7.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | 7.05 | 6.92 | -1.8% | -2.3% | +2.0% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 4.46 | 3.12 | -30.0% | -6.5% | -3.7% | +1.6% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 6.65 | 7.00 | +5.3% | +2.7% | +9.2% | +6.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 6.55 | 7.69 | +17.5% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +0.2% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 6.28 | 6.02 | -4.1% | -1.4% | -1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 4.17 | 4.80 | +15.0% | +5.3% | +1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2023-02-01 | miss | 6.17 | 5.24 | -15.0% | -4.6% | -3.6% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 7.01 | 9.30 | +32.8% | +3.5% | +5.5% | +7.3% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 5.21 | 7.52 | +44.4% | +4.5% | +7.8% | +7.4% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 2.89 | 6.08 | +110.6% | +3.0% | +4.9% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 3.25 | 4.23 | +30.3% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -10.8% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 3.44 | 3.99 | +15.9% | +2.1% | -1.6% | +2.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 3.00 | 4.81 | +60.5% | +1.1% | -0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.52 | 2.26 | +49.2% | +0.4% | -2.5% | -3.7% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 2.17 | 2.22 | +2.5% | +0.5% | +2.8% | -2.2% |
| 2020-10-28 | miss | 2.55 | 2.27 | -11.0% | -2.4% | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2020-07-21 | beat | 5.16 | 5.73 | +11.0% | +2.2% | +14.3% | +13.0% |
| 2020-04-17 | beat | 2.22 | 2.92 | +31.3% | +5.0% | +5.2% | +6.9% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 1.46 | 1.54 | +5.5% | -2.5% | -6.3% | -6.8% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 1.46 | 2.55 | +74.1% | +11.2% | +24.3% | +22.6% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 1.08 | 1.03 | -5.4% | -7.2% | -3.5% | +3.6% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +3.5% | -1.5% | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | 2.64 | 2.40 | -8.7% | -3.6% | -8.7% | -4.9% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 1.62 | 1.41 | -13.3% | -1.8% | +0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 1.19 | 1.52 | +28.3% | +1.9% | +4.8% | +6.7% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | 0.33 | 0.12 | -62.5% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2018-01-31 | miss | 1.29 | 1.09 | -15.5% | -1.6% | -7.4% | -18.6% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.39 | 1.86 | +33.3% | +0.5% | -3.0% | -2.0% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 1.09 | 1.51 | +39.3% | +2.4% | -3.6% | -9.9% |
| 2017-05-01 | miss | 0.75 | -0.05 | -106.8% | -3.2% | -4.8% | -4.7% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.99 | 1.16 | +16.8% | +0.0% | +5.5% | +4.4% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 1.60 | 1.13 | -29.8% | -4.0% | -3.5% | -14.8% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.98 | 1.18 | +20.2% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +1.8% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | 0.48 | 0.75 | +57.6% | +2.4% | +11.9% | +11.2% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | 0.95 | 1.59 | +67.2% | -1.1% | -1.5% | +0.9% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 1.32 | 1.40 | +6.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -6.9% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 0.79 | 0.59 | -25.1% | -1.0% | -5.7% | -6.3% |
| 2015-05-04 | 0.50 | 0.50 | — | -1.5% | -8.0% | -10.3% | |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 1.38 | 1.99 | +44.2% | -1.1% | -2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 1.02 | 1.36 | +33.5% | -0.7% | +2.6% | +5.2% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.84 | 1.57 | +88.0% | +0.1% | +2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2014-05-05 | miss | 0.22 | -0.04 | -117.9% | -0.7% | -3.0% | +8.3% |
| 2014-02-19 | miss | 0.67 | 0.63 | -5.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.0% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.81 | +108.6% | +9.1% | +1.1% | +3.1% |
Not investment advice.
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