NAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.4% median,
54% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 89
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.09 +0.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$41M/day volume
40% volatility
+119% 1-year
-85% from ATH
52-week range · 86% of the way up · -9% from the high
$3.33$8.88
Congressional trades in NAT Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 1 sells · $46K–$165K disclosed · latest filing Jul 28, 2022.
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-27 (Friday, after close, in 29 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
5.5%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+15.1%
Biggest drop
-12.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -3.4% | +2.1% | +0.1% | +7.2% |
| 2026-05-27 | miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -20.8% | +3.3% | -3.4% | +0.8% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | 0.14 | 0.06 | -55.6% | -3.8% | +7.1% | +10.7% |
| 2025-11-27 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -137.5% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2025-08-28 | miss | 0.05 | -0.04 | -175.2% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +6.9% |
| 2025-05-28 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -271.8% | +0.4% | -3.4% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -72.7% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +2.4% |
| 2024-11-29 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -33.3% | +0.7% | -6.9% | -6.9% |
| 2024-08-29 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +21.2% | +2.5% | +1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2024-05-29 | miss | 0.11 | 0.07 | -36.4% | +1.8% | +7.3% | +6.2% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | 0.13 | 0.08 | -37.2% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2023-11-28 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -23.8% | +0.5% | -8.4% | -8.6% |
| 2023-08-27 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -9.3% | +1.5% | +3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-21 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.0% | +1.0% | -4.5% | -12.5% |
| 2023-02-27 | miss | 0.20 | 0.15 | -28.4% | +4.5% | +4.2% | +3.8% |
| 2022-12-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +25.0% | -1.9% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 2022-08-30 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +40.0% | -4.8% | -10.7% | +10.4% |
| 2022-05-31 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -31.6% | +0.9% | -10.9% | +0.4% |
| 2022-02-25 | -0.12 | -0.12 | — | +2.3% | +12.3% | +32.7% | |
| 2021-11-24 | miss | -0.17 | -0.22 | -26.9% | -2.1% | +0.5% | -2.1% |
| 2021-08-30 | miss | -0.17 | -0.18 | -8.0% | +0.9% | -3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2021-05-25 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +10.1% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2021-02-26 | miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -21.8% | -1.2% | -7.2% | +0.6% |
| 2020-11-16 | miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -59.1% | -0.3% | +2.5% | +6.0% |
| 2020-08-17 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +18.9% | +2.9% | -1.8% | -3.3% |
| 2020-05-17 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.9% | +0.6% | -6.8% | -1.7% |
| 2020-02-18 | miss | 0.20 | 0.09 | -55.9% | +0.0% | -5.2% | -17.7% |
| 2019-11-24 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -25.0% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -6.5% |
| 2019-08-16 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +17.5% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +4.0% |
| 2019-05-13 | beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +500.0% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +23.7% |
| 2019-02-18 | beat | -0.09 | -0.05 | +43.6% | -5.8% | +2.2% | +1.3% |
| 2018-11-12 | miss | -0.12 | -0.17 | -38.8% | -4.7% | -12.4% | -9.8% |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -15.8% | +0.0% | -6.5% | -2.6% |
| 2018-05-16 | beat | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.8% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +8.0% |
| 2018-02-12 | miss | -0.18 | -0.20 | -12.3% | +0.0% | +11.2% | +10.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -40.2% | -0.2% | -3.4% | -3.0% |
| 2017-08-07 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -23.2% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -5.0% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -233.3% | -3.1% | -4.1% | +4.1% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +42.9% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +1.3% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -0.15 | -0.08 | +46.7% | +8.4% | +15.1% | +13.3% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +7.1% | +3.8% | +3.6% | -1.7% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.8% | +0.5% | +4.6% | -6.4% |
| 2016-02-08 | miss | 0.45 | 0.34 | -25.1% | -5.0% | +6.2% | +17.4% |
| 2015-11-11 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +10.5% | +0.9% | -0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.4% | +1.4% | -2.7% | +2.5% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +16.2% | +4.0% | +2.6% | +9.6% |
| 2015-02-09 | miss | 0.08 | 0.01 | -87.8% | +0.5% | -6.0% | +0.4% |
| 2014-11-10 | beat | -0.08 | 0.01 | +112.2% | +2.6% | +2.8% | +0.1% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | -0.18 | -0.19 | -3.2% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +4.9% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | 0.16 | 0.05 | -67.7% | +2.7% | +5.4% | +3.5% |
| 2014-02-10 | miss | -0.26 | -0.31 | -19.0% | -0.3% | -5.4% | -3.3% |
| 2013-11-11 | miss | -0.27 | -0.29 | -7.5% | +0.0% | +7.3% | +2.8% |
| 2013-08-12 | miss | -0.31 | -0.48 | -57.2% | -1.0% | +2.3% | -14.7% |
| 2013-05-13 | miss | -0.26 | -0.43 | -66.1% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2013-02-11 | miss | -0.38 | -0.39 | -1.9% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2012-11-15 | miss | -0.32 | -0.44 | -39.0% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +11.7% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | -0.23 | -0.15 | +33.6% | +1.1% | +7.0% | +10.5% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | -0.09 | -0.18 | -91.5% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2012-02-13 | miss | -0.36 | -0.37 | -3.4% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +5.8% |
| 2011-11-07 | miss | -0.31 | -0.46 | -48.9% | -0.5% | -3.5% | +0.6% |
Not investment advice.
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