NCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.8%
Next 1 month
+5.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +4.0% median,
67% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.01 +5.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$8.0B market cap (#804 US)
$343M/day volume
56% volatility
-18% 1-year
-72% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -28% from the high
$13.63$25.13
Congressional trades in NCLH Full tracker →
5 members · 5 buys / 5 sells · $38K–$220K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
7.2%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+19.8%
Biggest drop
-15.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 0.94 | — | — | +9.3% | +13.4% | — | |
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.39 | 0.48 | +22.8% | -8.6% | -9.8% | -6.7% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +61.2% | -6.9% | -8.6% | -11.9% |
| 2026-03-02 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +5.5% | -8.8% | -10.5% | -16.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.3% | -8.0% | -15.3% | -15.1% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.1% | +11.6% | +9.2% | +4.6% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -22.9% | -10.0% | -7.8% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.11 | 0.26 | +142.9% | +3.1% | -5.3% | -20.2% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.3% | +5.7% | +6.3% | +13.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.7% | +3.9% | -0.7% | -20.0% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +79.0% | -4.9% | -15.0% | -15.0% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | -0.13 | -0.18 | -33.3% | +11.0% | +19.8% | +23.4% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.68 | 0.76 | +11.2% | -0.2% | -3.7% | -1.2% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +13.2% | -10.9% | -12.1% | -16.5% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | -0.43 | -0.30 | +29.5% | +0.8% | +8.9% | +6.8% |
| 2023-02-28 | miss | -0.84 | -1.04 | -24.0% | -4.8% | -10.2% | -3.3% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.69 | -0.64 | +7.1% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +9.8% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.83 | -1.14 | -36.8% | -7.9% | -10.6% | +7.6% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | -1.41 | -1.82 | -29.4% | +8.5% | +1.6% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -1.61 | -1.95 | -20.9% | -9.1% | +0.4% | -3.8% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -2.00 | -2.17 | -8.5% | -1.8% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2021-08-06 | beat | -2.00 | -1.93 | +3.4% | +1.6% | +2.9% | +3.6% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -2.06 | -2.03 | +1.7% | -0.5% | -6.8% | -11.4% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -2.16 | -2.33 | -8.0% | +4.0% | -8.0% | +5.2% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -2.22 | -2.35 | -5.9% | -3.3% | -6.5% | +2.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -2.28 | -2.78 | -21.7% | -2.8% | +3.8% | +11.8% |
| 2020-05-14 | miss | -0.69 | -0.99 | -42.5% | -3.6% | +4.4% | +36.1% |
| 2020-02-20 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +3.6% | -1.0% | -6.7% | -33.2% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 2.16 | 2.23 | +3.0% | +2.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.6% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.71 | 0.83 | +17.1% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.1% | +2.0% | +3.4% | +3.4% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 2.21 | 2.27 | +2.8% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +5.1% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | 1.03 | 1.21 | +17.1% | +5.2% | +4.1% | +6.0% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +10.8% | +2.0% | -3.4% | -5.0% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.5% | +1.4% | -2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 1.82 | 1.86 | +2.1% | +0.3% | +2.4% | -2.9% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.97 | 1.02 | +5.0% | +4.2% | +4.9% | +1.4% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.9% | -2.4% | -3.1% | -13.8% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.7% | +2.2% | +7.1% | +5.9% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | 1.59 | 1.62 | +2.0% | -5.9% | -9.2% | +1.1% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.4% | -7.9% | -11.8% | -12.4% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +3.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.3% | +3.4% | +6.3% | +14.1% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 1.34 | 1.35 | +0.5% | -6.0% | -5.0% | -8.3% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.4% | +1.1% | -4.1% | -4.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +17.6% | +1.0% | +7.2% | +12.2% |
| 2015-02-17 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -1.3% | +3.0% | +7.6% | +12.7% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.08 | 1.11 | +2.8% | +0.9% | +4.9% | +6.3% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.6% | -2.0% | +2.4% | -1.0% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.9% | -1.6% | +4.0% | +0.6% |
| 2014-02-18 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +6.1% | +1.1% | -4.6% | -4.4% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.3% | +3.9% | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.4% | -0.6% | -2.3% | -0.7% |
| 2013-05-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +103.4% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -3.3% |
| 2013-02-11 | beat | -0.03 | 0.04 | +233.3% | +4.4% | +2.3% | +11.3% |
Posted about NCLH
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TRACKER - Analyst Ratings
short
15.15
6d ago
JP Morgan downgraded NCLH. The move: JP Morgan downgraded NCLH: Neutral to Underweight with a $11 target, on 23 October 2026. The price: shown for…
Not investment advice.
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