NEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.3%
Next 1 month
-1.9%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.2% median,
50% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.64%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.69 -1.8% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.1%
$17M/day volume
60% volatility
+5% 1-year
-68% from ATH
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -30% from the high
$4.75$9.24
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. -0.53.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+31.8%
Biggest drop
-8.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 37 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | -0.50 | -0.56 | -12.3% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +7.3% |
| 2026-05-01 | miss | -0.49 | -0.51 | -4.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -3.4% |
| 2026-03-02 | miss | -0.61 | -0.89 | -45.4% | +11.3% | +4.1% | +3.2% |
| 2025-11-18 | -0.54 | — | — | -0.6% | +0.4% | +0.3% | |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.54 | -0.13 | +75.1% | -0.2% | +2.8% | +2.6% |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.12 | — | — | +0.0% | -2.2% | -11.3% | |
| 2025-08-01 | miss | -0.12 | -0.29 | -129.0% | -2.3% | -2.3% | -9.0% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -0.25 | -0.34 | -36.0% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +11.9% |
| 2025-02-28 | beat | -0.19 | 0.25 | +231.6% | -1.4% | +13.2% | -3.2% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.06 | 0.80 | +1426.7% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +4.9% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | -0.06 | -0.39 | -556.2% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.17 | 0.11 | +166.0% | +0.9% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2024-03-11 | beat | -0.06 | 0.53 | +979.3% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +7.4% |
| 2023-11-13 | miss | -0.15 | -0.60 | -297.5% | +4.0% | +7.6% | +4.9% |
| 2023-08-14 | miss | -0.22 | -0.26 | -16.6% | +8.0% | +6.9% | +13.9% |
| 2023-05-11 | beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +12.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -0.3% |
| 2023-03-10 | beat | -0.31 | -0.18 | +41.9% | -0.5% | -5.0% | -32.4% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | -0.11 | -0.19 | -76.7% | +3.7% | +3.3% | -13.1% |
| 2022-08-11 | miss | -0.12 | -0.13 | -5.4% | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2022-05-12 | miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -69.7% | +1.9% | +14.9% | +24.0% |
| 2022-03-28 | miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -91.3% | -8.7% | +1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +40.0% | +1.9% | +4.6% | +6.0% |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | -0.05 | -0.13 | -136.4% | +0.6% | -8.2% | -4.8% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +25.0% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2021-03-25 | beat | -0.10 | -0.05 | +51.0% | +23.1% | +31.8% | +60.5% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -38.5% | -0.4% | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -14.3% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2020-05-18 | beat | -0.09 | -0.09 | +0.2% | +7.5% | +16.7% | +27.5% |
| 2020-03-03 | miss | -0.09 | -0.16 | -68.4% | -9.7% | -4.7% | -34.2% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | -0.22 | -0.06 | +72.7% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.12 | 0.04 | +136.8% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -1.1% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | -0.09 | -0.16 | -71.0% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +9.3% |
| 2019-03-06 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -25.4% | -0.2% | -5.5% | +6.9% |
| 2018-11-09 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +27.1% | -1.2% | -3.8% | -3.6% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +66.7% | -0.9% | +0.3% | -1.3% |
| 2018-05-09 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | -0.9% | -1.6% | +0.1% | |
| 2018-03-08 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -23.1% | -0.2% | -5.5% | -3.7% |
Posted about NEXT
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