NFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.3% median,
57% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.21 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$26.5B market cap (#25 US)
$3.0B/day volume
36% volatility
-43% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -47% from the high
$61.51$116.73
Congressional trades in NFLX Full tracker →
45 members · 138 buys / 117 sells · $5.8M–$18.5M disclosed · latest filing Oct 1, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Showing the 60 most recent filings of 255 — full tracker.
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 82 days) · EPS est. 0.68.
1-day std dev
13.3%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+42.2%
Biggest drop
-35.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | beat | 0.82 | 0.87 | +5.8% | -6.6% | -5.3% | -9.8% |
| 2026-07-16 | beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +1.4% | -11.9% | -7.3% | -5.7% |
| 2026-04-16 | miss | 1.32 | 1.23 | -6.9% | -10.6% | -9.7% | -14.2% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.4% | -5.4% | -2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2025-10-21 | miss | 0.70 | 0.59 | -15.8% | -7.9% | -10.1% | -11.4% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.9% | -2.5% | -5.1% | -7.4% |
| 2025-04-17 | beat | 0.57 | 0.66 | +16.4% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +14.1% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.8% | +14.8% | +9.7% | +12.5% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +5.3% | +7.3% | +11.1% | +9.7% |
| 2024-07-18 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.5% | +2.7% | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +16.7% | -7.0% | -9.1% | -8.1% |
| 2024-01-23 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.8% | +9.3% | +10.7% | +14.6% |
| 2023-10-18 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.7% | +16.9% | +16.1% | +16.6% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +15.4% | -6.4% | -8.4% | -13.5% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -3.8% |
| 2023-01-19 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -75.2% | +6.7% | +8.5% | +14.2% |
| 2022-10-18 | beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +45.2% | +10.0% | +13.1% | +24.0% |
| 2022-07-19 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +8.8% | +3.2% | +7.3% | +12.5% |
| 2022-04-19 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +21.0% | -29.7% | -35.1% | -45.9% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +61.5% | -21.2% | -21.8% | -24.4% |
| 2021-10-19 | beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +24.5% | -2.1% | -2.2% | +3.7% |
| 2021-07-20 | miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -5.9% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -2.2% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 0.30 | 0.38 | +25.5% | -7.6% | -7.4% | -7.8% |
| 2021-01-19 | miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -15.1% | +12.7% | +16.9% | +4.3% |
| 2020-10-20 | miss | 0.21 | 0.17 | -18.7% | -4.6% | -6.9% | -7.5% |
| 2020-07-16 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -13.1% | -6.2% | -6.5% | -8.9% |
| 2020-04-21 | miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -4.0% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -5.1% |
| 2020-01-21 | beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +147.9% | -1.6% | -3.6% | +1.5% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +40.5% | +6.4% | +2.5% | -5.2% |
| 2019-07-17 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +7.5% | -10.7% | -10.3% | -9.9% |
| 2019-04-16 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +32.3% | +1.6% | -1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2019-01-17 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +27.4% | -0.3% | -4.0% | -5.0% |
| 2018-10-16 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +31.4% | +9.2% | +5.3% | -12.9% |
| 2018-07-16 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +7.3% | -13.4% | -5.2% | -10.8% |
| 2018-04-16 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +2.3% | +7.1% | +9.2% | -0.2% |
| 2018-01-22 | miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.8% | +12.1% | +10.0% | +22.5% |
| 2017-10-16 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -9.6% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2017-07-17 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -5.1% | +8.9% | +13.5% | +15.6% |
| 2017-04-17 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +7.7% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +3.3% |
| 2017-01-18 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +14.3% | +6.6% | +3.9% | +4.3% |
| 2016-10-17 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +117.8% | +16.9% | +19.0% | +26.8% |
| 2016-07-18 | beat | — | 0.01 | +312.8% | -13.5% | -13.1% | -7.5% |
| 2016-04-18 | beat | — | 0.01 | +100.0% | -8.2% | -13.0% | -14.7% |
| 2016-01-19 | beat | — | 0.01 | +371.7% | +0.9% | -0.1% | -15.5% |
| 2015-10-14 | miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -6.9% | -5.9% | -8.3% | -11.7% |
| 2015-07-15 | beat | — | 0.01 | +55.8% | +13.1% | +18.0% | +12.2% |
| 2015-04-15 | miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -39.3% | +11.9% | +18.2% | +17.6% |
| 2015-01-20 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +62.0% | +18.9% | +17.3% | +26.9% |
| 2014-10-15 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +4.6% | -25.8% | -19.4% | -14.6% |
| 2014-07-21 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +1.1% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -6.1% |
| 2014-04-21 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +5.3% | +8.1% | +7.0% | -8.2% |
| 2014-01-22 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +18.8% | +16.1% | +16.5% | +21.2% |
| 2013-10-21 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +4.5% | +9.3% | -9.2% | -7.8% |
| 2013-07-22 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +19.4% | -4.0% | -4.5% | -6.9% |
| 2013-04-22 | beat | — | — | +54.4% | +23.6% | +24.4% | +23.9% |
| 2013-01-23 | beat | — | — | +189.9% | +39.5% | +42.2% | +60.1% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | — | — | +232.1% | -15.2% | -11.9% | +12.7% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | — | — | +112.2% | -20.1% | -25.0% | -32.1% |
| 2012-04-23 | beat | — | — | +69.7% | -15.1% | -13.9% | -20.1% |
| 2012-01-25 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +28.6% | +19.8% | +22.0% | +30.4% |
Posted about NFLX
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