NSSC

Napco Security Technologies, Inc $39.98 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.7% median, 55% of the last 44 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 94
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.51%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.18 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$11M/day volume 40% volatility -9% 1-year -31% from ATH
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -23% from the high
$33.91$51.77

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.38.

1-day std dev
10.6%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+23.6%
Biggest drop
-26.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 54 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-24 beat 0.38 0.50 +31.6% +21.2% -1.3% -4.9%
2026-05-04 beat 0.34 0.39 +14.7% -1.2% -15.2% -13.9%
2026-02-02 beat 0.31 0.37 +19.4% +6.3% +11.2% +16.6%
2025-11-03 beat 0.30 0.35 +15.2% +5.5% -7.7% -4.1%
2025-08-25 beat 0.26 0.36 +38.9% +8.6% +6.1% +21.4%
2025-05-05 beat 0.27 0.30 +11.7% +11.7% +3.7% +15.3%
2025-02-03 miss 0.34 0.29 -16.0% -20.2% -26.6% -29.0%
2024-11-04 miss 0.33 0.29 -11.9% -14.5% -10.6% +0.4%
2024-08-26 beat 0.34 0.39 +14.2% -1.7% -14.6% -21.9%
2024-05-06 beat 0.32 0.37 +15.6% +1.9% +6.7% +4.6%
2024-02-05 beat 0.25 0.35 +41.2% +12.0% +18.8% +28.8%
2023-11-06 beat 0.22 0.27 +22.7% +17.3% +21.5% +38.9%
2023-08-29 beat 0.27 0.30 +9.4% +5.4% +7.6% +5.4%
2023-05-08 beat 0.20 0.30 +55.5% +14.6% +23.6% +26.4%
2023-02-06 beat 0.15 0.23 +56.5% +2.8% +10.4% +7.3%
2022-11-07 beat 0.14 0.18 +29.0% +1.3% +14.2% +12.6%
2022-08-29 beat 0.11 0.21 +93.6% +7.0% +11.8% +13.8%
2022-05-09 beat 0.08 0.09 +16.8% +0.3% -1.0% +2.4%
2022-02-07 miss 0.10 0.06 -44.7% -22.5% -5.1% -4.2%
2021-11-08 miss 0.13 0.11 -12.8% +5.5% +0.0% -0.9%
2021-09-13 beat 0.13 0.14 +7.1% +7.9% +16.0% +7.9%
2021-05-10 beat 0.09 0.12 +30.9% -10.0% -2.0% -1.4%
2021-02-08 beat 0.07 0.09 +23.6% +2.2% +14.7% +17.8%
2020-11-02 beat 0.05 0.07 +30.0% +0.6% +3.1% +17.2%
2020-09-08 miss 0.09 0.04 -54.4% -8.6% -7.1% -2.8%
2020-05-04 beat 0.08 0.10 +20.0% +1.2% +15.2% +16.9%
2020-02-03 beat 0.09 0.10 +5.6% -6.5% -22.2% -23.5%
2019-11-04 beat 0.08 0.09 +13.3% +6.2% +1.4% -0.8%
2019-09-03 0.13 0.13 — -1.9% -21.9% -27.2%
2019-05-06 beat 0.06 0.09 +54.5% -0.8% +9.8% +4.1%
2019-02-04 beat 0.05 0.08 +66.7% +3.7% +20.2% +29.1%
2018-11-05 0.04 0.04 — +2.9% +4.4% +12.7%
2018-09-04 miss 0.11 0.10 -4.8% -1.0% +2.0% +0.0%
2018-05-07 beat 0.04 0.05 +42.9% +3.2% +8.3% +8.7%
2018-02-05 beat 0.03 0.04 +16.7% -1.0% +2.1% -1.6%
2017-11-06 0.03 0.03 — +1.5% -0.5% -5.6%
2017-09-05 miss 0.10 0.09 -10.5% -1.3% +5.8% +14.8%
2017-05-08 miss 0.04 0.03 -28.6% -6.2% -4.3% -13.4%
2017-02-06 beat 0.02 0.03 +25.0% -0.5% -1.6% -3.2%
2016-11-07 0.02 0.02 — +2.8% +0.7% +9.2%
2016-09-06 0.09 0.09 — +2.0% -5.5% -7.7%
2016-05-09 beat 0.02 0.03 +50.0% +2.8% +1.9% +4.7%
2016-02-01 miss 0.04 0.03 -37.5% -6.1% +1.7% -1.3%
2015-11-09 miss 0.03 0.01 -60.0% -10.8% -6.0% -8.2%
2015-09-08 beat 0.07 0.09 +38.5% +6.5% -4.5% -1.9%
2015-05-11 miss 0.03 0.01 -66.7% -4.5% -4.5% -1.7%
2015-02-09 0.03 0.03 — +3.2% -3.7% +11.2%
2011-09-12 beat 0.03 0.05 +80.0% +4.6% -1.1% +0.4%
2011-05-16 0.02 0.02 — +1.8% +0.0% +5.9%
2010-11-15 — -0.02 — +1.2% +3.1% -0.6%
2010-09-28 — -0.05 — +2.3% +8.7% +1.7%
2010-05-17 miss -0.02 -0.03 -18.0% -1.4% +2.8% +3.7%
2010-02-12 miss -0.02 -0.02 -25.0% -6.1% +2.8% +5.6%
2009-11-16 miss -0.02 -0.05 -100.0% -7.8% -3.0% -0.6%

Not investment advice.