NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.0% median,
69% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.87 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$34.1B market cap (#544 US)
$215M/day volume
24% volatility
+36% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -12% from the high
$121.53$195.78
Congressional trades in NTRS Full tracker →
9 members · 15 buys / 9 sells · $24K–$360K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, before open, in 84 days) · EPS est. 3.06.
1-day std dev
4.6%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+13.4%
Biggest drop
-9.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 2.84 | 3.40 | +19.7% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 4.62 | 4.23 | -8.3% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -4.0% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 2.33 | 2.71 | +16.1% | +1.9% | +8.0% | +5.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 2.37 | 2.42 | +2.0% | +3.9% | +6.0% | +4.3% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 2.24 | 2.29 | +2.2% | -3.1% | -2.4% | -1.0% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 2.04 | 2.13 | +4.2% | -4.4% | -1.8% | +4.0% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.1% | +6.6% | +3.0% | +8.4% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 2.00 | 2.26 | +12.8% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 1.93 | 2.22 | +15.1% | +5.4% | +7.0% | +5.9% |
| 2024-07-17 | beat | 1.73 | 4.34 | +151.0% | +1.4% | -5.1% | -4.7% |
| 2024-04-16 | miss | 1.06 | 0.96 | -9.8% | -3.5% | -5.0% | +0.6% |
| 2024-01-18 | miss | 0.91 | 0.52 | -42.9% | +2.5% | -2.4% | -1.4% |
| 2023-10-18 | miss | 1.49 | 1.49 | -0.2% | -2.1% | -6.6% | -10.7% |
| 2023-07-19 | miss | 1.61 | 1.56 | -3.2% | +6.8% | +13.4% | +11.4% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 1.51 | 1.51 | +0.1% | -2.5% | -9.3% | -13.4% |
| 2023-01-19 | miss | 1.79 | 0.71 | -60.4% | -3.8% | -8.6% | -2.1% |
| 2022-10-19 | miss | 1.85 | 1.80 | -2.5% | -10.8% | -9.2% | -6.2% |
| 2022-07-20 | miss | 1.93 | 1.86 | -3.4% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -4.2% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 1.64 | 1.77 | +7.9% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 1.81 | 1.91 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -4.6% | -8.8% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 1.68 | 1.80 | +7.4% | +2.1% | +3.4% | -0.3% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 1.72 | 1.72 | +0.2% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +0.0% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 1.49 | 1.70 | +14.4% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +4.7% |
| 2021-01-21 | miss | 1.49 | 1.12 | -24.6% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -3.8% |
| 2020-10-21 | miss | 1.37 | 1.32 | -3.9% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -9.3% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 1.37 | 1.46 | +6.5% | +3.1% | -5.3% | -0.7% |
| 2020-04-21 | beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +7.2% | -1.4% | -6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2020-01-22 | miss | 1.73 | 1.70 | -1.7% | -5.7% | -3.2% | -8.2% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.64 | 1.69 | +3.3% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +3.6% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.67 | 1.75 | +5.1% | -0.2% | +4.7% | +3.1% |
| 2019-04-23 | beat | 1.47 | 1.48 | +0.4% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +7.3% |
| 2019-01-23 | beat | 1.64 | 1.80 | +10.0% | +3.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2018-10-17 | miss | 1.61 | 1.58 | -1.6% | -6.8% | -5.2% | -11.0% |
| 2018-07-18 | beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +3.1% | +1.9% | +4.7% | +5.2% |
| 2018-04-17 | beat | 1.40 | 1.58 | +12.7% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +2.0% |
| 2018-01-24 | beat | 1.37 | 1.51 | +9.8% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2017-10-18 | beat | 1.12 | 1.20 | +7.3% | +4.3% | +3.8% | +4.0% |
| 2017-07-19 | miss | 1.23 | 1.12 | -9.0% | -6.0% | -8.4% | -9.7% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +2.4% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-01-18 | miss | 1.13 | 1.11 | -1.4% | -5.2% | -4.7% | -4.6% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -0.7% | -1.4% | +0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +3.4% | +1.0% | -1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2016-04-19 | beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +6.9% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +6.1% |
| 2016-01-20 | beat | 0.91 | 0.99 | +9.3% | -1.5% | -3.9% | -6.4% |
| 2015-10-21 | beat | 0.96 | 0.96 | +0.3% | -2.2% | -4.3% | +2.7% |
| 2015-07-22 | beat | 0.96 | 1.10 | +14.2% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| 2015-04-21 | beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +7.8% | +3.1% | +2.4% | +4.7% |
| 2015-01-21 | beat | 0.80 | 0.98 | +21.8% | +7.9% | +6.2% | +3.8% |
| 2014-10-22 | miss | 0.87 | 0.84 | -3.8% | -5.2% | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| 2014-07-16 | miss | 0.84 | 0.75 | -10.7% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +3.0% |
| 2014-04-15 | miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.5% | -4.6% | -2.6% | -0.6% |
| 2014-01-22 | miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -7.5% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +0.1% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.7% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2013-07-17 | miss | 0.83 | 0.78 | -5.5% | -2.3% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2013-04-16 | miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -6.0% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2013-01-16 | miss | 0.75 | 0.69 | -7.9% | -4.7% | -5.7% | -3.7% |
| 2012-10-17 | miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.4% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -0.9% |
| 2012-07-18 | miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.4% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -5.3% |
| 2012-04-17 | beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.4% | -0.1% | +1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2012-01-18 | miss | 0.67 | 0.53 | -21.4% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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