NVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.5% median,
50% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.30%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.52 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.1%
$25M/day volume
80% volatility
+4% 1-year
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -34% from the high
$9.82$21.45
Congressional trades in NVCR Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Aug 5, 2021.
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. -0.23.
1-day std dev
11.5%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+28.4%
Biggest drop
-29.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 43 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | beat | -0.33 | -0.13 | +60.8% | +15.6% | +28.4% | -2.2% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | -0.51 | -0.62 | -20.9% | +12.0% | +27.5% | +41.1% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.41 | -0.22 | +46.5% | -11.6% | -8.3% | -5.1% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.42 | -0.33 | +21.4% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -16.4% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | -0.39 | -0.36 | +7.3% | -0.1% | -24.0% | -29.9% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | -0.46 | -0.31 | +33.2% | +6.6% | +4.4% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.34 | -0.61 | -77.1% | -8.4% | -12.4% | -12.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | -0.33 | -0.28 | +16.2% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +7.2% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | -0.40 | -0.31 | +23.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +13.9% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.42 | -0.36 | +14.2% | +5.1% | +11.4% | +26.6% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | -0.52 | -0.45 | +13.7% | +8.7% | -2.4% | -2.0% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | -0.52 | -0.46 | +12.4% | +2.8% | -7.5% | -3.8% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | -0.50 | -0.54 | -8.0% | +0.0% | -15.9% | -27.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -0.34 | -0.50 | -47.1% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +11.0% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | -0.31 | -0.36 | -15.3% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -8.4% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +2.8% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +5.1% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | -0.14 | -0.23 | -59.3% | -5.5% | -5.0% | +1.2% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | -0.19 | -0.04 | +79.1% | +2.2% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -0.10 | -0.25 | -144.5% | -13.0% | +6.8% | +1.5% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -106.6% | -4.1% | -8.2% | -3.5% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | 0.01 | -0.14 | -1698.2% | -5.9% | -9.9% | -13.7% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -411.0% | -3.9% | -0.1% | -5.8% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | 0.13 | 0.05 | -60.2% | -1.2% | -14.0% | -23.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +129.4% | +4.5% | +6.8% | +5.9% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +287.6% | +8.8% | +12.0% | +16.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +17.6% | +0.6% | -10.5% | -13.2% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | — | 0.04 | +900.0% | -8.1% | -2.7% | -8.6% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | -0.04 | 0.02 | +154.9% | +1.7% | -3.5% | +1.3% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +84.4% | +1.6% | +8.6% | +20.9% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +11.2% | -0.1% | +3.0% | +13.7% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | -0.13 | -0.17 | -29.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -11.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +7.7% | +0.3% | -19.0% | -16.4% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -5.8% | -4.1% | -1.7% | -5.6% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | -0.13 | -0.23 | -73.9% | -1.7% | +9.7% | +15.9% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +1.2% | -2.6% | -4.4% | -6.0% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +9.0% | +7.7% | +1.7% | +21.0% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | -0.22 | -0.24 | -11.1% | -3.1% | +6.0% | -2.9% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -3.7% | +0.5% | +3.7% | +3.2% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | -0.37 | -0.26 | +30.0% | +6.3% | -0.7% | +13.3% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | -0.31 | -0.39 | -23.8% | +15.1% | +21.8% | +42.0% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | -0.33 | -0.40 | -20.7% | -1.7% | -29.3% | -32.7% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | -0.32 | -0.42 | -29.2% | -7.1% | -0.3% | -7.6% |
| 2016-02-29 | beat | -0.34 | -0.24 | +29.3% | +0.1% | +5.6% | +37.4% |
Not investment advice.
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