NVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.2% median,
59% of the last 44 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 72
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.01 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$174.4B market cap (#17 US)
$401M/day volume
46% volatility
-25% 1-year
-74% from ATH
52-week range · 14% of the way up · -39% from the high
$35.12$64.16
Congressional trades in NVO Full tracker →
16 members · 20 buys / 17 sells · $455K–$1.3M disclosed · latest filing Sep 25, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $100K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 4.62.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+8.3%
Biggest drop
-12.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 4.98 | 6.18 | +24.0% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 6.96 | 6.63 | -4.8% | +3.2% | +2.0% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 5.90 | 6.04 | +2.3% | -4.7% | -6.2% | -3.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 4.24 | 4.50 | +6.0% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +4.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 6.00 | 5.96 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.9% | +7.8% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 6.07 | 6.53 | +7.5% | +4.6% | +1.9% | -2.8% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 5.97 | 6.34 | +6.2% | +4.6% | +3.8% | -1.0% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 5.92 | 6.12 | +3.4% | -1.7% | -4.3% | -2.9% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 4.91 | 4.49 | -8.6% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +3.3% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 5.42 | 5.68 | +4.9% | -1.0% | -4.0% | -0.4% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | 4.45 | 4.91 | +10.3% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +8.8% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 4.71 | 5.00 | +6.2% | +3.7% | +3.3% | +2.4% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | 4.50 | 4.32 | -4.0% | -1.4% | -2.9% | -1.5% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 4.02 | 4.39 | +9.1% | -3.7% | -4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2023-02-01 | miss | 3.13 | 3.01 | -3.8% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 3.12 | 3.17 | +1.7% | +4.8% | +6.4% | +7.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 3.03 | 2.93 | -3.4% | -0.5% | -12.7% | -6.1% |
| 2022-04-29 | beat | 2.89 | 3.11 | +7.5% | +3.9% | +3.5% | +1.1% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 2.36 | 2.38 | +1.0% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +3.2% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 2.55 | 2.64 | +3.2% | +1.6% | +5.0% | +2.4% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 2.38 | 2.63 | +10.4% | +0.5% | +5.5% | +8.2% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 2.57 | 2.73 | +6.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +5.3% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 1.96 | 2.01 | +2.2% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020-10-30 | miss | 2.22 | 2.21 | -0.5% | -2.1% | -3.7% | +6.1% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 2.21 | 2.27 | +2.4% | -1.8% | -2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 2.34 | 2.53 | +8.0% | -0.6% | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2020-02-05 | miss | 1.88 | 1.85 | -1.7% | +3.4% | +4.6% | +2.8% |
| 2019-11-01 | beat | 2.09 | 2.15 | +2.9% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +4.8% |
| 2019-08-09 | beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +1.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2019-05-03 | beat | 2.06 | 2.18 | +5.6% | -2.5% | -2.8% | -1.2% |
| 2019-02-01 | miss | 1.87 | 1.77 | -5.8% | +3.7% | +3.4% | +4.0% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 1.97 | 1.87 | -4.9% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 2.09 | 2.13 | +1.9% | -5.7% | -6.2% | -5.2% |
| 2018-02-01 | miss | 1.73 | 1.68 | -3.0% | -6.0% | -6.5% | -12.6% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.94 | 2.02 | +4.2% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 1.89 | 1.87 | -0.9% | +6.8% | +8.3% | +12.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 1.83 | 2.03 | +10.9% | +6.4% | +5.6% | +3.6% |
| 2017-02-02 | miss | 1.81 | 1.73 | -4.2% | -8.6% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2016-10-28 | beat | 1.91 | 1.94 | +1.5% | -13.7% | -12.9% | -16.1% |
| 2016-08-05 | beat | 1.94 | 1.96 | +1.1% | -10.0% | -9.7% | -16.3% |
| 2016-04-29 | beat | 1.80 | 1.86 | +2.8% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -4.8% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.3% | -4.5% | -6.1% | -13.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 1.59 | 1.63 | +2.8% | -5.9% | -6.7% | -2.7% |
| 2010-04-28 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.2% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2010-02-02 | miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -5.8% | -2.0% | -1.3% | -0.5% |
Posted about NVO
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long
43.50
Fri, 18 Sep
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long
42.47
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Not investment advice.
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