NWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.5% median,
53% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.29 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$11M/day volume
40% volatility
+82% 1-year
-34% from ATH
52-week range · 47% of the way up · -34% from the high
$53.15$152.03
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-24 (Wednesday, after close, in 118 days) · EPS est. 1.12.
1-day std dev
6.2%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+14.9%
Biggest drop
-16.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 1.64 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 1.31 | 1.62 | +23.5% | +1.0% | +3.0% | -3.8% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.56 | 1.08 | +92.9% | +4.6% | +14.3% | +27.3% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.64 | 0.93 | +46.5% | +2.1% | +10.3% | +6.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 1.02 | 1.38 | +35.7% | +7.4% | +1.4% | +8.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.72 | 0.91 | +27.0% | +5.5% | +13.3% | +20.6% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.53 | 0.39 | -26.9% | -4.9% | -6.2% | -9.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.91 | 0.77 | -15.7% | -2.6% | -10.7% | -13.6% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.85 | 1.02 | +19.5% | +4.7% | +0.1% | +16.8% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.86 | +28.4% | +4.7% | -0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.52 | +54.5% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +16.5% |
| 2024-03-04 | beat | 0.42 | 0.54 | +27.6% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +16.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 0.82 | 0.58 | -29.3% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -6.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.79 | 0.74 | -5.9% | -2.0% | -1.6% | -5.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.41 | 0.23 | -43.9% | -4.0% | -3.7% | -4.7% |
| 2023-03-15 | beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.4% | -3.9% | -14.9% | -17.9% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.78 | 1.05 | +34.6% | -1.8% | -6.2% | +3.4% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.73 | 1.04 | +42.5% | +5.2% | +6.8% | +14.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.32 | 0.42 | +31.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% | +10.7% |
| 2022-03-15 | beat | 0.56 | 0.67 | +19.6% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -9.2% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.33 | 0.54 | +66.2% | +2.1% | +9.6% | +10.3% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -23.6% | -1.7% | +1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +29.4% | +0.4% | -3.3% | -5.6% |
| 2021-03-03 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.7% | -1.4% | -4.1% | -0.6% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.71 | 0.78 | +9.9% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +1.1% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 0.55 | 0.45 | -17.4% | +1.8% | +5.7% | +10.7% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.9% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -10.5% |
| 2020-03-02 | beat | 0.99 | 1.23 | +24.9% | +1.0% | -4.6% | -23.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.52 | 0.93 | +78.8% | +7.4% | +2.3% | +12.2% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 0.39 | 0.31 | -20.5% | -20.0% | +1.8% | +15.6% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +22.2% | +3.7% | +4.9% | +8.4% |
| 2019-03-13 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.7% | |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +10.5% | +2.2% | +14.9% | +22.4% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.20 | -0.51 | -152.8% | -1.1% | +1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | -0.10 | -0.17 | -73.4% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +5.4% |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | -0.12 | -0.02 | +82.2% | -5.3% | +5.4% | +12.8% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | -0.07 | -0.16 | -128.6% | +0.2% | -2.2% | -2.9% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | -0.26 | -0.22 | +15.4% | +6.7% | +6.4% | +17.4% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | -0.33 | -0.32 | +4.2% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +6.0% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | -0.24 | -0.14 | +41.7% | +2.5% | +3.4% | -4.7% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | -0.67 | 0.10 | +115.7% | +2.8% | +6.9% | +19.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | -0.86 | -0.65 | +24.4% | +1.7% | +7.4% | +4.3% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | -0.85 | -1.00 | -17.6% | -2.2% | -8.3% | -9.1% |
| 2016-03-01 | miss | -0.55 | -1.43 | -160.0% | -10.8% | -16.5% | -14.5% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | -0.47 | -0.16 | +66.0% | +3.0% | +4.9% | -11.5% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | -0.26 | -0.71 | -173.5% | -1.6% | +7.1% | -1.8% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | -0.01 | -0.22 | -1366.7% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -5.4% |
| 2015-03-10 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -6.7% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.69 | 0.61 | -11.6% | -1.7% | -3.3% | -5.6% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +32.0% | +1.1% | -2.9% | -1.6% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | -0.01 | -0.13 | -1200.0% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| 2014-03-17 | miss | 0.12 | 0.03 | -73.3% | +0.3% | -4.0% | -5.6% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +13.8% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -3.3% |
| 2013-08-05 | beat | 0.26 | 0.59 | +126.9% | +0.5% | -2.9% | +0.0% |
| 2013-05-06 | beat | 0.29 | 1.00 | +244.8% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2013-03-14 | beat | 0.23 | 0.48 | +108.7% | +0.3% | +10.3% | +19.5% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 0.61 | 0.36 | -40.5% | -0.7% | -4.4% | -8.5% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +24.6% | +1.3% | +3.6% | +3.3% |
| 2012-05-14 | beat | 0.30 | 0.50 | +66.7% | +0.7% | +4.4% | +2.4% |
| 2012-04-27 | miss | 0.17 | 0.05 | -70.6% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -4.9% |
Not investment advice.
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