NYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.5% median,
62% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.06 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$11.4B market cap (#937 US)
$131M/day volume
31% volatility
+21% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -20% from the high
$55.93$87.10
Congressional trades in NYT Full tracker →
3 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $67K–$180K disclosed · latest filing Sep 12, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.65.
1-day std dev
7.4%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+15.5%
Biggest drop
-22.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.6% | -7.1% | -13.4% | -15.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.47 | 0.61 | +30.2% | +7.4% | +8.3% | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.1% | -13.7% | -6.3% | -1.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +10.8% | +3.2% | -0.2% | +9.5% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +12.7% | +6.8% | +15.5% | +13.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +19.9% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.3% | -4.7% | -11.9% | -9.8% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +8.9% | -3.0% | -7.7% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +4.7% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +54.2% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +3.7% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.59 | 0.70 | +19.6% | -4.9% | -7.3% | -8.9% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +28.0% | +2.5% | +6.0% | +6.6% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.21 | 0.38 | +78.6% | +4.9% | +8.5% | +5.2% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +13.8% | -1.3% | -7.8% | -6.3% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.43 | 0.59 | +36.9% | +8.0% | +12.0% | +8.6% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.21 | +59.2% | +4.3% | +7.4% | +16.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +28.4% | -4.2% | -1.1% | +1.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.7% | -0.2% | +1.6% | -17.0% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.43 | +22.1% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +11.6% | -0.4% | -9.6% | -14.8% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +34.4% | +10.6% | +7.7% | +9.2% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.13 | 0.26 | +103.6% | -1.0% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +10.7% | -2.1% | +1.1% | -3.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.22 | +84.2% | -2.1% | -5.3% | -6.3% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.18 | +500.0% | +1.3% | +1.3% | -7.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.09 | 0.17 | +96.9% | +0.4% | +4.3% | +8.2% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.29 | 0.43 | +49.7% | +5.2% | +12.7% | +14.8% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +28.7% | -0.5% | -3.9% | -3.1% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.8% | -2.4% | -12.2% | -22.0% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +67.3% | +0.9% | +4.4% | +2.8% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.6% | +3.9% | +10.3% | +16.6% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +28.5% | +3.0% | +6.9% | +4.5% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +26.6% | -6.4% | -6.6% | -5.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.4% | +2.0% | +0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +32.9% | +2.3% | +10.2% | +13.8% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +59.8% | +3.7% | -5.8% | -9.9% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +27.5% | +1.1% | +8.7% | +4.4% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +81.8% | +4.5% | +12.6% | +20.3% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +26.5% | +1.5% | +0.0% | +8.9% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +46.3% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +5.5% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -8.3% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +29.0% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +25.6% | +5.3% | +1.6% | -4.1% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +50.1% | +6.2% | +1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +25.8% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -2.4% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +32.0% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +6.9% |
| 2015-02-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +9.1% | +1.9% | +7.6% | +10.3% |
| 2014-10-30 | — | 0.03 | — | -4.8% | -4.9% | -4.3% | |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -17.6% | -5.1% | -8.1% | -8.7% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +105.9% | +2.3% | +1.3% | -5.2% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +59.2% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +4.0% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +75.8% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -6.3% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +17.7% | +1.5% | -3.4% | -1.3% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +12.0% | -0.7% | +5.0% | -1.0% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +1.6% | +4.5% | +3.3% | +9.0% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 0.08 | -0.01 | -112.6% | -6.2% | -22.0% | -20.4% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +9.1% | +1.7% | +10.6% | +7.9% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +272.3% | +5.2% | +4.4% | +3.8% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.1% | +1.7% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2011-10-20 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +26.9% | +2.0% | +9.2% | +21.0% |
Not investment advice.
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