OBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.6% median,
55% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 75
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.30 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$2M/day volume
25% volatility
+60% 1-year
-5% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -5% from the high
$23.25$40.49
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 97 days) · EPS est. 0.84.
1-day std dev
4.9%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+8.2%
Biggest drop
-9.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 22 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 0.82 | 0.93 | +13.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 0.80 | 1.02 | +27.5% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.0% | +0.6% | -6.1% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.74 | 0.93 | +26.2% | +4.2% | +4.6% | +7.5% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.7% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +8.5% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.87 | +26.1% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -7.9% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.9% | +1.9% | +2.4% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-05 | miss | 0.70 | 0.63 | -10.3% | -1.5% | -1.1% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 0.75 | 0.28 | -62.1% | -3.2% | -7.3% | +4.6% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +5.0% | +1.5% | -9.7% | -11.4% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +22.7% | +3.1% | +8.2% | +6.4% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +7.1% | -1.1% | -8.3% | -9.5% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.66 | 0.81 | +21.5% | +2.5% | +4.6% | +4.2% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.55 | 0.81 | +47.7% | +0.0% | +7.4% | +9.1% |
| 2023-05-01 | miss | 0.69 | 0.64 | -7.2% | +0.2% | -6.5% | -14.5% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +8.8% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.53 | 0.70 | +32.1% | -1.3% | +1.5% | +7.1% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +3.8% | -7.0% | -4.3% | -0.4% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +12.1% | -2.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +19.1% | +2.3% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +13.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +29.1% | +4.1% | +4.1% | +3.6% |
| 2020-07-26 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +13.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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