OCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.8% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.32%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.16 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.0%
$23M/day volume
75% volatility
-37% 1-year
-84% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -56% from the high
$6.00$16.44
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.35.
1-day std dev
7.8%
Finished up
35%
Biggest pop
+19.6%
Biggest drop
-17.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | -0.39 | -0.35 | +9.4% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +13.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | -0.31 | -0.40 | -27.6% | -4.4% | -0.6% | -6.2% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | -0.34 | -0.29 | +13.9% | +3.5% | +4.2% | +6.0% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | -0.35 | -0.38 | -9.6% | -1.8% | -4.5% | -1.7% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | -0.35 | -0.39 | -10.7% | -9.2% | -2.8% | +1.0% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | -0.28 | -0.37 | -33.0% | -9.0% | -12.2% | -16.0% |
| 2025-03-03 | miss | -0.22 | -0.29 | -31.8% | -2.8% | -17.0% | +7.1% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | -0.21 | -0.22 | -6.5% | -0.4% | -6.4% | -19.6% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | -0.21 | -0.26 | -21.9% | +6.3% | +6.1% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -0.18 | -0.24 | -33.3% | -7.3% | -3.0% | +6.1% |
| 2024-03-11 | miss | -0.22 | -0.35 | -60.9% | +0.6% | -4.5% | -0.3% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +25.9% | -4.6% | -13.2% | -20.8% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -0.29 | -0.26 | +10.3% | -8.3% | -10.8% | +3.4% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | -0.24 | -0.31 | -29.7% | +1.6% | +2.3% | -2.5% |
| 2023-03-06 | miss | -0.24 | -0.27 | -13.6% | +8.4% | +5.3% | -8.6% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | -0.21 | -0.30 | -39.3% | -8.5% | -11.0% | -9.3% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.18 | -0.21 | -13.6% | -1.2% | -3.0% | +5.1% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.22 | -0.25 | -17.3% | +2.5% | +1.8% | +15.6% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.23 | -0.24 | -4.1% | -8.2% | -1.4% | -6.3% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -4.5% | -0.6% | +7.5% | -0.8% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -0.21 | -0.29 | -33.3% | +6.9% | +2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | -0.21 | -0.29 | -35.8% | +1.5% | -4.2% | -9.6% |
| 2021-03-11 | miss | -0.17 | -0.23 | -35.8% | -11.1% | +2.6% | +1.8% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +23.0% | +2.5% | +7.0% | +15.8% |
| 2020-08-07 | miss | -0.32 | -0.64 | -97.9% | +0.8% | -3.0% | -5.6% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | -0.49 | -0.41 | +17.2% | +1.8% | -10.1% | +3.5% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | -0.42 | -0.53 | -26.2% | +2.1% | +10.5% | -2.8% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.46 | -0.45 | +2.2% | -4.1% | -12.3% | -4.4% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -0.48 | -0.57 | -17.9% | -12.5% | -8.1% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-10 | beat | -0.41 | -0.41 | +1.2% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -5.5% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -0.38 | -0.42 | -9.4% | -3.2% | -2.1% | -7.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.37 | -0.38 | -2.7% | -6.1% | +4.6% | -1.3% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.37 | -0.37 | +1.3% | +3.8% | +6.5% | +9.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.41 | -0.40 | +2.4% | -7.1% | +0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018-03-08 | beat | -0.53 | -0.44 | +17.0% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +8.2% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | -0.53 | -0.54 | -1.9% | -10.1% | -8.2% | -10.6% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -0.57 | -0.64 | -11.5% | -5.9% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2017-05-05 | miss | -0.48 | -0.58 | -20.0% | -3.8% | -16.2% | +5.9% |
| 2017-03-10 | miss | -0.46 | -0.52 | -13.7% | -2.8% | -4.4% | +7.2% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -0.50 | -0.39 | +21.6% | +1.5% | +14.5% | +69.1% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | -0.49 | -0.46 | +5.5% | +1.5% | -0.5% | +21.9% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | -0.43 | -0.43 | -1.9% | +0.6% | -6.2% | +3.2% |
| 2016-03-10 | beat | -0.47 | -0.43 | +9.2% | +3.0% | -3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2015-11-10 | miss | -0.38 | -0.47 | -22.6% | -6.4% | -17.2% | -20.7% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | -0.33 | -0.45 | -36.4% | -3.4% | -10.0% | -14.6% |
| 2015-05-15 | beat | -0.39 | -0.35 | +10.3% | +2.4% | +19.6% | +7.1% |
| 2015-03-10 | beat | -0.38 | -0.37 | +2.6% | -0.6% | -2.0% | +5.0% |
| 2014-11-12 | miss | -0.32 | -0.44 | -37.9% | -1.0% | +1.2% | +0.5% |
| 2014-08-29 | beat | -2.25 | -2.10 | +6.9% | +2.6% | -4.6% | -2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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