OSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.7% median,
79% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.16 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$37M/day volume
43% volatility
-17% 1-year
-33% from ATH
52-week range · 17% of the way up · -33% from the high
$186.50$311.72
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 1.65.
1-day std dev
8.8%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+14.2%
Biggest drop
-31.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | beat | 3.77 | 3.78 | +0.1% | -10.1% | -5.2% | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 2.54 | 2.60 | +2.3% | -2.1% | -17.0% | -19.6% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 2.52 | 2.58 | +2.4% | -2.0% | -7.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.38 | 1.42 | +3.1% | +3.1% | +14.2% | +16.8% |
| 2025-08-21 | beat | 3.19 | 3.24 | +1.6% | -1.4% | -2.5% | +2.6% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 2.40 | 2.44 | +1.5% | +10.0% | +9.6% | +8.5% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 2.33 | 2.42 | +3.9% | +8.8% | +14.2% | +16.1% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 1.08 | 1.25 | +16.3% | +7.0% | -3.2% | -7.0% |
| 2024-08-22 | beat | 2.79 | 2.84 | +1.7% | +1.6% | +6.7% | +2.9% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 2.11 | 2.16 | +2.6% | -3.8% | -4.0% | -2.8% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 1.75 | 2.21 | +26.6% | +6.4% | +4.4% | +1.2% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.1% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -5.4% |
| 2023-08-24 | beat | 2.54 | 2.66 | +4.9% | +11.3% | +13.7% | +13.5% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +2.0% | +0.2% | +5.2% | +14.2% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 1.17 | 1.19 | +2.1% | +3.3% | +7.1% | +7.5% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +8.8% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +6.6% |
| 2022-08-18 | beat | 1.95 | 1.96 | +0.3% | -5.0% | -7.2% | -14.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.39 | 1.43 | +3.2% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +5.0% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 1.17 | 1.28 | +9.7% | -0.1% | -2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.12 | 1.16 | +3.6% | +3.4% | -0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2021-08-18 | beat | 1.48 | 1.54 | +3.8% | -0.5% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 1.34 | 1.38 | +3.4% | -2.5% | -4.0% | -4.1% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.14 | 1.35 | +18.8% | +4.2% | -2.9% | -0.3% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.93 | 1.06 | +14.6% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +5.8% |
| 2020-08-20 | beat | 1.10 | 1.22 | +10.7% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +1.9% | -0.5% | +2.7% | +3.6% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.5% | +0.4% | -2.5% | -6.8% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.1% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +4.6% |
| 2019-08-26 | beat | 1.06 | 1.15 | +8.5% | -2.9% | +0.2% | +3.6% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.94 | 1.17 | +24.5% | +5.4% | +13.4% | +13.6% |
| 2019-01-24 | beat | 0.96 | 1.19 | +23.4% | +11.4% | +13.5% | +17.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.81 | +24.6% | +5.6% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| 2018-08-23 | beat | 0.94 | 1.02 | +8.7% | +7.5% | -0.7% | +0.9% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.8% | +3.7% | -6.4% | -1.0% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.88 | 0.97 | +10.2% | -17.9% | -18.0% | -11.5% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +12.1% | +3.1% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2017-08-24 | beat | 0.94 | 1.02 | +8.9% | +3.3% | +5.8% | +5.3% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | +2.0% | +10.2% | +9.5% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.5% | +4.2% | +5.1% | +1.9% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +29.4% | +13.0% | +8.9% | -0.2% |
| 2016-08-16 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.3% | +8.5% | +12.5% | +12.8% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +0.9% | -14.9% | -15.1% | -15.2% |
| 2016-01-27 | miss | 0.81 | 0.40 | -50.5% | -23.8% | -31.8% | -26.3% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.3% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +1.8% |
| 2015-08-20 | beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.5% | -2.8% | +1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.7% | -1.7% | -7.8% | -10.4% |
| 2015-01-26 | beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +1.6% | -0.7% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.1% | +1.4% | +5.5% | +8.7% |
| 2014-08-25 | beat | 1.17 | 1.19 | +1.9% | +4.0% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.78 | 0.70 | -10.5% | -3.6% | -2.5% | -3.6% |
| 2014-01-28 | beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.3% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +4.1% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +9.5% | +4.4% | -0.5% | -5.1% |
| 2013-08-14 | 1.02 | 1.02 | — | +1.1% | -2.3% | -3.0% | |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 0.74 | 0.74 | +0.5% | -10.0% | +9.8% | +3.1% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.3% | -13.1% | -19.7% | -23.8% |
| 2012-10-23 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.7% | -1.3% | +3.6% | +3.0% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | 0.80 | 0.95 | +18.4% | +2.6% | +10.6% | +14.6% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.2% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +8.0% |
| 2012-01-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.1% | +3.4% | +6.3% | +1.2% |
| 2011-10-25 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +11.6% | +0.1% | -3.9% | -2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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