OUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+10.4%
Next 1 month
+13.2%
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 46
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 4.62 +13.3% · Seasonal tilt (5y) -0.1%
$90M/day volume
103% volatility
-3% 1-year
-82% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -50% from the high
$16.40$63.79
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.10.
1-day std dev
16.3%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+34.5%
Biggest drop
-27.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.14 | -0.26 | -91.0% | +0.6% | -4.8% | +6.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | -0.11 | -0.25 | -115.7% | -7.3% | +2.8% | +19.5% |
| 2026-03-02 | beat | -0.13 | 0.07 | +149.3% | +13.4% | +7.3% | +10.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +10.8% | +12.0% | -6.5% | -11.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.20 | -0.26 | -28.8% | +27.4% | +11.7% | +50.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.25 | -0.31 | -21.7% | +8.7% | +22.8% | +28.1% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | -0.26 | -0.37 | -42.4% | +1.9% | +31.9% | +13.8% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.26 | -0.45 | -69.2% | -7.2% | +1.5% | +7.2% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | -0.31 | -0.50 | -59.4% | -16.2% | -27.7% | -26.0% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.52 | -0.51 | +2.4% | +15.7% | +19.8% | +25.3% |
| 2024-03-26 | miss | -0.46 | -0.73 | -56.2% | +9.0% | +34.5% | +100.6% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -0.83 | -0.76 | +9.4% | +11.9% | +19.7% | +30.8% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -1.21 | -1.17 | +3.0% | +7.1% | +29.6% | +17.5% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -1.72 | -1.87 | -9.0% | +2.6% | +28.6% | +33.1% |
| 2023-03-23 | beat | -1.63 | -1.40 | +14.0% | -8.6% | -13.7% | -7.4% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | -1.54 | -1.92 | -24.4% | +6.0% | +3.4% | +6.8% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -1.57 | -1.60 | -2.1% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -3.1% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -1.64 | -1.90 | -16.1% | -3.7% | -0.9% | -31.7% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | -1.42 | -1.61 | -13.4% | +1.9% | +16.5% | +9.6% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | -1.33 | -2.22 | -67.0% | +8.0% | +8.0% | +1.0% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -1.11 | -2.10 | -89.5% | +4.4% | -0.3% | -15.4% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -1.02 | -3.80 | -272.9% | +0.2% | -5.7% | -16.7% |
| 2021-04-02 | miss | -4.30 | -14.02 | -226.1% | +2.7% | -12.8% | +1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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