PAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.6% median,
51% of the last 43 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.17 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$12M/day volume
69% volatility
-48% 1-year
-80% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -56% from the high
$11.59$40.54
Congressional trades in PAR Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 2 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Mar 9, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 0.22.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+16.6%
Biggest drop
-27.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +47.9% | +8.1% | +4.0% | +11.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +61.3% | +0.1% | -3.9% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +90.9% | -12.0% | -27.0% | -14.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.02 | 0.06 | +380.0% | +11.2% | +16.6% | +17.3% |
| 2025-08-08 | — | 0.03 | — | -3.3% | -19.5% | -10.5% | |
| 2025-05-09 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +76.7% | -3.1% | +3.7% | +11.9% |
| 2025-02-28 | beat | -0.08 | — | +100.0% | +1.7% | +13.2% | +5.8% |
| 2024-11-08 | miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -1.6% | +1.7% | +11.6% | +8.7% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.17 | -0.23 | -38.8% | +3.2% | +10.3% | +17.6% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.30 | -0.36 | -20.6% | -9.5% | -7.3% | +1.3% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | -0.26 | -0.33 | -26.2% | -5.9% | -4.2% | -8.5% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -0.36 | -0.21 | +41.7% | +6.3% | +9.3% | +19.3% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -0.34 | -0.52 | -52.0% | -9.7% | -6.6% | +5.9% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | -0.36 | -0.46 | -29.0% | -6.3% | -2.6% | +15.7% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | -0.44 | -0.26 | +41.6% | -0.4% | +1.3% | +4.0% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | -0.41 | -0.44 | -7.3% | -0.2% | -11.6% | +8.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -0.36 | -0.36 | +1.4% | +3.5% | -11.5% | -9.8% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -0.46 | -0.26 | +43.0% | -1.6% | +10.3% | +15.3% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | -0.40 | -0.36 | +11.1% | +0.7% | -2.8% | -5.9% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -0.38 | -0.36 | +4.6% | +12.6% | +3.8% | +0.8% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -0.26 | -0.36 | -40.6% | -1.2% | +2.3% | -8.5% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -0.22 | -0.34 | -57.4% | -10.1% | -9.0% | -17.0% |
| 2021-03-15 | miss | -0.15 | -0.37 | -150.0% | +5.9% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2020-11-06 | beat | -0.23 | -0.15 | +36.2% | +5.4% | +1.6% | +13.0% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | -0.33 | -0.23 | +31.1% | -4.1% | -1.0% | +0.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.23 | -0.28 | -21.7% | +32.7% | +6.8% | +6.3% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | -0.20 | -0.27 | -35.0% | +12.0% | +4.0% | -27.5% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -10.6% | +3.9% | +14.8% | +19.0% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | -0.11 | -0.18 | -68.7% | -5.1% | -7.2% | -11.4% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +15.4% | -3.9% | -5.0% | -3.2% |
| 2019-03-14 | miss | -0.16 | -0.26 | -62.5% | -6.2% | -2.4% | -6.3% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -300.0% | -6.0% | +2.5% | -6.8% |
| 2014-03-14 | miss | 0.06 | 0.02 | -73.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -10.2% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -40.0% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -4.0% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -71.4% | -1.2% | -2.3% | +1.6% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -80.0% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -6.7% |
| 2013-02-14 | 0.08 | 0.08 | — | +8.8% | +4.6% | +5.3% | |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +12.5% | -0.8% | -5.6% | -4.1% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -150.0% | -2.1% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +133.3% | +3.7% | +3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2012-02-16 | miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -50.0% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -0.4% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.3% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2011-08-10 | beat | 0.01 | 0.07 | +600.0% | +8.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% |
| 2011-04-27 | — | 0.03 | — | +1.0% | -2.6% | -18.5% | |
| 2011-02-09 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +100.0% | +1.2% | -0.5% | -6.0% |
| 2010-10-26 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -38.5% | -2.3% | -6.4% | -5.5% |
| 2010-07-27 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +100.0% | +3.0% | +10.2% | +10.6% |
| 2010-04-27 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +166.7% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2010-02-12 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +33.3% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
Not investment advice.
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