PAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.7% median,
51% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.55%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.77 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$56M/day volume
38% volatility
-28% 1-year
-49% from ATH
52-week range · 14% of the way up · -49% from the high
$63.00$148.50
Congressional trades in PATK Full tracker →
4 members · 8 buys / 4 sells · $12K–$180K disclosed · latest filing Apr 7, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
6.6%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+18.2%
Biggest drop
-16.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.4% | +3.5% | -3.0% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.73 | 0.84 | +15.4% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +4.9% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +9.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +5.3% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.6% | -3.0% | -3.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 0.96 | 1.11 | +15.2% | +8.7% | +6.0% | +8.3% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.3% | -1.1% | -2.7% | -3.2% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.6% | -1.1% | -6.0% | -5.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.37 | 1.44 | +5.5% | +2.5% | -1.8% | -6.6% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.87 | 1.19 | +36.6% | +4.8% | +6.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +10.9% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +7.2% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.19 | 1.21 | +1.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +10.8% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.21 | 1.36 | +12.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +14.2% | +1.6% | +6.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-09 | beat | 1.03 | 1.12 | +9.2% | -2.5% | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.35 | 1.62 | +19.9% | +10.0% | +5.4% | -2.2% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 2.48 | 3.19 | +28.7% | +0.1% | +3.3% | -3.1% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.87 | 3.03 | +61.6% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +12.0% |
| 2022-02-10 | beat | 1.32 | 1.75 | +32.2% | +0.5% | -2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.35 | 1.63 | +21.0% | +9.0% | +3.6% | +2.1% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 1.22 | 1.68 | +37.9% | +0.4% | +4.2% | +5.1% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.88 | 1.36 | +55.1% | +1.6% | -4.9% | -0.6% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 0.95 | 1.09 | +14.7% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +3.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.84 | 1.08 | +29.2% | +7.1% | +1.3% | +11.2% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.06 | 0.10 | +253.8% | -0.9% | -5.3% | -8.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.61 | +23.8% | +4.6% | -4.1% | -5.7% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +15.6% | +2.8% | +8.0% | +5.7% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +1.8% | -4.0% | -3.7% | +6.8% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +7.0% | +5.2% | -1.7% | -3.6% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +2.7% | -4.4% | -6.1% | -14.7% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.50 | 0.64 | +28.3% | +6.7% | +5.8% | +11.8% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.5% | +3.1% | -4.2% | -1.7% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.82 | 0.95 | +15.6% | +6.6% | +10.0% | +4.1% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.63 | 0.80 | +26.1% | +7.1% | +12.0% | +4.4% |
| 2018-02-15 | miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -12.5% | +3.9% | +5.6% | -3.3% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.4% | +4.2% | +9.1% | +10.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +10.9% | +4.1% | -2.5% | -5.4% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.50 | +32.8% | +2.6% | +3.9% | +1.6% |
| 2017-02-16 | beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.7% | -0.5% | -3.9% | -5.9% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.3% | +1.4% | -3.6% | -6.2% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.2% | +2.5% | +2.0% | -2.6% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +14.7% | +1.4% | -4.6% | -7.5% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +41.7% | +10.6% | +13.3% | +18.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +10.0% | -0.9% | -9.5% | -15.8% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +6.6% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +1.0% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.2% | +4.4% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +15.9% | +2.0% | +16.7% | +14.3% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +3.7% | +2.3% | +0.4% | +10.3% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.9% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -9.9% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +8.5% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| 2014-02-20 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +56.7% | +6.2% | +17.5% | +12.3% |
| 2013-10-24 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -10.9% | -2.4% | +6.9% | +3.0% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.5% | +2.7% | +7.0% | +5.1% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +30.9% | +5.9% | +18.2% | +24.9% |
| 2013-02-21 | miss | 0.18 | 0.09 | -51.6% | -6.0% | -16.7% | -4.1% |
Not investment advice.
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