PCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
-0.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.5% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 10
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.16 -0.4% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.0%
$9.4B market cap (#818 US)
$92M/day volume
42% volatility
+13% 1-year
-46% from ATH
52-week range · 88% of the way up · -6% from the high
$92.99$178.53
Congressional trades in PCTY Full tracker →
4 members · 2 buys / 10 sells · $111K–$415K disclosed · latest filing Feb 13, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 1.89.
1-day std dev
7.5%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+17.3%
Biggest drop
-15.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 1.61 | 1.84 | +14.2% | +4.7% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 2.58 | 2.89 | +12.0% | +5.3% | +1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 1.60 | 1.85 | +15.9% | -1.1% | -7.2% | -15.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.57 | 1.75 | +11.3% | -1.1% | +4.4% | +6.2% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 1.35 | 1.56 | +15.5% | +8.8% | +2.8% | -4.4% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 2.12 | 2.43 | +14.8% | -3.2% | -3.5% | +0.2% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.6% | +3.7% | -2.9% | +2.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 1.41 | 1.66 | +17.5% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +18.3% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.29 | 1.48 | +14.9% | +0.2% | +6.7% | +4.5% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 1.98 | 2.21 | +11.7% | +23.3% | +12.1% | +9.4% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 1.28 | 1.49 | +16.9% | -6.9% | -3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.13 | 1.40 | +24.2% | -8.9% | -15.5% | -13.1% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.7% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 1.53 | 1.74 | +13.5% | -3.3% | -5.6% | -11.1% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 0.74 | 1.12 | +52.1% | +0.9% | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.64 | 0.98 | +52.3% | +0.5% | -4.3% | +2.4% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.53 | 0.80 | +50.6% | +11.2% | +12.7% | +17.0% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.91 | 1.22 | +34.0% | +0.6% | -3.9% | -10.0% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.42 | 0.64 | +53.2% | +7.0% | +10.1% | +2.8% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.59 | +53.8% | +7.6% | -3.8% | -7.8% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.30 | 0.46 | +55.0% | +3.8% | +10.3% | +14.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.67 | 0.88 | +32.3% | -2.9% | -1.5% | -4.8% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.25 | 0.39 | +54.2% | -1.9% | -4.7% | -3.4% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.38 | +161.7% | -4.0% | -0.9% | -1.0% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.32 | +151.7% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -2.1% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.69 | 0.83 | +21.0% | +1.4% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.36 | +23.0% | -2.6% | -8.7% | -4.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.26 | 0.36 | +36.4% | +1.2% | -1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.25 | 0.34 | +37.1% | +6.1% | +9.1% | +2.7% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +1.6% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.5% | -5.7% | +0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.3% | +1.6% | -5.4% | -3.9% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -9.8% | -1.0% | +5.6% | +7.6% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.47 | 0.88 | +88.3% | +4.8% | +6.6% | +6.3% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +28.0% | -2.0% | -4.2% | -1.6% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +32.1% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -7.7% |
| 2017-08-10 | beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +785.8% | +5.7% | +3.8% | +3.9% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.40 | +71.2% | +2.1% | +8.9% | +9.8% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +285.6% | +16.2% | +16.9% | +19.2% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +192.2% | -20.0% | -11.4% | -17.6% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +71.7% | +7.1% | -1.7% | -8.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +48.3% | -5.6% | -12.1% | -9.1% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | -0.03 | 0.08 | +387.1% | +6.2% | -6.8% | -25.9% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.07 | 0.02 | +126.9% | +12.2% | +17.3% | +15.6% |
| 2015-08-13 | beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +50.0% | -0.4% | -6.2% | -17.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -21.1% | +10.5% | +15.0% | +16.4% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +34.9% | +1.4% | +7.2% | +15.6% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +63.2% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +14.8% |
| 2014-08-14 | miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -7.1% | +5.1% | +9.8% | +3.7% |
| 2014-05-14 | beat | -0.06 | 0.04 | +175.8% | -1.0% | -2.4% | +9.0% |
Not investment advice.
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