PFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.8%
Next 1 month
+0.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.3% median,
57% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.27%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.24 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$4M/day volume
25% volatility
+49% 1-year
-3% from ATH
52-week range · 94% of the way up · -3% from the high
$43.64$73.37
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 1.71.
1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+13.0%
Biggest drop
-5.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 18 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 1.64 | 1.48 | -9.5% | -1.4% | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 1.54 | 1.43 | -6.8% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +4.2% |
| 2026-01-30 | miss | 1.52 | 1.36 | -10.5% | -0.2% | +3.4% | +6.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 1.54 | 1.51 | -1.6% | -3.8% | -5.5% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.47 | 1.69 | +15.4% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -2.4% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.33 | 1.51 | +14.0% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +10.5% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 1.51 | 0.99 | -34.2% | -0.2% | -5.1% | -2.3% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 1.08 | 1.64 | +52.6% | +3.3% | +13.0% | +8.0% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +13.5% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -9.4% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 0.65 | 0.55 | -14.7% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +4.3% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.89 | 0.61 | -31.5% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -12.5% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.93 | 1.05 | +12.9% | +0.8% | -1.2% | +4.0% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 1.06 | 1.31 | +23.6% | +1.6% | +1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +2.9% | -0.1% | +0.9% | -6.6% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 1.39 | 1.49 | +7.2% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2022-10-20 | miss | 1.47 | 1.38 | -6.1% | +0.7% | -2.7% | +6.8% |
| 2022-07-21 | 1.30 | 1.30 | — | -0.5% | -1.4% | -0.4% | |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 1.00 | 1.33 | +33.0% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +4.4% |
Not investment advice.
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