PKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.7%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.1% median,
56% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 86
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.31 +3.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$4M/day volume
44% volatility
+117% 1-year
-31% from ATH
52-week range · 76% of the way up · -16% from the high
$18.06$53.30
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.90.
1-day std dev
10.1%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+27.2%
Biggest drop
-36.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.81 | 0.93 | +15.3% | +3.9% | +11.8% | +19.1% |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.65 | 0.65 | — | -0.8% | +2.0% | +2.0% | |
| 2026-03-04 | miss | 0.74 | 0.65 | -11.6% | -0.9% | +4.4% | -7.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.83 | 0.65 | -21.7% | -10.3% | -8.9% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.9% | +6.3% | +12.6% | +25.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.84 | 0.66 | -21.0% | -2.8% | -7.8% | -6.8% |
| 2025-03-05 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.1% | +0.2% | +3.6% | -6.7% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.89 | 1.07 | +20.2% | +3.3% | -4.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.6% | +0.5% | +5.6% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.6% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +5.3% |
| 2024-03-05 | miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -2.7% | +1.9% | -6.9% | -3.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.80 | 0.99 | +23.8% | +5.4% | +21.3% | +5.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +3.8% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -6.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.72 | +34.6% | +4.3% | +13.3% | +22.5% |
| 2023-03-15 | miss | 0.46 | -0.09 | -119.6% | -2.4% | -3.8% | -14.3% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.52 | +19.5% | +3.4% | +3.6% | +19.1% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | 0.26 | 0.21 | -17.6% | -1.5% | -4.3% | +1.8% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | -0.70 | 0.73 | +204.3% | +6.8% | +27.2% | +53.9% |
| 2022-03-15 | miss | -0.12 | -1.08 | -825.7% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.28 | -0.32 | -214.3% | -1.5% | +2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.45 | -0.33 | -172.8% | -8.1% | -13.6% | -17.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.53 | +57.4% | +0.6% | +0.2% | -9.2% |
| 2021-03-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +22.3% | +2.1% | +10.9% | +16.1% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 0.03 | 0.52 | +1633.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% | +15.7% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | -0.96 | -1.17 | -22.3% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +25.4% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.57 | 0.13 | -77.2% | +0.3% | -8.3% | -18.2% |
| 2020-03-11 | miss | 1.00 | 0.65 | -35.0% | -5.0% | -26.9% | -9.6% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 1.13 | 1.01 | -10.8% | -4.1% | +3.6% | +3.5% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 1.07 | 1.07 | -0.2% | -2.3% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | 0.99 | 1.01 | +2.5% | -4.4% | -4.7% | -7.8% |
| 2019-03-04 | beat | 0.89 | 1.20 | +34.5% | +17.8% | +5.7% | +4.9% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.93 | 1.07 | +14.8% | +5.0% | +14.4% | +10.4% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.94 | 1.08 | +15.2% | +11.6% | +9.5% | +8.7% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.83 | 0.93 | +12.7% | +2.8% | +6.1% | +15.3% |
| 2018-03-05 | beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +5.5% | +1.0% | +8.6% | +8.7% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.87 | 0.82 | -5.8% | +2.6% | -7.4% | -10.0% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.5% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | 0.69 | 0.68 | -1.8% | +1.2% | -5.1% | -6.1% |
| 2017-03-07 | miss | 0.74 | 0.66 | -11.1% | -2.9% | -9.5% | -11.8% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.92 | 1.13 | +22.5% | +2.4% | +12.1% | +26.5% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.6% | +0.9% | +13.8% | +10.6% |
| 2016-04-28 | miss | 0.91 | 0.46 | -49.3% | -17.6% | -36.4% | -37.6% |
| 2016-03-11 | beat | 0.89 | 1.15 | +29.2% | +1.7% | -0.1% | +16.9% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | 1.15 | 1.07 | -6.5% | -0.8% | +4.4% | +10.1% |
| 2015-08-07 | miss | 1.08 | 1.04 | -3.3% | -1.6% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.2% | +1.3% | +5.7% | +3.5% |
| 2015-03-13 | miss | 1.27 | 0.90 | -29.4% | -11.0% | -12.7% | -7.2% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 1.20 | 1.15 | -4.2% | -4.5% | +0.2% | +5.8% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | 1.14 | 1.02 | -10.1% | -3.4% | -4.1% | -2.8% |
| 2014-05-05 | miss | 1.05 | 0.82 | -21.7% | -2.7% | -5.5% | -6.8% |
| 2014-03-10 | miss | 1.09 | 0.85 | -22.0% | -2.9% | +4.3% | +9.1% |
| 2013-11-12 | miss | 1.00 | 0.93 | -7.5% | -1.3% | -1.4% | +3.0% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | 1.01 | 0.98 | -3.0% | -2.7% | -5.3% | -2.6% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 0.86 | 0.85 | -0.6% | -0.7% | +5.3% | +6.1% |
| 2013-03-04 | beat | 0.49 | 0.63 | +28.6% | +4.0% | +12.6% | +26.5% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.3% | +0.6% | -0.3% | -6.6% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 0.75 | 1.07 | +42.7% | +3.0% | +11.3% | +11.8% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.74 | +76.2% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -2.1% |
| 2012-03-05 | beat | 0.50 | 0.64 | +27.4% | -0.1% | -2.5% | +13.9% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.36 | 0.69 | +94.4% | +3.2% | +9.6% | +17.3% |
Not investment advice.
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