PMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.1% median,
62% of the last 16 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.57 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$21M/day volume
29% volatility
-42% 1-year
-75% from ATH
52-week range · 8% of the way up · -47% from the high
$6.70$13.81
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.30.
1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-15.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 0.30 | 0.23 | -23.3% | -1.2% | -3.9% | -3.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.39 | 0.16 | -59.3% | -5.1% | -9.1% | -13.4% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 0.39 | 0.48 | +22.6% | -2.3% | -12.4% | -9.5% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 0.38 | 0.55 | +46.1% | +6.2% | +8.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-07-22 | miss | 0.37 | -0.04 | -110.7% | -3.1% | +1.6% | -5.2% |
| 2025-04-22 | miss | 0.39 | -0.01 | -102.6% | -3.8% | -7.0% | -2.8% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +11.5% | +4.0% | +5.5% | +4.7% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.1% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +1.0% |
| 2024-07-23 | miss | 0.35 | 0.17 | -51.5% | -4.1% | -7.9% | -4.8% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +22.6% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +5.7% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 0.31 | 0.44 | +39.7% | -1.2% | -3.3% | -4.5% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.30 | 0.51 | +71.6% | +13.0% | +14.6% | +28.0% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 0.34 | 0.16 | -53.5% | +0.2% | -8.9% | -11.2% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.50 | +47.1% | +4.0% | +5.7% | -0.1% |
| 2023-02-02 | miss | 0.36 | -0.07 | -119.2% | -1.6% | -3.6% | -6.7% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 0.19 | 0.01 | -94.8% | +4.2% | +10.2% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | 0.38 | -0.88 | -331.6% | -0.4% | +1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.32 | -0.32 | -201.6% | -0.6% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | 0.39 | -0.28 | -171.2% | -1.9% | -3.5% | -5.1% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | 0.52 | -0.45 | -187.2% | -3.9% | -4.2% | -6.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | 0.59 | 0.32 | -46.1% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -3.5% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.1% | +0.1% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +7.3% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -0.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.78 | 0.94 | +20.8% | +2.1% | -2.0% | +2.4% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.95 | 4.51 | +374.1% | -1.0% | -10.2% | -9.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -1.03 | -5.99 | -480.4% | +2.4% | -0.9% | -12.1% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.2% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.0% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.53 | 0.71 | +34.1% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.5% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.68 | +58.6% | +1.5% | +2.9% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.40 | 0.55 | +36.4% | +3.9% | +5.4% | -1.2% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.62 | +67.6% | +3.9% | +6.2% | +8.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.36 | 0.47 | +29.1% | +1.3% | +3.3% | +1.6% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +7.1% | +0.4% | +4.1% | +4.8% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | +1.2% | +4.5% | +10.1% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.38 | 0.20 | -46.8% | -4.4% | -5.8% | -6.2% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -11.1% | -0.3% | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.8% | -3.7% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.1% | +1.2% | -2.6% | -1.2% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.49 | +28.5% | +3.4% | +5.6% | +8.4% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.38 | -0.08 | -121.2% | -7.1% | -9.8% | -6.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.38 | 0.20 | -48.0% | -1.5% | +3.5% | +11.6% |
| 2016-02-03 | miss | 0.46 | 0.21 | -54.8% | -13.1% | -15.6% | -18.1% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +9.9% | +0.9% | +4.8% | +4.5% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 0.48 | 0.36 | -25.6% | -3.7% | -6.5% | -9.9% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.59 | 0.09 | -84.8% | -3.9% | -9.9% | -11.0% |
| 2015-02-04 | miss | 0.66 | 0.34 | -48.6% | -3.3% | -5.2% | -4.7% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.3% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.59 | 0.93 | +57.4% | +3.0% | +3.7% | +3.2% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.70 | 0.50 | -28.2% | -3.9% | -7.5% | -10.2% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.69 | 0.57 | -17.7% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -3.4% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.77 | 0.86 | +11.1% | +1.7% | +2.3% | -4.2% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 0.82 | 0.90 | +9.4% | -1.6% | +0.4% | +4.6% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.83 | 0.83 | +0.2% | +1.5% | -4.2% | -3.8% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.3% | +0.7% | +1.3% | -6.2% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.68 | 0.79 | +16.0% | +0.0% | +3.6% | +4.4% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -3.6% | +1.0% | -1.4% | -2.4% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.6% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +0.8% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.55 | 0.73 | +32.9% | +2.2% | +0.7% | -0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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