PTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +14.5% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.72 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$62M/day volume
41% volatility
-6% 1-year
-31% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -31% from the high
$58.80$90.87
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 1 day) · EPS est. 0.30.
1-day std dev
10.7%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+27.6%
Biggest drop
-33.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 53 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.34 | 0.92 | +170.6% | -6.1% | -9.9% | -2.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.44 | -0.03 | +93.2% | +14.9% | +14.3% | +10.8% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | -0.40 | -1.80 | -343.5% | -2.1% | +1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -1.11 | 0.19 | +116.9% | +3.4% | +6.0% | +10.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -1.06 | -0.83 | +21.9% | -10.6% | -9.9% | -3.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | -0.70 | 10.04 | +1524.1% | +8.9% | +12.6% | +29.2% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -0.65 | -0.34 | +47.5% | -10.1% | +9.3% | +4.0% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -1.66 | -1.36 | +17.8% | +6.2% | +3.1% | -8.7% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.95 | -1.27 | -33.6% | -9.5% | -3.6% | +3.0% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | -1.10 | -1.20 | -9.1% | +5.9% | +12.1% | +29.5% |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | 0.92 | -0.29 | -131.9% | -6.0% | +13.3% | +10.5% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | -1.55 | -1.75 | -12.8% | -19.2% | -22.7% | -18.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -1.71 | -1.58 | +7.7% | +1.9% | -4.0% | +3.4% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | -1.63 | -1.88 | -15.1% | +5.2% | +4.7% | +6.0% |
| 2023-02-21 | miss | -1.74 | -1.94 | -11.5% | +2.5% | -1.1% | +1.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | -1.26 | -1.53 | -21.1% | -9.2% | -13.7% | -22.8% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -1.48 | -2.13 | -43.6% | -6.4% | +8.7% | +7.2% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -1.66 | -1.78 | -7.4% | -0.8% | +2.7% | -13.4% |
| 2022-02-22 | miss | -1.55 | -2.03 | -30.6% | -3.0% | -7.3% | -11.1% |
| 2021-10-28 | -1.89 | -1.89 | — | -3.8% | +4.1% | +13.3% | |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | -1.82 | -1.68 | +7.6% | +4.2% | +0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | miss | -1.62 | -1.83 | -12.7% | -0.5% | +6.3% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.90 | -1.08 | -19.9% | -1.4% | +3.5% | +9.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -0.45 | -1.03 | -130.1% | +2.1% | -3.2% | +10.2% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -1.56 | -1.80 | -15.3% | -8.0% | -4.0% | +1.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | -1.40 | -1.81 | -29.3% | -4.4% | -5.7% | -12.6% |
| 2020-03-02 | miss | -0.71 | -1.37 | -93.0% | +0.3% | -5.6% | -6.5% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | -0.88 | -0.89 | -1.9% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +1.4% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | -0.61 | -0.65 | -6.6% | +1.5% | +3.5% | +0.3% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | -0.68 | -0.91 | -33.8% | -1.2% | -1.5% | +9.3% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | -0.38 | -0.58 | -55.6% | -4.4% | +3.0% | -2.8% |
| 2018-11-05 | miss | -0.49 | -1.06 | -115.8% | -7.3% | -8.3% | -15.7% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.44 | -0.21 | +52.2% | +6.6% | +6.3% | +13.4% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | -0.38 | -0.46 | -22.1% | +0.2% | -6.2% | +2.6% |
| 2018-03-06 | beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +161.7% | +3.9% | +9.3% | +13.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.67 | -0.82 | -22.4% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -10.1% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.86 | -0.44 | +48.6% | +4.7% | +2.1% | -7.4% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | -0.93 | -0.85 | +8.2% | -4.6% | -11.9% | +6.9% |
| 2017-03-16 | beat | -1.02 | -0.78 | +23.2% | -7.4% | -18.9% | -22.5% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | -1.15 | -1.03 | +10.3% | +0.0% | -33.0% | -4.0% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -1.24 | -1.14 | +8.3% | +1.3% | +27.6% | +33.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -1.25 | -1.22 | +2.5% | +11.3% | +3.1% | -1.7% |
| 2016-02-29 | miss | -1.20 | -1.50 | -24.8% | -5.3% | -30.5% | -22.8% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | -1.11 | -1.27 | -14.1% | -2.4% | +6.7% | +20.5% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | -1.20 | -1.14 | +4.9% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -14.8% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | -1.17 | -1.15 | +1.8% | -8.8% | -12.7% | -9.6% |
| 2015-02-27 | miss | -0.75 | -0.84 | -11.5% | -4.0% | -2.9% | -3.2% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.94 | -0.93 | +1.3% | +0.8% | +8.2% | +5.7% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -0.73 | -0.86 | -17.8% | -1.0% | -9.9% | +6.0% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | -0.45 | -0.58 | -29.5% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -5.4% |
| 2014-03-06 | miss | -0.58 | -0.75 | -29.1% | -1.7% | -7.1% | -7.2% |
| 2013-11-14 | beat | -0.28 | -0.18 | +35.2% | +6.0% | -2.7% | -9.6% |
| 2013-08-13 | miss | -0.77 | -5.51 | -615.6% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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