QUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.9% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 90
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.55%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.35 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.1%
$40M/day volume
143% volatility
-64% 1-year
-69% from ATH
52-week range · 27% of the way up · -64% from the high
$8.73$70.88
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.82.
1-day std dev
10.6%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+47.0%
Biggest drop
-32.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | -0.71 | -1.07 | -51.2% | +3.7% | +9.3% | +20.7% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.75 | -0.73 | +3.3% | -2.8% | +2.3% | +40.7% |
| 2026-03-02 | beat | -0.78 | -0.47 | +39.2% | -41.2% | -32.8% | +15.1% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -0.75 | -1.19 | -59.8% | -4.6% | -5.9% | +9.1% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | -0.76 | -0.60 | +21.1% | -1.6% | -8.7% | -6.5% |
| 2025-05-09 | beat | -0.93 | -0.73 | +22.1% | -0.8% | +4.4% | +11.8% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.52 | -1.44 | -178.8% | -3.9% | +3.4% | +7.2% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | -0.93 | -0.84 | +9.8% | -2.0% | +9.0% | +21.0% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -1.16 | -1.08 | +7.1% | +1.3% | -2.3% | -5.6% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -1.16 | -1.26 | -8.7% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | -1.28 | -1.41 | -10.1% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -23.3% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -0.72 | -1.75 | -142.1% | -1.3% | +12.7% | +8.3% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | 2.81 | -1.31 | -146.4% | +0.7% | +2.4% | -17.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -0.87 | -1.48 | -69.9% | -3.7% | +0.8% | -7.5% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | -0.81 | 0.14 | +117.6% | +4.1% | +5.2% | +4.5% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -1.11 | -1.03 | +7.1% | +3.4% | +7.3% | -1.6% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.91 | -0.83 | +9.3% | -17.7% | -27.0% | -18.6% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | -0.79 | -0.95 | -20.7% | +0.3% | +5.6% | -9.8% |
| 2022-02-25 | beat | -0.69 | 0.15 | +121.8% | +0.4% | +5.2% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | -0.91 | -0.68 | +25.5% | -1.3% | +3.2% | +11.4% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 2.18 | 7.23 | +231.3% | +2.0% | +3.8% | +11.3% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | -0.77 | -0.75 | +2.3% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2021-03-01 | miss | 0.79 | -0.01 | -101.0% | +1.7% | +3.7% | -12.9% |
| 2020-10-27 | miss | -0.76 | -1.02 | -35.2% | -0.3% | -2.9% | -9.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | -0.52 | -0.82 | -56.3% | -1.2% | +4.5% | +11.0% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | -0.73 | -0.58 | +20.7% | +3.0% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2020-03-02 | miss | -0.64 | -0.87 | -35.6% | +2.5% | -3.9% | -8.8% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | -0.74 | -0.52 | +28.9% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +0.3% |
| 2019-07-29 | miss | -0.67 | -0.75 | -11.8% | -1.2% | -5.4% | -14.2% |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | -0.63 | -0.66 | -5.8% | -5.6% | -1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | -0.58 | -0.52 | +10.7% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +14.9% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.54 | -0.52 | +4.4% | -2.2% | +0.1% | -6.5% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -0.52 | -0.49 | +5.7% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +11.6% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | -0.61 | -0.49 | +20.0% | +0.3% | -2.4% | +1.5% |
| 2018-03-14 | miss | -0.63 | -0.74 | -16.6% | -0.3% | -11.0% | -8.3% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -0.54 | -0.34 | +35.8% | +0.0% | -2.4% | +10.5% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.71 | -0.71 | +0.9% | -1.0% | +3.3% | +10.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.58 | -0.74 | -26.6% | -1.7% | -0.2% | +6.4% |
| 2017-03-15 | beat | -0.55 | -0.55 | +1.1% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -9.0% |
| 2016-11-22 | beat | -0.77 | -0.54 | +29.6% | -1.1% | -6.5% | -11.9% |
| 2016-08-25 | beat | -0.78 | -0.77 | +0.7% | -1.9% | +3.3% | -6.3% |
| 2016-05-31 | miss | -0.68 | -0.83 | -22.8% | +2.1% | +13.0% | +19.3% |
| 2016-04-04 | beat | -0.61 | -0.48 | +20.7% | +0.6% | +4.3% | +0.9% |
| 2015-11-30 | beat | -0.72 | -0.67 | +6.5% | -5.7% | -16.5% | -20.7% |
| 2015-08-27 | miss | 0.36 | -0.87 | -343.2% | -4.3% | +2.5% | +3.3% |
| 2015-06-11 | miss | -0.40 | -0.69 | -72.6% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2015-04-06 | miss | -0.52 | -0.62 | -19.4% | +50.5% | +47.0% | +27.0% |
| 2014-12-01 | beat | -0.53 | -0.51 | +3.8% | +4.3% | -10.8% | -5.1% |
| 2014-09-02 | miss | -0.46 | -0.51 | -10.9% | -0.9% | -2.8% | -5.1% |
| 2014-06-06 | miss | -0.30 | -0.52 | -74.2% | -5.4% | +4.4% | +15.8% |
| 2014-03-26 | miss | -0.02 | -0.53 | -2309.1% | +1.0% | -2.1% | -0.7% |
Not investment advice.
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