RDN

Radian Group Inc $34.96 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
-1.3%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.3% median, 48% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.05 -0.1% · Seasonal tilt -1.1%
$69M/day volume 25% volatility +4% 1-year -48% from ATH
52-week range · 42% of the way up · -15% from the high
$30.53$41.05

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.21.

1-day std dev
4.9%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+14.5%
Biggest drop
-11.2%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-05 miss 1.35 1.14 -15.7% -5.2% -7.4% -5.9%
2026-05-06 beat 1.20 1.23 +2.4% -1.3% +5.3% +3.2%
2026-02-18 beat 1.09 1.13 +4.0% +1.1% +1.4% +9.3%
2025-11-04 beat 1.01 1.07 +6.2% -0.9% -0.9% +3.2%
2025-07-30 beat 0.98 1.01 +3.6% -2.6% -2.7% -0.7%
2025-04-30 beat 0.97 0.99 +2.0% -1.8% +1.9% +6.1%
2025-02-05 beat 0.94 1.09 +16.1% +2.2% -1.8% -5.5%
2024-11-06 beat 0.92 1.03 +12.3% -0.5% -2.1% -0.6%
2024-07-31 beat 0.88 0.99 +12.1% +0.2% -4.0% -8.1%
2024-05-01 beat 0.85 1.03 +20.9% +1.1% +1.9% +4.8%
2024-02-07 beat 0.88 0.96 +9.0% -1.9% -3.7% -0.6%
2023-11-01 beat 0.81 1.04 +28.1% -0.6% +3.8% +3.2%
2023-08-02 beat 0.78 0.91 +17.1% +0.3% +1.7% +1.7%
2023-05-03 beat 0.75 0.98 +31.5% +0.9% +1.2% +5.5%
2023-02-08 beat 0.77 1.05 +36.6% +2.1% +0.1% +1.5%
2022-11-02 beat 0.77 1.31 +69.3% +0.8% -0.2% +1.7%
2022-08-01 beat 0.76 1.36 +78.7% +3.4% +0.9% -0.5%
2022-05-03 beat 0.77 1.17 +52.4% -1.0% +1.7% -4.2%
2022-02-22 beat 0.69 1.07 +54.5% +2.7% +3.2% +6.4%
2021-11-02 miss 0.71 0.67 -5.9% -2.0% -7.4% -8.1%
2021-08-03 beat 0.70 0.75 +7.7% -2.8% -2.6% +4.7%
2021-05-04 beat 0.67 0.68 +1.6% -3.6% -4.7% -12.1%
2021-02-24 beat 0.64 0.69 +8.0% +1.2% -3.5% -1.2%
2020-11-04 beat 0.49 0.59 +21.6% +1.7% -5.2% -3.5%
2020-08-07 miss 0.28 -0.36 -227.4% -5.4% +0.9% -1.9%
2020-05-06 beat 0.76 0.80 +5.5% +3.2% +8.1% +0.1%
2020-02-05 beat 0.77 0.86 +11.8% +0.8% -2.6% -4.5%
2019-10-30 beat 0.74 0.81 +9.6% +1.1% +1.9% +1.3%
2019-07-31 beat 0.72 0.80 +11.5% +1.5% -0.7% +0.9%
2019-04-30 beat 0.67 0.73 +8.3% +1.3% +1.2% -2.6%
2019-02-08 beat 0.66 0.70 +6.0% +0.2% +0.0% +7.5%
2018-10-31 beat 0.63 0.71 +13.1% +1.5% +4.6% +6.7%
2018-07-26 beat 0.59 0.69 +16.3% -1.1% +4.1% +8.8%
2018-04-26 beat 0.57 0.59 +4.2% +0.8% -1.6% +3.2%
2018-02-01 beat 0.44 0.51 +14.9% -0.4% +3.4% -6.1%
2017-10-26 beat 0.42 0.46 +8.3% -0.5% +3.0% +4.6%
2017-08-01 beat 0.41 0.48 +17.6% +1.0% +2.3% +0.2%
2017-04-27 miss 0.43 0.37 -14.5% -6.5% -11.2% -13.1%
2017-01-26 beat 0.40 0.41 +2.5% +0.7% -0.1% +1.2%
2016-10-27 beat 0.39 0.41 +3.9% -1.1% -3.0% -9.5%
2016-07-28 beat 0.38 0.38 +0.1% +0.0% +3.2% +3.0%
2016-04-27 beat 0.37 0.37 +1.3% +0.3% +4.2% -2.6%
2016-01-28 beat 0.33 0.34 +3.7% +4.0% +2.0% +10.6%
2015-10-27 miss 0.36 0.31 -14.5% -4.3% -10.3% -13.6%
2015-07-22 beat 0.35 0.40 +15.6% +0.6% -0.5% -0.1%
2015-04-30 beat 0.32 0.35 +9.9% +0.6% -2.0% -1.9%
2015-02-12 miss 0.43 0.24 -44.4% -2.7% -1.0% -5.3%
2014-10-30 beat 0.33 0.61 +86.0% +4.3% +5.2% +5.8%
2014-08-07 beat 0.28 0.31 +12.3% +4.5% +5.3% +10.7%
2014-05-06 beat 0.23 0.41 +78.6% +2.2% +5.6% +4.6%
2014-02-05 beat -0.02 0.03 +240.8% +5.1% +6.0% +9.4%
2013-11-07 miss -0.07 -0.10 -39.5% -0.7% -8.6% -10.3%
2013-07-24 beat -0.04 0.05 +227.3% +0.2% +0.3% +1.6%
2013-05-01 miss 0.01 -0.06 -570.2% -0.1% -4.3% +9.0%
2013-02-11 miss -0.52 -1.39 -167.1% -5.8% -3.1% +12.9%
2012-11-01 beat -0.52 -0.21 +59.7% +7.7% +14.5% -2.6%
2012-08-01 beat -0.54 -0.38 +29.2% -2.1% +11.8% +5.7%
2012-05-01 miss -0.55 -1.28 -131.0% -4.8% -7.4% -22.8%
2012-02-23 miss -0.94 -1.97 -110.3% +0.5% -3.6% -5.4%
2011-11-01 miss -0.69 -0.73 -5.5% +6.8% +8.5% +44.7%

Not investment advice.