RJModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.7% median,
62% of the last 42 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 90
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.72 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$32.8B market cap (#413 US)
$192M/day volume
25% volatility
+1% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 51% of the way up · -12% from the high
$138.82$182.73
Congressional trades in RJF Full tracker →
4 members · 1 buys / 4 sells · $146K–$415K disclosed · latest filing May 14, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+8.7%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 3.27 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 2.91 | 3.14 | +7.8% | +0.8% | -1.1% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 2.71 | 2.72 | +0.5% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | 2.83 | 2.86 | +0.9% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 2.83 | 3.11 | +10.0% | +3.9% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-23 | miss | 2.36 | 2.18 | -7.5% | +1.6% | +3.7% | +3.9% |
| 2025-04-23 | miss | 2.44 | 2.42 | -0.7% | -1.2% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-01-29 | beat | 2.69 | 2.93 | +8.8% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 2.41 | 2.95 | +22.2% | +5.4% | +7.3% | +7.9% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 2.33 | 2.39 | +2.5% | +0.7% | +5.2% | +0.0% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 2.31 | 2.31 | -0.0% | -3.6% | -4.4% | -2.8% |
| 2024-01-24 | beat | 2.26 | 2.40 | +6.3% | +3.1% | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 2.28 | 2.13 | -6.5% | +3.9% | +5.0% | +8.3% |
| 2023-07-26 | miss | 2.16 | 1.85 | -14.2% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -1.0% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | 2.24 | 2.03 | -9.3% | -1.6% | -3.0% | -9.5% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 2.28 | 2.29 | +0.4% | +1.8% | -4.0% | -7.9% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 2.00 | 2.08 | +4.0% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +10.4% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | 1.66 | 1.61 | -3.0% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +4.7% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 1.64 | 1.55 | -5.4% | +2.0% | +3.6% | -1.1% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 1.76 | 2.12 | +20.4% | +2.4% | +2.5% | +9.7% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.71 | 2.06 | +20.7% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 1.57 | 1.83 | +16.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.45 | 1.67 | +15.0% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | 1.13 | 1.49 | +32.5% | +1.2% | +4.4% | +13.1% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.89 | 1.19 | +33.3% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +5.9% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.65 | 0.82 | +27.1% | -2.1% | -3.4% | +0.6% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.97 | 0.80 | -17.7% | -4.7% | -7.8% | -9.9% |
| 2020-01-22 | miss | 1.29 | 1.26 | -2.0% | -5.1% | -6.2% | -4.5% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.27 | 1.33 | +4.9% | +5.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% |
| 2019-07-24 | miss | 1.22 | 1.20 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -4.1% | -9.6% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 1.09 | 1.21 | +10.8% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2019-01-23 | beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.7% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2018-10-24 | miss | 1.21 | 1.12 | -7.4% | -1.3% | -3.7% | +0.7% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | 1.15 | 1.03 | -10.0% | -1.3% | -4.2% | -6.5% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.2% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +0.9% |
| 2018-01-24 | beat | 0.96 | 1.07 | +11.7% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +0.5% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.88 | 0.98 | +11.0% | +0.0% | -1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-07-26 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -0.7% | -1.2% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +12.7% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2017-01-25 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.1% | -1.3% | +2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.66 | 0.85 | +29.1% | +1.8% | +4.8% | +0.4% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +19.4% | +5.6% | +8.7% | +8.0% |
| 2016-01-20 | miss | 0.56 | 0.49 | -12.4% | -5.8% | -5.5% | -9.6% |
| 2015-10-21 | miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -4.3% | -0.3% | +2.8% | +8.7% |
| 2015-07-22 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +2.0% | +1.0% | -1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2015-05-08 | miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -5.6% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2015-01-21 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.0% | +1.0% | +4.0% | +1.8% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +10.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +3.8% |
| 2014-07-25 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +12.1% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.52 | 0.48 | -7.1% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2014-01-22 | beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +10.5% | +0.4% | -1.2% | -4.0% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 0.42 | 0.62 | +48.1% | +3.4% | +2.9% | +5.0% |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.7% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +2.9% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -11.6% | -4.3% | -8.5% | -6.8% |
| 2013-01-23 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.0% | +0.3% | +4.4% | +6.5% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +8.0% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +5.8% |
| 2012-07-25 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -4.2% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -1.6% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +11.6% | -0.2% | +4.6% | +3.5% |
| 2012-01-25 | miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -4.3% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
Not investment advice.
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