SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+4.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.2% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 61
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.69 +4.4% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.0%
$15M/day volume
88% volatility
-23% 1-year
52-week range · 47% of the way up · -36% from the high
$0.81$2.50
Congressional trades in SABR Full tracker →
3 members · 9 buys / 5 sells · $14K–$210K disclosed · latest filing Jun 14, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. -0.05.
1-day std dev
13.0%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+32.5%
Biggest drop
-35.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.07 | -0.17 | -142.9% | -5.0% | +5.7% | +4.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.01 | 0.06 | +700.0% | +18.6% | +13.1% | -13.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +80.0% | +33.2% | +24.7% | -0.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.06 | -0.01 | -116.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -10.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | — | -0.02 | -500.6% | -26.3% | -35.7% | -39.0% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.01 | — | -127.0% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +22.0% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +21.9% | +5.0% | +22.4% | +21.8% |
| 2024-10-31 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -14.3% | -10.2% | -22.0% | -14.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +37.5% | +9.0% | -4.4% | -14.3% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +68.4% | +8.3% | +0.3% | -3.4% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +15.8% | -18.1% | -22.4% | -38.1% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.4% | +18.9% | +18.3% | -6.9% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +24.4% | +14.9% | +32.5% | +47.4% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +21.9% | +8.2% | -5.1% | -13.9% |
| 2023-02-15 | miss | -0.30 | -0.36 | -21.8% | -12.6% | -19.4% | -26.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -0.25 | -0.25 | -0.8% | -3.5% | -15.1% | -23.9% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +19.9% | +1.1% | +8.9% | +18.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | -0.34 | -0.29 | +14.7% | -1.4% | -11.4% | -27.9% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | -0.37 | -0.47 | -27.7% | +7.4% | +21.9% | +23.4% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | -0.55 | -0.50 | +8.8% | +2.4% | -16.6% | -6.1% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | -0.59 | -0.52 | +12.2% | +3.8% | -3.5% | -1.6% |
| 2021-05-04 | miss | -0.55 | -0.72 | -32.1% | -7.1% | -14.3% | -13.9% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | -0.66 | -0.77 | -17.4% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +25.3% |
| 2020-11-06 | miss | -0.72 | -0.82 | -14.5% | -1.7% | -5.8% | +26.4% |
| 2020-08-07 | miss | -0.84 | -1.30 | -53.9% | -7.2% | -7.8% | -2.7% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | -0.32 | -0.29 | +9.4% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -16.9% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +2.6% | -2.5% | -10.2% | -33.5% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +13.2% | -0.5% | +6.5% | +2.5% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.6% | +1.9% | +3.8% | +6.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.4% | +0.5% | -9.2% | -8.5% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.0% | -10.4% | +1.5% | -6.3% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.8% | +1.7% | +6.1% | +8.7% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.3% | +1.0% | -5.2% | -2.8% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.1% | +5.1% | +14.1% | +9.8% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +15.1% | +1.8% | +12.8% | +22.2% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.8% | +3.3% | +7.8% | +4.9% |
| 2017-08-01 | miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.1% | +3.9% | -10.5% | -14.2% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +20.0% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +4.5% |
| 2017-02-07 | miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -13.9% | -9.6% | -10.5% | -11.7% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.9% | -12.8% | -8.7% | -7.9% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.3% | -9.5% | -8.3% | -9.0% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +1.7% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.3% | -2.9% | +7.5% | +17.9% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.2% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -3.5% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +11.5% | +5.8% | +3.9% | +5.4% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +7.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2015-02-18 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -0.8% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2014-11-11 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +2.4% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +2.8% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +19.2% | +5.2% | -0.3% | -1.8% |
Not investment advice.
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