SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.0% median,
70% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 28
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.19 -0.5% · Seasonal tilt +1.0%
$11M/day volume
45% volatility
+51% 1-year
-0% from ATH
52-week range · 99% of the way up · -0% from the high
$67.04$104.35
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days).
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+5.6%
Biggest drop
-6.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 26 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-26 | miss | 0.80 | 0.72 | -10.0% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -1.6% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.09 | 1.18 | +8.3% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 1.37 | 1.39 | +1.5% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +0.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.3% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -5.2% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +17.9% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 1.05 | 1.23 | +17.1% | +0.8% | -1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 1.08 | 1.41 | +30.6% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +3.8% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.68 | 0.84 | +23.5% | +1.1% | +5.5% | +5.8% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.0% | -1.6% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 1.35 | -0.06 | -104.4% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | -0.33 | -2.37 | -618.2% | -0.8% | -2.9% | +3.0% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.0% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -5.5% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.94 | 1.03 | +9.6% | -1.8% | -6.7% | -3.7% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +8.1% | +0.4% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.77 | 1.11 | +44.2% | +2.5% | +5.6% | +7.0% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.70 | 1.13 | +61.4% | +0.2% | +2.4% | +4.9% |
| 2012-03-08 | miss | 0.48 | 0.31 | -35.4% | -0.5% | +0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | 0.89 | 0.58 | -34.8% | -2.1% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2011-08-03 | miss | 0.95 | 0.27 | -71.6% | -0.9% | -2.5% | -2.8% |
| 2011-05-04 | miss | 0.78 | -0.26 | -133.1% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -0.4% |
| 2011-03-09 | beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +21.0% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -5.6% |
| 2010-11-02 | beat | 0.88 | 1.03 | +17.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.6% |
| 2010-08-04 | beat | 0.88 | 1.00 | +13.6% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +4.0% |
| 2010-05-05 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.0% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2010-03-09 | miss | 0.74 | 0.68 | -8.1% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -2.0% |
| 2009-11-02 | beat | 0.96 | 1.11 | +15.6% | -0.4% | +3.8% | +6.0% |
Not investment advice.
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