SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +3.5% median,
68% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.72 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$18M/day volume
43% volatility
-1% 1-year
-44% from ATH
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -44% from the high
$54.11$113.67
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 1.66.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+20.2%
Biggest drop
-15.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.75 | 1.82 | +4.1% | -6.7% | -10.9% | -24.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 1.40 | 1.62 | +15.5% | +2.0% | +7.4% | +9.3% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 1.50 | 1.52 | +1.7% | -7.2% | +7.9% | +7.4% |
| 2025-10-23 | miss | 1.74 | 1.41 | -18.7% | -3.3% | -15.9% | -20.0% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 1.63 | 2.19 | +34.3% | +3.0% | -5.7% | -9.5% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 1.44 | 1.48 | +3.0% | -1.6% | +1.8% | +4.7% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 1.46 | 1.51 | +3.3% | +2.7% | -4.0% | -3.3% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 1.43 | 1.26 | -11.9% | +3.4% | +3.6% | +2.3% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | 1.38 | 1.47 | +6.6% | -2.8% | +3.4% | +3.4% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.30 | 1.36 | +4.8% | +8.4% | +10.9% | +11.7% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 1.81 | 1.63 | -9.9% | -9.5% | -2.1% | -10.5% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.77 | 2.02 | +14.1% | +9.6% | +13.5% | +17.7% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.68 | 1.83 | +8.8% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 1.85 | 1.33 | -28.0% | -7.8% | -11.7% | -23.4% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 2.20 | 2.61 | +18.7% | -1.3% | -1.1% | -6.8% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 2.47 | 2.23 | -9.7% | -0.8% | +5.1% | +0.5% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 2.55 | 2.45 | -3.8% | +1.5% | +3.2% | +9.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 2.37 | 2.33 | -1.5% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +10.1% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 1.85 | 2.66 | +44.0% | +7.4% | +6.1% | +2.6% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.92 | 1.96 | +1.9% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +5.6% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 1.56 | 2.63 | +68.7% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +3.3% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.92 | 1.23 | +34.2% | +3.2% | -0.1% | +2.5% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 1.40 | 1.50 | +6.9% | -3.1% | -6.5% | -0.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.17 | 1.29 | +10.7% | -0.4% | -0.8% | +8.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.64 | +105.0% | -1.6% | -6.0% | -3.6% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.22 | 0.40 | +82.3% | +5.1% | +20.2% | +6.3% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.88 | 0.97 | +10.3% | -1.0% | -6.3% | -10.2% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.57 | 0.66 | +15.3% | +6.2% | +7.2% | +4.9% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.62 | +31.8% | +5.0% | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.23 | 0.39 | +69.0% | +4.1% | +12.1% | +23.8% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.2% | -3.8% | +5.4% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.3% | -3.2% | +5.9% | +2.6% |
| 2018-07-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.4% | +7.8% | +2.8% | +12.5% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.6% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -2.9% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.4% | +4.4% | -1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2017-10-24 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | -2.1% | +4.5% | +3.9% | |
| 2017-07-28 | miss | 0.46 | 0.40 | -12.6% | -5.8% | +2.1% | -8.7% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -2.3% | +1.5% | +0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.9% | +1.1% | +9.3% | -8.6% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.54 | 0.47 | -12.3% | -5.9% | -5.3% | -4.5% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.8% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -12.0% |
| 2016-04-26 | miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.1% | +0.8% | +15.3% | +9.3% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.8% | +3.2% | +8.4% | +16.5% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +13.9% | -9.9% | +9.7% | +13.9% |
| 2015-07-20 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -1.1% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -9.9% |
| 2015-04-21 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -2.4% | -3.3% | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.1% | -1.4% | -3.7% | -4.1% |
| 2014-10-21 | miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -5.3% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +7.6% |
| 2014-07-22 | miss | 0.53 | 0.44 | -17.1% | -8.9% | -5.2% | -7.1% |
| 2014-04-22 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.0% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +5.9% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +14.0% | +1.4% | +4.6% | +9.0% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -7.5% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +5.4% |
| 2013-07-23 | miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -4.1% | -3.1% | -0.7% | -3.1% |
| 2013-04-23 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.6% | +1.1% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2013-02-20 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.4% | +0.3% | -3.0% | -6.3% |
| 2012-10-23 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | +0.4% | +2.5% | +9.9% | |
| 2012-07-23 | beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +12.2% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +4.7% |
| 2012-04-23 | miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -9.6% | -2.3% | -5.4% | -6.2% |
| 2012-02-28 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +13.7% | +1.8% | +5.4% | +7.9% |
| 2011-10-25 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +5.4% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.9% |
Posted about SAH
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
63.87
Wed, 18 Feb
Rusnak Paul P. has been buying SAH. The buy: Rusnak Paul P., a 10%+ owner, bought 100,000 shares of SAH on 5-17 February 2026 — $5,994,472 at $59.94…
Not investment advice.
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