SFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.8% median,
52% of the last 40 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 71
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.41%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.59 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$46M/day volume
25% volatility
+30% 1-year
-30% from ATH
52-week range · 87% of the way up · -4% from the high
$17.00$24.32
Congressional trades in SFNC Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $100K–$250K disclosed · latest filing Jul 24, 2025.
| SELL | $100K–$250K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 81 days) · EPS est. 0.56.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+8.9%
Biggest drop
-9.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.3% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +4.7% |
| 2026-07-16 | miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -4.5% | -4.6% | -1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2026-04-16 | miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +5.2% | +2.7% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.9% | +3.4% | +8.9% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-16 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.1% | -1.2% | +1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +12.8% | +2.0% | +1.9% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-16 | miss | 0.36 | 0.26 | -27.4% | -4.7% | -4.0% | +2.0% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.8% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2024-10-18 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +12.1% | -4.0% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +7.8% | +0.0% | -1.9% | +0.1% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -1.8% | -4.3% | -3.1% | -7.9% |
| 2024-01-24 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.1% | +1.8% | +5.6% | -1.0% |
| 2023-10-24 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.0% | +0.2% | -5.7% | -7.4% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +18.2% | +1.1% | -2.0% | +0.7% |
| 2023-04-25 | miss | 0.47 | 0.37 | -20.4% | -6.7% | -6.0% | -5.6% |
| 2023-01-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +6.7% | +1.1% | -9.1% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.3% | -0.2% | -3.6% | -2.3% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | -2.0% | +0.1% | +5.7% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +16.1% | -7.0% | +0.6% | +1.7% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 0.58 | 0.73 | +26.3% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.69 | +32.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +3.0% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +11.3% | +1.3% | -5.4% | -0.5% |
| 2021-01-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.57 | +35.7% | +1.1% | -3.0% | -4.3% |
| 2020-10-19 | beat | 0.41 | 0.63 | +53.7% | -9.2% | -3.4% | +1.4% |
| 2020-07-21 | beat | 0.30 | 0.55 | +82.3% | +2.4% | +8.6% | +5.2% |
| 2020-04-21 | beat | 0.44 | 0.65 | +47.1% | +2.9% | -0.4% | +3.2% |
| 2020-01-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +9.3% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -4.1% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.64 | 0.87 | +35.6% | +6.8% | +2.5% | +3.0% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.59 | 0.68 | +14.9% | +3.9% | +6.7% | +11.1% |
| 2019-04-22 | miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -2.5% | -1.8% | -1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.3% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -4.8% |
| 2018-10-22 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.6% | +2.4% | +2.0% | +2.5% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.4% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -6.1% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.1% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +5.4% |
| 2018-01-22 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +7.8% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2017-10-22 | miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -1.1% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -3.2% |
| 2017-07-19 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +6.0% | +4.7% | +1.2% | +3.5% |
| 2017-04-19 | miss | 0.42 | 0.36 | -15.0% | -5.0% | -1.8% | +1.0% |
| 2017-01-18 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.1% | -0.3% | +2.1% | +3.7% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -7.3% | -1.3% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2016-07-20 | 0.41 | 0.41 | — | +0.0% | -1.8% | -4.0% | |
| 2016-04-21 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -2.9% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2016-01-21 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +1.2% | -0.3% | -5.9% | -8.3% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.6% | +1.2% | +8.4% | +9.8% |
| 2015-07-23 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -3.0% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -5.2% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +8.1% | +0.5% | -2.7% | -1.1% |
| 2015-01-22 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -1.2% | +0.3% | +5.8% | +1.9% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +8.0% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.1% | -1.0% | -4.5% | -1.5% |
| 2014-04-17 | beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +0.7% | -0.8% | +1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2014-01-23 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -2.7% | -1.0% | -0.5% | -4.8% |
| 2013-10-17 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +8.9% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +2.9% |
| 2013-07-18 | miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -3.3% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +1.2% |
| 2013-04-18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | — | -0.2% | +1.3% | +3.6% | |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.4% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.6% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -3.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +2.1% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2012-01-19 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -5.7% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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